Asian League · resolved market
Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf08ed70057639156327b39ce672e7c01adac871fa8b971fda9c126cc5e871374
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $110,900
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $113,252
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,900 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Under | 56c | 55,993$31,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,875.75 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 62cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 44c | 26,726$11,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,809.75 | 2,528 | 42.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L | +53.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Over | 47c | 25,000$11,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,750 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 53c | 22,712$12,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,674.6 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 44c | 9,910$4,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,407.44 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked Under | 52c | 9,000$4,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,319.95 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 44c | 7,385$3,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,264.31 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07c8…2696backed Over | 47c | 7,033$3,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,315.26 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed Over | 48c | 4,663$2,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,242.63 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 45c | 4,403$1,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,981.86 | 275 | 40.7%112 W · 163 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 38c | 3,525$1,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,332.2 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Under | 54c | 985$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.1 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34da…ac26backed Under | 56c | 900$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.16 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83fc…2bedbacked Under | 40c | 600$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +94.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27ac…188dbacked Under | 64c | 422.82$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.13 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 46c | 399.61$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.82 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -5.2wins | -0.40per pick | 48cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under | 51c | 377.08$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.77 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 39c | 257.97$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.52 | 138 | 55.8%77 W · 61 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcf…146ebacked Over | 42c | 234.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Over | 46c | 215.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Over | 47c | 213.62$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.97 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe977…61ecbacked Over | 48c | 212.89$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd951…f30bbacked Over | 49c | 206.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd4…c870backed Under | 56c | 178.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd925…3ab5backed Under | 54c | 140.5$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 59c | 131.69$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.42 | 307 | 50.8%156 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca6d…492bbacked Under | 56c | 130$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.8 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5b…7744backed Under | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07bc…393abacked Over | 45c | 121.46$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.41 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f0…6718backed Under | 77c | 118.56$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5650…4cd8backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Over | 38c | 103.17$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbf…4ec0backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf48c…e4dabacked Over | 45c | 99.96$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.73 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe00f…c254backed Under | 55c | 96.27$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.16 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…f5efbacked Over | 48c | 95.39$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.58 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7424…0e11backed Over | 50c | 94.18$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…fb93backed Under | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdf…56f5backed Over | 47c | 85.79$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 25c | 76.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 1,357 | 45.5%617 W · 740 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcffa…5eddbacked Under | 52c | 76.32$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c80…aa9abacked Over | 46c | 75.4$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.92 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 68c | 63.19$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977d…9a58backed Under | 54c | 61.11$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.11 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0052…4d9ebacked Over | 75c | 60$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 70 | 68.6%48 W · 22 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Over | 34c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Under | 54c | 59.09$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.96 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 48c | 55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89fc…8d1bbacked Over | 46c | 55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e63…2d79backed Over | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 706 | 52.3%369 W · 337 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf44e…eb5abacked Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56d2…7afcbacked Under | 54c | 46.36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.31 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc504…8cfebacked Over | 66c | 45.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaed3…205bbacked Over | 48c | 41.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae2…90afbacked Under | 67c | 40.64$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Under | 55c | 38.58$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.36 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf263…e9c1backed Under | 52c | 38.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.16 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Under | 54c | 37.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Over | 34c | 36.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | -10.2wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb089…a271backed Over | 48c | 31.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Under | 54c | 30.08$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.84 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -9.0wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -49%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under | 57c | 29.11$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.62 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeddb…8afcbacked Over | 36c | 28.36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…6a7fbacked Under | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1f…959abacked Over | 47c | 22.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1c…b332backed Under | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Over | 48c | 21.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20d1…0814backed Under | 75c | 20.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbef…fe08backed Under | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba54…b009backed Under | 65c | 19.88$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 3.5this page
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.