Tennis · resolved market
Santos: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Franco Roncadelli
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x40b58f63d64808e0f9e7d470211af8256b85a53f160f44184453752263d26d63
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Franco Roncadelliof Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida, Franco Roncadelli
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,609
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,054
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,609 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida | 61c | 6,343$3,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,865.14 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Franco Roncadelli | 39c | 3,604$1,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,189.69 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida | 70c | 2,874$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 620 | 61.9%384 W · 236 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Franco Roncadelli | 37c | 2,755$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,730.75 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida | 70c | 2,507$1,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,758.18 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Franco Roncadelli | 43c | 2,135$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,206.73 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Franco Roncadelli | 39c | 1,756$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,067.82 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida | 59c | 1,449$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.23 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…4088backed Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida | 66c | 1,346$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.45 | 181 | 59.7%108 W · 73 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Franco Roncadelli | 30c | 1,039$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.19 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Franco Roncadelli | 43c | 930.61$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.65 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Franco Roncadelli | 34c | 910.33$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.82 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida | 62c | 848.19$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.68 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5baf…3e56backed Franco Roncadelli | 37c | 805.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.45 | 658 | 40.9%269 W · 389 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Franco Roncadelli | 20c | 749.81$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.81 | 302 | 25.8%78 W · 224 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb3…8e52backed Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida | 32c | 625$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Franco Roncadelli | 36c | 599.11$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.07 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Franco Roncadelli | 33c | 595.51$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.97 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Franco Roncadelli | 36c | 468.76$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.19 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida | 43c | 393.09$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.63 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Franco Roncadelli | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.33 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida | 55c | 326$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida | 63c | 300.94$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.37 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida | 60c | 297.45$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.27 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida | 73c | 290$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.7 | 351 | 87.7%308 W · 43 L | +66.4wins | +0.19per pick | 69cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Franco Roncadelli | 25c | 284.36$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.28 | 1,532 | 40.7%624 W · 908 L | -48.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…a5d6backed Franco Roncadelli | 37c | 271.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.55 | 504 | 58.9%297 W · 207 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida | 64c | 204.67$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.16 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Franco Roncadelli | 40c | 198.48$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.37 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Franco Roncadelli | 41c | 187.9$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.45 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Franco Roncadelli | 43c | 171.79$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.73 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Franco Roncadelli | 34c | 161.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.91 | 967 | 55.3%535 W · 432 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3626…3834backed Franco Roncadelli | 34c | 140$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.4 | 116 | 32.8%38 W · 78 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida | 27c | 137.87$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 377 | 41.4%156 W · 221 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2784…e60abacked Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida | 77c | 127$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.79 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida | 79c | 126.6$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.97 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida | 62c | 126.45$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.4 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1404…b3c0backed Franco Roncadelli | 16c | 123.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida | 61c | 106.13$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.29 | 1,354 | 43.9%595 W · 759 L | -62.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida | 70c | 105$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.61 | 430 | 67%288 W · 142 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Franco Roncadelli | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 55 | 18.2%10 W · 45 L | -6.5wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -54%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbee0…7dffbacked Franco Roncadelli | 13c | 100$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 144 | 15.3%22 W · 122 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c8…88cbbacked Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida | 79c | 99.98$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.99 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Franco Roncadelli | 24c | 96.09$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.83 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…1414backed Franco Roncadelli | 19c | 95.97$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.97 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Franco Roncadelli | 23c | 89.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.76 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Franco Roncadelli | 40c | 80.98$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.34 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a3…3850backed Franco Roncadelli | 30c | 77.88$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.33 | 856 | 24.4%209 W · 647 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977d…9a58backed Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida | 69c | 76.81$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…eb76backed Franco Roncadelli | 34c | 69.13$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.33 | 183 | 30.1%55 W · 128 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e38…54b6backed Franco Roncadelli | 30c | 69$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 34cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida | 72c | 60$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.15 | 437 | 50.3%220 W · 217 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Franco Roncadelli | 22c | 54.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.51 | 269 | 51.3%138 W · 131 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc04c…cebfbacked Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida | 75c | 51.87$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.9 | 671 | 78.7%528 W · 143 L | +49.1wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida | 67c | 51.1$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.25 | 1,028 | 43.3%445 W · 583 L | -24.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked Franco Roncadelli | 27c | 50.17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.7 | 332 | 53.6%178 W · 154 L | +21.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida | 72c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 527 | 50.3%265 W · 262 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…0436backed Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida | 67c | 49.25$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 237 | 54.4%129 W · 108 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked Franco Roncadelli | 36c | 41.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.77 | 130 | 51.5%67 W · 63 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee0a…36d8backed Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida | 66c | 33.33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 382 | 62.3%238 W · 144 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6161…c834backed Franco Roncadelli | 43c | 33.11$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.87 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida | 70c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 592 | 53.5%317 W · 275 L | +22.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Franco Roncadelli | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…7159backed Franco Roncadelli | 35c | 28.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.84 | 903 | 40.2%363 W · 540 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida | 66c | 24.62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida | 66c | 23.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e97…8504backed Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida | 65c | 17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x982e…add6backed Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 159 | 38.4%61 W · 98 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.