TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-03?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,836,005
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,936,543

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,836,005 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x16b2…a881backed No35c206,941$72,394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72,394.318957.3%51 W · 38 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd0b4…fed6backed Yes64c94,055$60,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,859.924852.1%25 W · 23 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5350…2fdabacked Yes65c87,437$56,834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,602.824100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+63.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed No35c69,544$24,599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,599.268940.4%36 W · 53 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0aa3…64e9backed No36c65,473$23,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,570.272646.2%12 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+36.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c74…bd4ebacked Yes65c61,500$39,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,5254548.9%22 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x29f9…e310backed Yes64c58,334$37,334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,000.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No34c53,718$18,274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,273.786145.9%28 W · 33 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked No35c50,000$17,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,499.993946.2%18 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Yes65c47,588$30,786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,802.5810438.5%40 W · 64 L-8.6wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-15.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No38c46,446$17,789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,788.64,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bf6…22a9backed Yes66c45,099$29,723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,376.112100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7a8…14f8backed Yes67c44,929$30,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,929.35955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55a1…db28backed Yes65c40,000$26,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,0001100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes66c38,642$25,497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,144.75058%29 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes65c38,534$25,163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,370.750243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2c8…5471backed No35c35,011$12,212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,212.199536.8%35 W · 60 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No33c34,310$11,427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,426.891,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No34c32,105$10,901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,900.631,16951.8%606 W · 563 L+18.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No35c26,762$9,304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,303.647321.9%16 W · 57 L-7.4wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-37.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No34c25,788$8,768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,767.589028.9%26 W · 64 L-7.0wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-30.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed No35c22,638$7,923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,923.33138.7%12 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes65c22,239$14,566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,673.2730634.6%106 W · 200 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9665…e721backed No34c21,000$7,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,209.982433.3%8 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed No34c18,888$6,422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,421.836127.9%17 W · 44 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-41.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes41c16,766$6,793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,973.3469142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No51c14,727$7,532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,531.9590843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15a6…bf5dbacked No35c14,171$4,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,959.851752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No35c12,868$4,478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,477.891,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked No38c11,235$4,259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,259.4312648.4%61 W · 65 L-9.0wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-12.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes65c10,894$7,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,835.6953246.1%245 W · 287 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb737…98b9backed Yes60c10,841$6,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,341.081181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick66cpaid+33.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed No38c10,436$3,914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,914.094753.2%25 W · 22 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x922d…d82bbacked Yes65c10,209$6,636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,573.28475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+28.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50dd…c186backed No35c10,136$3,548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,547.741926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-40.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No36c10,000$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,60024145.2%109 W · 132 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43d4…13a2backed Yes65c9,886$6,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,459.96250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f7b…d405backed No35c9,662$3,367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,367.1175.9%1 W · 16 L-4.0wins-0.23per pick29cpaid-87.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe8f2…22a3backed Yes59c9,000$5,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,675666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed No34c9,000$3,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,074.9313845.7%63 W · 75 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf70c…72c1backed No37c8,159$3,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,013.9750%0 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa6ee…697bbacked No36c8,054$2,899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,899.44942.9%21 W · 28 L-4.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-21.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No34c8,000$2,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,719.987922.8%18 W · 61 L-8.5wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-40.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed No33c7,499$2,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,474.89625%24 W · 72 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6394…9bb3backed No35c7,017$2,456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,455.951020%2 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-68.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x40f8…327dbacked Yes65c6,762$4,396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,366.87850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes50c6,479$3,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,265.73,44443%1,482 W · 1,962 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22ed…002bbacked No34c6,300$2,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,141.951827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-32.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x07fc…7ac6backed Yes64c6,150$3,936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,214475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+39.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed No34c6,048$2,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,038.386836.8%25 W · 43 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd89e…35fabacked No37c6,000$2,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,19030%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b5a…00f2backed Yes53c5,628$2,983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,644.97475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+48.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6752…d728backed No34c5,478$1,863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,862.69250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-21%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa661…af49backed No36c5,468$1,965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,965.35250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked No36c5,111$1,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8408334.9%29 W · 54 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick38cpaid+2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd05f…8777backed No34c5,000$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,679.956640.9%27 W · 39 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+26.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes63c4,880$3,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,784.1364046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48be…73a8backed Yes53c4,717$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,216.981258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e3f…8e8dbacked Yes64c4,699$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,699.474362.8%27 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed No46c4,680$2,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,169.163345.5%15 W · 18 L-4.0wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-25.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed No35c4,620$1,617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,616.993941%16 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedb1…819ebacked Yes65c4,615$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,615.381190.9%10 W · 1 L+3.2wins+0.29per pick62cpaid+48.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes64c4,606$2,948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,658.257632.9%25 W · 51 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked No34c4,513$1,513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,513.198521.2%18 W · 67 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-26.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4818…bf0bbacked No37c4,396$1,627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,626.655246.2%24 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed No35c4,111$1,439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,438.867455.4%41 W · 33 L+5.9wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+19.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xebb4…1374backed No34c4,062$1,378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,377.562035%7 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24d8…e8a8backed No37c4,025$1,472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,471.615160.8%31 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc807…8038backed Yes64c4,022$2,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,461.63366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+21.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c9…4386backed Yes62c4,022$2,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,522.265151%26 W · 25 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x24da…9561backed No34c4,000$1,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3601442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick32cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd776…ffebbacked No35c4,000$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,399.985442.6%23 W · 31 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d29…5111backed Yes65c3,972$2,586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,385.871546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-27.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Yes52c3,846$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,846.0820054%108 W · 92 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe68b…b796backed Yes66c3,843$2,519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,324.189541.1%39 W · 56 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd502…4d4cbacked No34c3,828$1,302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,301.572770.4%19 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed Yes67c3,595$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,194.7610250%51 W · 51 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5128…13d9backed Yes65c3,524$2,286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,237.55250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-22.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Yes58c3,200$1,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,340.22837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Yes65c3,157$2,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,114.252035%7 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-36.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d80…cd30backed Yes66c3,030$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,030.3862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee4…276fbacked Yes52c3,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4401861.1%11 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick67cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed No47c3,000$1,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,409.998142%34 W · 47 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked No46c2,945$1,355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,354.614247.6%20 W · 22 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x39a3…bd26backed Yes65c2,940$1,910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,030.52785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.22per pick63cpaid+37.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8887…c607backed Yes66c2,918$1,924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$993.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Yes52c2,907$1,512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,395.491833.3%6 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-22.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1713…878bbacked Yes66c2,867$1,892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$974.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca76…a964backed No34c2,854$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$970.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb40f…a5b1backed No35c2,849$997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997.152326.1%6 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-24.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed No37c2,703$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00015446.1%71 W · 83 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e04…0ce0backed Yes77c2,562$1,967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$594.96366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b89…8c32backed Yes65c2,546$1,655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$891.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d9d…e6c3backed Yes65c2,500$1,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8753151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cc1…fdc6backed No34c2,500$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$850540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-35.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9eb…ae0ebacked No35c2,420$847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84720%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcee6…b3b7backed Yes66c2,404$1,585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.762142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b5e…61b4backed Yes71c2,397$1,701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$695.682458.3%14 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fc7…969bbacked No35c2,290$802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801.52133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-22.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4446…1fd0backed No44c2,274$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0006672.7%48 W · 18 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.