Asian League · resolved market
Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9fa704b67ac29d5172760b313b3dc17f94a14d95a79415d0c806c012d17e6548
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,683
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,825
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,683 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x659c…85bbbacked No | 38c | 2,631$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.77 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Yes | 62c | 2,326$1,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.13 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a3…e321backed Yes | 70c | 2,261$1,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 37c | 1,985$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250.3 | 2,528 | 42.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L | +53.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 39c | 1,128$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.02 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 38c | 653.94$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.5 | 1,319 | 56.7%748 W · 571 L | +64.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb6…4e70backed Yes | 62c | 533.9$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.88 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…dc71backed No | 45c | 423.83$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.73 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…5142backed Yes | 61c | 263.29$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 35c | 221.83$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.33 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Yes | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed No | 38c | 157.89$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 138 | 46.4%64 W · 74 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 48c | 154.8$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.82 | 1,357 | 45.5%617 W · 740 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 35c | 135.94$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.58 | 275 | 40.7%112 W · 163 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Yes | 63c | 122$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.14 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac7a…414fbacked No | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Yes | 62c | 101.73$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.62 | 199 | 53.3%106 W · 93 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf93d…1e0bbacked Yes | 62c | 88.71$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.71 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 35c | 69.97$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.49 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…e14fbacked No | 39c | 69.43$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.86 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…d5b0backed Yes | 65c | 63.45$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.92 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e9…5112backed Yes | 40c | 52.75$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +112.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1176…c273backed No | 38c | 52.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Yes | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Yes | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbec3…22b6backed Yes | 69c | 43.29$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Yes | 47c | 42.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.53 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Yes | 59c | 42.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.46 | 126 | 59.5%75 W · 51 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b59…a1cdbacked Yes | 67c | 41.16$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb138…67d6backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe829…a4aabacked No | 37c | 39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd35…ecebbacked No | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab2c…0ab7backed No | 37c | 38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Yes | 66c | 30.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.53 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Yes | 69c | 30.48$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.51 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x859a…1ccebacked No | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96d2…dc9bbacked No | 36c | 29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Yes | 71c | 28.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +4.0wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 55c | 21.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.