NBA · resolved market

Heat vs. Jazz

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x188710cca5d961454b0173c03be5643b32bacb9a5cc1df7cccd5eb0958308808

Rebuilt 22 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Heatof Heat, Jazz
Resolved: Jan 25, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $2,875,694
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $2,937,641

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,875,694 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 868 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xb45a…192cbacked Jazz	32c	400,426$127,502 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127,501.75	545	39.6%216 W · 329 L	-28.2wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Heat	68c	325,000$221,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104,000	871	44.7%389 W · 482 L	+14.9wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked Heat	69c	315,890$217,964 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97,926	68	41.2%28 W · 40 L	-3.0wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked Jazz	31c	300,000$93,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93,000	168	41.1%69 W · 99 L	-4.7wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Heat	70c	193,285$136,239 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57,046.36	518	44.4%230 W · 288 L	+11.0wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Heat	70c	189,956$132,223 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57,732.93	1,045	49%512 W · 533 L	+21.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x564f…1795backed Jazz	29c	139,859$40,282 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40,282.06	38	39.5%15 W · 23 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x44d4…1970backed Heat	70c	94,559$66,191 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28,367.59	167	52.1%87 W · 80 L	+7.6wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa21…1438backed Jazz	30c	61,138$18,475 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,474.7	168	48.2%81 W · 87 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7960…b94fbacked Heat	69c	59,999$41,549 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,450.08	197	51.8%102 W · 95 L	+9.2wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x56fc…733ebacked Jazz	31c	56,782$17,527 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17,527.2	98	57.1%56 W · 42 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf668…5c69backed Heat	69c	40,280$27,701 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,579.7	363	59.8%217 W · 146 L	+23.7wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3d89…b02cbacked Jazz	30c	40,000$12,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,000	25	60%15 W · 10 L	+3.8wins	+0.15per pick	45cpaid	+25.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Jazz	30c	40,000$12,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,000	1,374	50.1%689 W · 685 L	+34.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Jazz	28c	35,291$9,982 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,982.19	2,091	47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L	-56.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Heat	71c	35,109$24,790 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,318.11	1,204	55.3%666 W · 538 L	+52.0wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x906f…88b4backed Heat	70c	34,920$24,444 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,476.05	224	53.1%119 W · 105 L	+7.6wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Jazz	30c	33,737$10,262 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,261.92	2,078	53.6%1,113 W · 965 L	+44.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5798…ab44backed Jazz	31c	32,000$9,850 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,849.99	157	40.8%64 W · 93 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Heat	70c	31,807$22,165 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,642.09	2,153	51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L	+76.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba41…5f4fbacked Jazz	28c	31,000$8,613 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,613	314	45.2%142 W · 172 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd3a…67cabacked Jazz	13c	30,257$3,916 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,916.35	508	38.2%194 W · 314 L	+22.3wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Heat	71c	30,000$21,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,699.98	290	55.5%161 W · 129 L	+15.8wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Jazz	30c	28,690$8,607 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,607.03	603	51.4%310 W · 293 L	+16.3wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Jazz	29c	27,616$8,051 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,050.68	1,908	54.5%1,040 W · 868 L	+53.7wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Jazz	19c	26,731$4,993 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,992.85	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x03f9…f78ebacked Jazz	38c	26,232$9,986 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,985.69	133	39.1%52 W · 81 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Jazz	6c	25,626$1,570 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,570.14	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Jazz	6c	25,005$1,375 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,375.3	1,124	48.6%546 W · 578 L	+13.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacba…40a1backed Jazz	1c	22,408$221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$221.35	29	41.4%12 W · 17 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	-32%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Jazz	22c	21,776$4,811 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,811.49	1,003	34.7%348 W · 655 L	-44.7wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x79e5…9417backed Jazz	30c	20,758$6,196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,196.25	61	65.6%40 W · 21 L	+5.4wins	+0.09per pick	57cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Heat	72c	20,610$14,743 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,866.5	346	54%187 W · 159 L	+13.4wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe12a…67efbacked Jazz	32c	20,008$6,306 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,305.51	158	41.1%65 W · 93 L	-4.3wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xedc8…cca9backed Heat	70c	20,000$14,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,000	205	51.2%105 W · 100 L	+8.6wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Heat	68c	20,000$13,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,299.99	458	50.4%231 W · 227 L	+11.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Jazz	0c	17,165$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.45	882	0%0 W · 882 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62fb…4d60backed Jazz	33c	16,000$5,280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,280	355	47.3%168 W · 187 L	+6.1wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Jazz	7c	15,000$1,050 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,050	773	48.5%375 W · 398 L	+7.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x163e…dc5bbacked Heat	71c	14,085$10,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,084.51	207	58%120 W · 87 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd28…2aefbacked Jazz	17c	14,067$2,386 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,386.43	314	30.3%95 W · 219 L	-1.4wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x03a9…37babacked Heat	71c	13,837$9,824 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,012.62	105	47.6%50 W · 55 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Heat	68c	13,285$9,096 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,189.11	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Jazz	31c	12,779$3,961 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,961.46	596	53.4%318 W · 278 L	+4.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Heat	70c	12,081$8,457 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,624.28	1,046	51.1%534 W · 512 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9080…d00abacked Heat	69c	12,029$8,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,728.99	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-1.1wins	-0.14per pick	52cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Heat	69c	11,772$8,122 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,649.24	286	49.7%142 W · 144 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed Heat	69c	11,571$7,984 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,587	308	45.8%141 W · 167 L	-12.8wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Jazz	29c	10,817$3,185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,184.84	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Jazz	1c	10,720$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.76	521	3.8%20 W · 501 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x264c…8250backed Jazz	29c	10,313$2,991 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,990.76	42	61.9%26 W · 16 L	+4.2wins	+0.10per pick	52cpaid	+32.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x18a3…b0fdbacked Jazz	6c	10,179$646 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$646	33	63.6%21 W · 12 L	+3.4wins	+0.10per pick	53cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4059…23dabacked Jazz	0c	10,150$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.25	123	4.9%6 W · 117 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	7cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x832d…d420backed Jazz	0c	10,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	65	40%26 W · 39 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x131e…3343backed Jazz	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07b8…8e25backed Heat	70c	10,000$7,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,000	232	57.8%134 W · 98 L	+7.6wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed Jazz	30c	10,000$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000	240	45.4%109 W · 131 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa827…1adbbacked Jazz	31c	10,000$3,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,100	29	31%9 W · 20 L	-2.9wins	-0.10per pick	41cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc480…0caabacked Heat	69c	10,000$6,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,099.94	132	49.2%65 W · 67 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb915…8da5backed Jazz	32c	9,267$2,965 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,965.44	104	59.6%62 W · 42 L	+8.4wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+23%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Heat	69c	9,022$6,248 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,774.33	352	51.1%180 W · 172 L	+8.7wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x12fd…90c0backed Jazz	32c	8,174$2,616 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,615.73	284	39.8%113 W · 171 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Heat	71c	8,000$5,680 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,320	453	48.1%218 W · 235 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc57…f5f4backed Heat	69c	7,244$4,998 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,245.55	108	50.9%55 W · 53 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04d2…4c2cbacked Jazz	29c	7,100$2,059 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,059	174	54%94 W · 80 L	+6.3wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf35…b5eabacked Jazz	30c	6,767$2,030 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,030.04	132	39.4%52 W · 80 L	-8.7wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfed6…e517backed Heat	69c	6,720$4,637 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,083.29	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	+0.9wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4a4…3117backed Jazz	2c	6,708$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159	286	16.4%47 W · 239 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Jazz	18c	6,628$1,225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,225.18	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Jazz	31c	6,346$1,960 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,959.79	2,512	49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x89da…a6c2backed Jazz	4c	6,249$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240.33	103	4.9%5 W · 98 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	7cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Heat	80c	6,152$4,891 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,261.15	3,342	43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L	+81.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Jazz	31c	6,000$1,860 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,860	1,820	52.1%948 W · 872 L	+48.5wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8758…add7backed Jazz	31c	6,000$1,860 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,860	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	+0.8wins	+0.07per pick	26cpaid	+27.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7791…af80backed Jazz	31c	6,000$1,870 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,870	74	41.9%31 W · 43 L	-3.0wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Jazz	30c	5,660$1,698 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,698.02	2,346	48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L	-14.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Jazz	31c	5,352$1,636 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,635.95	1,782	28%499 W · 1,283 L	+11.5wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Jazz	26c	5,189$1,373 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,373.31	5,844	46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L	+32.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Jazz	31c	5,000$1,550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,550	584	49.7%290 W · 294 L	+10.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99e4…e4c4backed Heat	67c	5,000$3,350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,650	146	63.7%93 W · 53 L	+11.6wins	+0.08per pick	56cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x201c…58bfbacked Heat	69c	5,000$3,450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,550	185	47%87 W · 98 L	-4.9wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a79…a442backed Jazz	39c	4,757$1,854 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,853.81	70	62.9%44 W · 26 L	-2.5wins	-0.04per pick	66cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x843c…126cbacked Heat	68c	4,740$3,211 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,528.69	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	+1.3wins	+0.09per pick	55cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Jazz	29c	4,624$1,343 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,343.45	399	58.4%233 W · 166 L	+19.6wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc1e1…f855backed Heat	68c	4,412$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,411.76	287	42.9%123 W · 164 L	-6.0wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d46…cf8bbacked Jazz	23c	4,388$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	76	51.3%39 W · 37 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Jazz	31c	4,350$1,360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,360.37	659	39.5%260 W · 399 L	-13.1wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Heat	67c	4,218$2,844 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,373.95	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d07…0351backed Jazz	3c	4,124$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	47	29.8%14 W · 33 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1520…378fbacked Heat	69c	4,000$2,760 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,240	204	53.9%110 W · 94 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae3e…a5f4backed Jazz	32c	4,000$1,280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,280	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	32cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Jazz	29c	3,800$1,109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,109	618	35.4%219 W · 399 L	+7.8wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Jazz	31c	3,500$1,085 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,085	475	35.8%170 W · 305 L	+41.1wins	+0.09per pick	27cpaid	+26.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x88db…3843backed Jazz	30c	3,500$1,035 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,034.99	175	46.3%81 W · 94 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Jazz	18c	3,435$614 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$614.07	208	38%79 W · 129 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb65f…196bbacked Jazz	8c	3,407$285 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$285.18	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.15per pick	18cpaid	-2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Jazz	0c	3,378$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.13	721	1%7 W · 714 L	-2.6wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Jazz	30c	3,333$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	354	38.1%135 W · 219 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Jazz	30c	3,267$988 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$987.99	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Jazz	32c	3,253$1,029 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,029.25	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Heat vs. Jazz

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event