Premier League · resolved market
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-01-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x45b10a3c48265df35ce57f6247b0b332680d96c6c6b08d2ff6ff5fac5359f0f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $727,422
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $741,240
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $727,422 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 194 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Yes | 15c | 272,556$40,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,883.38 | 153 | 44.4%68 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Yes | 14c | 39,741$5,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,563.73 | 277 | 50.9%141 W · 136 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 13c | 36,892$4,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,714.31 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1f…d0bbbacked Yes | 14c | 27,026$3,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,683.69 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 14c | 15,493$2,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,169.08 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 15c | 9,177$1,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,343.47 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes | 1c | 7,774$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.61 | 130 | 5.4%7 W · 123 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked Yes | 16c | 6,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Yes | 14c | 5,850$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 79c | 5,400$4,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,154.07 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Yes | 14c | 5,237$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.3 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bea…f95abacked Yes | 2c | 5,140$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 112 | 34.8%39 W · 73 L | +8.5wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 13c | 5,000$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.98 | 178 | 33.7%60 W · 118 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 20c | 3,500$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.96 | 531 | 34.5%183 W · 348 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 15c | 3,324$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.53 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2d…da35backed Yes | 14c | 3,024$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.36 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2935…96f7backed Yes | 15c | 3,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.99 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 18cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0a…09a6backed No | 71c | 2,829$1,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.65 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Yes | 14c | 2,609$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.26 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 14c | 2,507$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.01 | 262 | 29.8%78 W · 184 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 5c | 2,303$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.34 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd73e…021cbacked Yes | 1c | 2,041$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.35 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked Yes | 14c | 2,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1584…2bf3backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24da…9561backed Yes | 14c | 2,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.99 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b0…e7e9backed Yes | 1c | 1,912$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 18c | 1,778$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 104 | 26.9%28 W · 76 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 15c | 1,596$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.7 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41d8…57c4backed Yes | 3c | 1,592$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31b3…442cbacked No | 77c | 1,571$1,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.43 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7652…c6c5backed Yes | 19c | 1,480$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.24 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f70…a5bfbacked Yes | 32c | 1,442$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0775…eca8backed Yes | 3c | 1,430$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 174 | 28.2%49 W · 125 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f9a…9d3bbacked Yes | 14c | 1,286$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b89…8c32backed Yes | 21c | 1,247$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Yes | 15c | 1,200$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 225 | 34.2%77 W · 148 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd483…6365backed Yes | 16c | 1,149$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.08 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -4.2wins | -0.18per pick | 57cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb8df…6df7backed Yes | 15c | 1,147$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.12 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +43%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 14c | 1,117$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.26 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Yes | 14c | 1,100$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.6 | 141 | 47.5%67 W · 74 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 20c | 1,016$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.89 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb568…14d4backed Yes | 14c | 1,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba8…ab96backed Yes | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7643…fb95backed Yes | 14c | 1,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed Yes | 14c | 1,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 159 | 44.7%71 W · 88 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x854d…deb0backed Yes | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +5.1wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Yes | 17c | 999.99$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 459 | 36.2%166 W · 293 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 15c | 997$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.35 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Yes | 29c | 981.51$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.64 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dc…a504backed Yes | 17c | 978.06$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.27 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Yes | 18c | 800$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 409 | 53.3%218 W · 191 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…b4b2backed No | 80c | 737.48$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.98 | 214 | 63.1%135 W · 79 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2844…5aa1backed Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 14c | 700$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 294 | 27.9%82 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06eb…1a5fbacked No | 72c | 665.79$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.1 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe698…35eabacked Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20b2…f114backed Yes | 15c | 600$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -70%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3256…830cbacked Yes | 11c | 600$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 233 | 25.8%60 W · 173 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ac…b899backed Yes | 4c | 600$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Yes | 14c | 590.01$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.13 | 324 | 53.1%172 W · 152 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf95a…d895backed Yes | 16c | 534.12$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 95 | 34.7%33 W · 62 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 3c | 525.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 117 | 12%14 W · 103 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d0…9391backed Yes | 15c | 509$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.35 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Yes | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 216 | 56.9%123 W · 93 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa966…208bbacked Yes | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +5.6wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +37%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x55ea…9bedbacked Yes | 16c | 499.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Yes | 20c | 499.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 157 | 35.7%56 W · 101 L | +15.5wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…3f31backed Yes | 14c | 499.64$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.95 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec8a…0bf1backed Yes | 18c | 498.25$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49e2…018dbacked Yes | 14c | 479.59$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.94 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf828…fca3backed Yes | 15c | 415.2$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.67 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Yes | 16c | 408$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.28 | 255 | 51.8%132 W · 123 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…3da2backed Yes | 15c | 399.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df4…0287backed Yes | 15c | 355.07$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.26 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…4426backed Yes | 26c | 352.99$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.13 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd52d…412dbacked Yes | 18c | 344.44$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e03…7f54backed Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 14c | 312.59$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.74 | 307 | 39.4%121 W · 186 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df1…81c4backed Yes | 32c | 312.53$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbb…92efbacked Yes | 17c | 311.45$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.95 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -60%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 440 | 36.8%162 W · 278 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes | 15c | 299.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 322 | 22.4%72 W · 250 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e84…b7f6backed Yes | 16c | 299.77$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.96 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e2…b537backed Yes | 16c | 293.44$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 15c | 290.58$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.64 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Yes | 15c | 284.33$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.65 | 105 | 34.3%36 W · 69 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9a…3c1fbacked Yes | 9c | 281.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae1…cc45backed Yes | 15c | 280$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ed…6609backed Yes | 18c | 279.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.39 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…2dafbacked Yes | 15c | 272.5$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 204 | 25%51 W · 153 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2a…0525backed Yes | 15c | 266.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedc6…314abacked Yes | 15c | 266.59$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…01b0backed Yes | 14c | 265$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +98%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…5685backed Yes | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f0…3803backed No | 69c | 249.99$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 14c | 247.92$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.09 | 185 | 51.9%96 W · 89 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x644b…ec38backed No | 78c | 247.71$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.71 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa186…d5a1backed Yes | 14c | 228.57$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Yes | 16c | 221.94$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.51 | 122 | 41.8%51 W · 71 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x055a…b4f2backed Yes | 14c | 213.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-01-03?this page
- Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.