Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Gauff vs Svitolina
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c7fc0cc4019775aec12e9c45407191d193455f5861fba6c70f438366240e64c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Svitolinaof Gauff, Svitolina
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,850
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,355
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,850 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Gauff | 2c | 934$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.84 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb77e…e668backed Svitolina | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.8 | 198 | 46%91 W · 107 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Gauff | 59c | 371.2$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.01 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Gauff | 57c | 143.23$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.64 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977d…9a58backed Svitolina | 43c | 124.63$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.04 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…c71fbacked Svitolina | 38c | 120$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.4 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0baf…390abacked Gauff | 63c | 119.05$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -4.9wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked Svitolina | 39c | 118$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.98 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed Svitolina | 39c | 79$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.19 | 29 | 82.8%24 W · 5 L | +8.8wins | +0.31per pick | 52cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Svitolina | 38c | 75$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca0…7ebebacked Svitolina | 38c | 65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.3 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x783c…6900backed Svitolina | 38c | 42.1$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Gauff | 62c | 42.1$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 1,258 | 50%629 W · 629 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Svitolina | 74c | 40.44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb717…a67fbacked Gauff | 62c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ff…db1dbacked Gauff | 62c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7219…fcf7backed Gauff | 62c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa029…c912backed Gauff | 62c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Svitolina | 75c | 29.56$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6162…e856backed Gauff | 61c | 28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.08 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f6…9cdabacked Gauff | 61c | 26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.7wins | -0.22per pick | 57cpaid | -46%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x879d…8c58backed Gauff | 61c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3e…390fbacked Gauff | 61c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6098…d746backed Gauff | 61c | 24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33d…1969backed Gauff | 61c | 24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd26c…fc57backed Gauff | 62c | 23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f53…1ddcbacked Gauff | 62c | 22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77ed…53f7backed Gauff | 62c | 22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef9…b5bfbacked Gauff | 62c | 21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab0…8383backed Gauff | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Gauff vs Svitolinathis page
- Australian Open Women's: Coco Gauff vs Elina SvitolinaSvitolina won
- Gauff vs. Svitolina: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Gauff vs. Svitolina: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Gauff vs. Svitolina: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Gauff vs. Svitolina: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Under won
- Gauff vs. Svitolina: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set Handicap: Gauff (-1.5) vs Svitolina (+1.5)Svitolina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.