Asian League · resolved market
Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x41c37e244d195f8dea48f422285917bad38393ad5adf1d46f2585d4f17e5d940
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,503
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,965
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,503 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Under | 35c | 5,661$1,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,981.52 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…dc71backed Under | 35c | 5,351$1,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,869.34 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 52c | 3,363$1,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,628.21 | 6,028 | 46.1%2,778 W · 3,250 L | +50.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 63c | 3,070$1,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,122.61 | 2,620 | 42%1,101 W · 1,519 L | +51.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Under | 70c | 3,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,099.69 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc8…a613backed Over | 58c | 1,724$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.09 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed Over | 68c | 1,174$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.6 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Over | 66c | 1,111$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.29 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf516…79a0backed Under | 36c | 1,084$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6f…6b82backed Over | 67c | 952.95$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 41c | 834.56$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.65 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 35c | 657.96$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.1 | 1,347 | 56.5%761 W · 586 L | +63.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x678e…63febacked Over | 65c | 535.68$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.2 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 74c | 380$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.8 | 120 | 74.2%89 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcf…146ebacked Over | 43c | 352.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.62 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 42c | 238.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.55 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 41c | 163.17$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.38 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…6edbbacked Over | 64c | 155$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 53c | 154.26$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.26 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa9…72dbbacked Over | 70c | 142.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.62 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 35c | 132.4$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.34 | 708 | 52.4%371 W · 337 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82c0…02fdbacked Over | 35c | 114.29$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.29 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 74c | 108.95$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.33 | 138 | 55.8%77 W · 61 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked Over | 70c | 107.14$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.14 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 43c | 106.5$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.83 | 307 | 50.8%156 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ce…5127backed Under | 55c | 105.29$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 65c | 102.09$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.68 | 141 | 53.2%75 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 177 | 52.5%93 W · 84 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb7…618ebacked Over | 52c | 94.32$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.32 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 70c | 86.64$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.26 | 341 | 52.8%180 W · 161 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07bc…393abacked Over | 65c | 82.51$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.88 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 31c | 78$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.83 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…cbf9backed Over | 74c | 73.39$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 43c | 64.89$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 1,365 | 45.5%621 W · 744 L | +14.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Under | 68c | 63.5$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.48 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 69c | 54$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.74 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under | 64c | 51.98$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.23 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x901f…b8b0backed Over | 69c | 50.72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee7…6760backed Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7802…d5b4backed Over | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…a03dbacked Over | 50c | 49.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Over | 70c | 46.77$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.03 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75c0…dfd2backed Over | 42c | 46$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.68 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b64…eaf4backed Under | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x610a…3528backed Under | 69c | 41.9$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.85 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.2wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8d14…1eb4backed Under | 49c | 40.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Under | 69c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Over | 69c | 36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -45%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Over | 34c | 33.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.77 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…e14fbacked Under | 32c | 33.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8f…83f8backed Under | 49c | 31.76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Over | 49c | 30.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.31 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca6d…492bbacked Under | 58c | 29.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.39 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6d…c504backed Under | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Over | 63c | 28.93$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaa…cd5fbacked Over | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +85.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4935…4662backed Over | 68c | 25.47$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec3…22b6backed Over | 71c | 19.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20d1…0814backed Under | 60c | 16.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49b9…9613backed Under | 69c | 16.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 2.5this page
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.