NBA · resolved market
Heat vs. Jazz: O/U 246.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0abc850a15a7732c41505d1abccd0256df3564c2f643f3f2416d7a33aa7b628c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,066
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,397
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,066 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8e6…d504backed Over | 47c | 15,956$7,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,520.69 | 210 | 57.1%120 W · 90 L | +20.3wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Under | 53c | 6,400$3,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,391.99 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x155d…2525backed Under | 55c | 6,392$3,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,515.4 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Over | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,120 | 483 | 47.2%228 W · 255 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…c3eabacked Under | 61c | 3,450$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 31c | 2,877$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,974.21 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 54c | 2,513$1,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,356.99 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Under | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080.1 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e82…7670backed Over | 47c | 1,951$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.06 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Over | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.96 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 46c | 1,062$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.63 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79c9…b2f1backed Under | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Under | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed Over | 45c | 699.98$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.99 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d1d…4773backed Under | 55c | 666.68$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.01 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Over | 45c | 650.62$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.36 | 208 | 38%79 W · 129 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd312…9c31backed Under | 2c | 641.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Under | 55c | 624.48$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.46 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 45c | 587.79$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.89 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Over | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Over | 46c | 489.13$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.13 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x426f…e76bbacked Over | 47c | 424$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.72 | 176 | 44.9%79 W · 97 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Over | 46c | 420.99$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.34 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 45c | 392$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.6 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe500…4b37backed Under | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 197 | 56.3%111 W · 86 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…fd21backed Under | 39c | 311.79$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.25 | 140 | 36.4%51 W · 89 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Under | 6c | 299.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 530 | 43.8%232 W · 298 L | -25.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Under | 55c | 286$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.3 | 206 | 51%105 W · 101 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 46c | 271.09$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.4 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Over | 45c | 230$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.5 | 221 | 38%84 W · 137 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 269 | 56.1%151 W · 118 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…6769backed Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 173 | 53.2%92 W · 81 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad6b…1fdebacked Under | 55c | 216.11$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.64 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4137…586cbacked Under | 65c | 200$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 470 | 43.8%206 W · 264 L | -22.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 410 | 52%213 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe323…f90abacked Under | 54c | 194.61$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9069…9c14backed Under | 55c | 181.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 145 | 57.2%83 W · 62 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Over | 47c | 170.21$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.21 | 334 | 42.8%143 W · 191 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Under | 54c | 150$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 377 | 50.4%190 W · 187 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd94…c56cbacked Under | 17c | 149.83$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.67 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10ef…5b70backed Under | 53c | 141.51$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84b7…704ebacked Under | 54c | 138.31$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.85 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 47cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a3…8248backed Under | 55c | 127.27$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Under | 54c | 125.61$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.83 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 43c | 118.67$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.64 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 54c | 112.14$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.56 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 46c | 111.26$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.08 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7289…8d16backed Under | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 133 | 54.1%72 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Over | 44c | 109.8$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.49 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 46c | 102$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.08 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1421…51d1backed Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfca7…96febacked Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf60d…0cccbacked Over | 45c | 99.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e1…ec41backed Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 88 | 39.8%35 W · 53 L | -7.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Under | 55c | 93$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.93 | 410 | 48.3%198 W · 212 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f8…e425backed Under | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.7wins | -0.30per pick | 64cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8d14…1eb4backed Under | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 373 | 52%194 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47e5…9b73backed Under | 53c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 425 | 51.3%218 W · 207 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44d…389dbacked Under | 53c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 47c | 78.35$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.86 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d5…5872backed Under | 55c | 72.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.84 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Over | 46c | 71.74$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.74 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4865…904dbacked Under | 56c | 65.13$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.47 | 243 | 63.8%155 W · 88 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 47c | 65.02$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.48 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69d2…bc89backed Under | 55c | 63.54$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2696…c031backed Under | 54c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e97…7680backed Under | 55c | 58$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Over | 47c | 53.28$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.24 | 179 | 49.2%88 W · 91 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa20…7ec5backed Under | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f10…ef9abacked Under | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | -10.1wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -30%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed Under | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 147 | 27.2%40 W · 107 L | -21.7wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Over | 49c | 48.96$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.97 | 209 | 49.3%103 W · 106 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 46c | 43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.25 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -32.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Over | 47c | 39.6$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Under | 54c | 38.46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.77 | 498 | 52.4%261 W · 237 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3518…c4aebacked Under | 54c | 37.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.31 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ad…5a42backed Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x829f…ccfdbacked Under | 54c | 36.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 173 | 53.8%93 W · 80 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2e…d2abbacked Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b54…ea13backed Over | 46c | 28.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.26 | 379 | 59.4%225 W · 154 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe760…aadcbacked Under | 54c | 27.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 152 | 48.7%74 W · 78 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7481…279fbacked Under | 54c | 27.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb821…5cddbacked Under | 55c | 27.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 69 | 65.2%45 W · 24 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa06f…8a34backed Under | 54c | 24.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Under | 54c | 22.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d593backed Under | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 879 | 50.6%445 W · 434 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc498…a396backed Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87de…6e5bbacked Under | 53c | 18.87$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -5.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbddd…5042backed Under | 69c | 17.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 157 | 58%91 W · 66 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Heat vs. Jazz: O/U 246.5this page
- Davion Mitchell: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Davion Mitchell: Points O/U 8.5No won
- Davion Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
- Heat vs. JazzHeat won
- Heat vs. Jazz: 1H MoneylineHeat won
- Heat vs. Jazz: O/U 243.5Over won
- Heat vs. Jazz: O/U 244.5Over won
- Heat vs. Jazz: O/U 245.5Over won
- Lauri Markkanen: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Lauri Markkanen: Points O/U 27.5No won
- Lauri Markkanen: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Norman Powell: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Spread: Heat (-5.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-6.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-7.5)Heat won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.