NHL · resolved market
Kraken vs. Utah
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf4582970c1c33e6261ca76097863012e8aee805f64f33d87e8d02deae04d2b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Utahof Kraken, Utah
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $757,166
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $793,516
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $757,166 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 606 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x98f7…b3e4backed Kraken | 38c | 328,588$124,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124,849.12 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Utah | 62c | 270,877$168,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102,651.48 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Kraken | 24c | 60,000$14,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,099.99 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Utah | 62c | 39,600$24,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,048 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Utah | 62c | 18,212$11,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,899.77 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Utah | 62c | 15,000$9,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,700 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Kraken | 0c | 14,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Kraken | 36c | 11,603$4,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,176.93 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Utah | 65c | 8,971$5,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,153.48 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Kraken | 39c | 7,477$2,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,950 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Utah | 62c | 7,000$4,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,626.3 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked Kraken | 39c | 7,000$2,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,730 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Kraken | 36c | 7,000$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,519.98 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Kraken | 37c | 6,500$2,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,398.57 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Utah | 62c | 6,228$3,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,366.45 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Utah | 63c | 6,000$3,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,240 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Utah | 62c | 5,808$3,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,207.04 | 260 | 58.8%153 W · 107 L | +17.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Utah | 62c | 4,240$2,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,611.2 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Utah | 64c | 3,973$2,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450.06 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Utah | 63c | 3,806$2,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,408.22 | 246 | 54.5%134 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Utah | 63c | 3,614$2,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,341.04 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kraken | 32c | 3,609$1,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,157.97 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Utah | 63c | 3,285$2,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,206.42 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kraken | 38c | 3,266$1,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,232.92 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Utah | 62c | 3,034$1,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,138.28 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Kraken | 38c | 3,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Utah | 63c | 3,000$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b9…0598backed Utah | 67c | 2,973$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.85 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Utah | 63c | 2,867$1,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,074.65 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Utah | 66c | 2,845$1,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.38 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac71…b290backed Utah | 64c | 2,799$1,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$995.87 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Utah | 63c | 2,453$1,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.37 | 269 | 55.8%150 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Utah | 62c | 2,389$1,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.95 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccdb…ffa9backed Utah | 63c | 2,371$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.1 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Utah | 64c | 2,220$1,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.2 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Kraken | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Utah | 64c | 2,000$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb763…247dbacked Utah | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Kraken | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9780…16f0backed Kraken | 37c | 1,811$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x019d…2b01backed Utah | 65c | 1,691$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.56 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Utah | 63c | 1,660$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.11 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Kraken | 37c | 1,600$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe366…b478backed Utah | 64c | 1,499$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.64 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.3wins | +0.33per pick | 57cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x53b9…de86backed Kraken | 36c | 1,499$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.64 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…fc3ebacked Utah | 64c | 1,498$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.28 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…1024backed Kraken | 36c | 1,498$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.28 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2710…e62abacked Utah | 64c | 1,495$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe43e…623fbacked Kraken | 36c | 1,495$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.2 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77dd…fff3backed Kraken | 36c | 1,491$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.76 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb732…8a3cbacked Utah | 64c | 1,491$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.76 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd514…aceebacked Utah | 64c | 1,489$953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.04 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2290…4b30backed Kraken | 36c | 1,489$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.04 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf3…617abacked Utah | 64c | 1,484$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.24 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa304…9412backed Kraken | 36c | 1,484$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.24 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed91…3edabacked Kraken | 36c | 1,483$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.88 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a5…3b39backed Kraken | 36c | 1,483$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.88 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9442…1424backed Kraken | 36c | 1,483$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.88 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d87…57f0backed Utah | 64c | 1,483$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.88 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb90b…7af3backed Utah | 64c | 1,483$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.88 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbece…6199backed Utah | 64c | 1,483$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.88 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d3e…e45ebacked Kraken | 36c | 1,482$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.52 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9951…26e3backed Utah | 64c | 1,482$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.52 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +97.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd133…ff49backed Kraken | 36c | 1,481$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.16 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…afbabacked Utah | 64c | 1,481$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.16 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6cfc…bbdabacked Utah | 64c | 1,479$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.44 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f4…5beebacked Kraken | 36c | 1,479$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.44 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ed…5460backed Kraken | 36c | 1,479$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.44 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff2…3d4cbacked Utah | 64c | 1,479$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.44 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.4wins | +0.34per pick | 56cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4de4…abeabacked Utah | 64c | 1,477$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.72 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1776…94d2backed Utah | 64c | 1,477$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.72 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…b257backed Kraken | 36c | 1,477$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.72 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc6c…f855backed Kraken | 36c | 1,477$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.72 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e28…b889backed Utah | 64c | 1,477$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.72 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.24per pick | 58cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf38b…546fbacked Kraken | 36c | 1,477$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.72 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3b…85e9backed Utah | 64c | 1,476$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.36 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe96e…b844backed Kraken | 36c | 1,476$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.36 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf73…7b16backed Utah | 64c | 1,475$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb451…c6bebacked Kraken | 36c | 1,475$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2623…a9c5backed Utah | 64c | 1,475$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x852b…ab3dbacked Kraken | 36c | 1,475$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7a…f682backed Utah | 64c | 1,470$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.2 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f01…e463backed Kraken | 36c | 1,470$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.2 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd073…db36backed Utah | 64c | 1,470$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.2 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab78…d994backed Kraken | 36c | 1,470$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.2 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…8491backed Kraken | 36c | 1,467$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.12 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9a…6d7dbacked Utah | 64c | 1,467$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.12 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9b…53f0backed Utah | 64c | 1,465$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.4 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x48aa…997bbacked Kraken | 36c | 1,465$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.4 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa08…5588backed Kraken | 36c | 1,462$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.32 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +18%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcde1…552dbacked Utah | 64c | 1,462$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.32 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…8de2backed Utah | 64c | 1,456$932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.16 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7608…9bf7backed Kraken | 36c | 1,456$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.16 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5303…999ebacked Utah | 64c | 1,456$932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.16 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecc7…1929backed Kraken | 36c | 1,456$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.16 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8525…871dbacked Kraken | 36c | 1,454$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.44 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22e1…1230backed Utah | 64c | 1,454$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.44 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x508a…abc3backed Utah | 64c | 1,453$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.08 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3081…2c4ebacked Kraken | 36c | 1,453$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.08 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Utah | 64c | 1,451$929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.34 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kraken vs. Utahthis page
- Kraken vs. Utah: O/U 5.5Over won
- Kraken vs. Utah: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Utah (-1.5)Utah won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.