Asian League · resolved market
Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x808e7408262840a3886f994a2ae9888306fc4c7c07e820db58affa983063bd40
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,026
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,118
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,026 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Over | 63c | 17,863$11,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,614.81 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 62cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 37c | 17,272$6,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,390.72 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 16c | 3,154$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.35 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 38c | 1,446$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.86 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 15c | 1,248$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.7 | 2,528 | 42.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L | +53.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 15c | 547.27$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.76 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 66c | 260$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked Over | 69c | 259.36$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.39 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked Under | 48c | 208.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.9wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c7…bd87backed Over | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9e…4580backed Over | 63c | 172.03$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.94 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Over | 63c | 158.97$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.97 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0082…e801backed Over | 64c | 156.3$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.7 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.28per pick | 54cpaid | +57%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…7031backed Over | 79c | 155.24$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde7…6f35backed Under | 40c | 149.29$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…62aebacked Under | 16c | 127$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 21c | 126.37$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 1,357 | 45.5%617 W · 740 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x610a…3528backed Under | 40c | 125.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.2wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x34da…ac26backed Under | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.7 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Under | 19c | 99.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | -10.2wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Under | 39c | 96.6$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.51 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…e14fbacked Under | 13c | 91.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Under | 14c | 71.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 89 | 6.7%6 W · 83 L | -22.4wins | -0.25per pick | 32cpaid | -78.2%equal weight | 28-0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Under | 38c | 67.68$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe00f…c254backed Under | 41c | 59.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.62 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…630cbacked Over | 60c | 48.73$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 23c | 48.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 307 | 50.8%156 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f78…bfcabacked Over | 61c | 32.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.44 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfcf…78a2backed Under | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9087…d582backed Under | 39c | 28.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1f…959abacked Under | 39c | 27.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…6a7fbacked Over | 78c | 25.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.53 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Over | 74c | 22.6$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.85 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Over | 63c | 16.08$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.95 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 1.5this page
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.