TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Heat vs. Jazz: O/U 246.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$58,066
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$61,397

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,066 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb8e6…d504backed Over47c15,956$7,435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,520.6921057.1%120 W · 90 L+20.3wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Under53c6,400$3,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,391.9958449.7%290 W · 294 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x155d…2525backed Under55c6,392$3,515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,515.43961.5%24 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under53c5,000$2,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6501,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Over47c4,000$1,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,12048347.2%228 W · 255 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71a5…c3eabacked Under61c3,450$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1005646.4%26 W · 30 L-6.4wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-22.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over31c2,877$903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,974.213,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under54c2,513$1,357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,356.992,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Under54c2,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,080.165750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e82…7670backed Over47c1,951$917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,034.0614346.2%66 W · 77 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked Over46c1,087$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.967245.8%33 W · 39 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over46c1,062$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571.634,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79c9…b2f1backed Under56c1,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5607536%27 W · 48 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed Under71c1,000$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71090957.6%524 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cfc…4f30backed Over45c699.98$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.998744.8%39 W · 48 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8d1d…4773backed Under55c666.68$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.018744.8%39 W · 48 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Over45c650.62$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.3620838%79 W · 129 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd312…9c31backed Under2c641.53$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Under55c624.48$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.4676249.5%377 W · 385 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over45c587.79$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.893,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Over43c500$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2851,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Over46c489.13$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.1371449.3%352 W · 362 L+2.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Over47c425.53$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.531,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x426f…e76bbacked Over47c424$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.7217644.9%79 W · 97 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Over46c420.99$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.3462744.5%279 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over45c392$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.61,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed Under58c344.83$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20019756.3%111 W · 86 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe872…fd21backed Under39c311.79$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.2514036.4%51 W · 89 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Under6c299.98$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1853043.8%232 W · 298 L-25.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x15f9…607ebacked Under55c286$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.320651%105 W · 101 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over46c271.09$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.49,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Over45c230$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.522138%84 W · 137 L-11.6wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Over46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.3926956.1%151 W · 118 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a64…6769backed Over46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.3917353.2%92 W · 81 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad6b…1fdebacked Under55c216.11$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.642138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-26%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4137…586cbacked Under65c200$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13047043.8%206 W · 264 L-22.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10641052%213 W · 197 L-1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe323…f90abacked Under54c194.61$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1051241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+20.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9069…9c14backed Under55c181.91$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014557.2%83 W · 62 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Over47c170.21$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.2133442.8%143 W · 191 L-17.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Under54c150$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8137750.4%190 W · 187 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd94…c56cbacked Under17c149.83$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.672356.5%13 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10ef…5b70backed Under53c141.51$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick51cpaid-45.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x84b7…704ebacked Under54c138.31$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.851323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.1wins-0.24per pick47cpaid-56.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc5a3…8248backed Under55c127.27$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708052.5%42 W · 38 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Under54c125.61$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.8376250.4%384 W · 378 L+3.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over43c118.67$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.645,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under54c112.14$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.562,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over46c111.26$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.088,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7289…8d16backed Under54c111.11$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6013354.1%72 W · 61 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda21…8646backed Over44c109.8$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.4962541.9%262 W · 363 L-32.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over46c102$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.083,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5780744.1%356 W · 451 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1421…51d1backed Under55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554141.5%17 W · 24 L-4.6wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-29.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfca7…96febacked Over52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf60d…0cccbacked Over45c99.99$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+31.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb6e1…ec41backed Under52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508839.8%35 W · 53 L-7.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x05f9…f351backed Under55c93$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.9341048.3%198 W · 212 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44f8…e425backed Under54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501233.3%4 W · 8 L-3.7wins-0.30per pick64cpaid-48.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8d14…1eb4backed Under55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5037352%194 W · 179 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47e5…9b73backed Under53c80$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.442551.3%218 W · 207 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd44d…389dbacked Under53c80$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.441354%223 W · 190 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Over47c78.35$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.861,02947.7%491 W · 538 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8d5…5872backed Under55c72.44$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.841553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Over46c71.74$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.741,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4865…904dbacked Under56c65.13$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.4724363.8%155 W · 88 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over47c65.02$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.484,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69d2…bc89backed Under55c63.54$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.89366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2696…c031backed Under54c60$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.46149.2%30 W · 31 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e97…7680backed Under55c58$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.94163.4%26 W · 15 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x70b1…73b2backed Over47c53.28$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.2417949.2%88 W · 91 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under55c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.53,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa20…7ec5backed Under56c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.92138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6f10…ef9abacked Under53c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.57935.4%28 W · 51 L-10.1wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-30%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x97c3…b479backed Under49c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.514727.2%40 W · 107 L-21.7wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-43.6%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x5e8d…e22dbacked Over49c48.96$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.9720949.3%103 W · 106 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over44c45.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.451,26445.8%579 W · 685 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over46c43$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.2539041%160 W · 230 L-32.8wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed Over47c39.6$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.9937652.4%197 W · 179 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e47…a7abbacked Under54c38.46$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7749852.4%261 W · 237 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3518…c4aebacked Under54c37.6$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3111241.1%46 W · 66 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd5ad…5a42backed Under54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208452.4%44 W · 40 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x829f…ccfdbacked Under54c36.7$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2017353.8%93 W · 80 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b2e…d2abbacked Under55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205250%26 W · 26 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b54…ea13backed Over46c28.26$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.2637959.4%225 W · 154 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe760…aadcbacked Under54c27.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1515248.7%74 W · 78 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7481…279fbacked Under54c27.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1515651.9%81 W · 75 L-0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb821…5cddbacked Under55c27.44$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.096965.2%45 W · 24 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa06f…8a34backed Under54c24.07$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133354.5%18 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3494…04f4backed Under54c22.22$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1235049.4%173 W · 177 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0684…d593backed Under56c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.287950.6%445 W · 434 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc498…a396backed Under55c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113164.5%20 W · 11 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+18.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x87de…6e5bbacked Under53c18.87$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104334.9%15 W · 28 L-5.9wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-27.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbddd…5042backed Under69c17.39$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1215758%91 W · 66 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.