NBA · resolved market

Spread: Heat (-6.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x95c02f259802b5751a9ea23b979f18cd77dbbaf5701f3eeb550f0b1d363edf19

Rebuilt 4 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Heatof Heat, Jazz
Resolved: Jan 25, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $196,959
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $198,260

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $196,959 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe20a…e469backed Heat	50c	50,000$25,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25,000	2,361	48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L	-41.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Jazz	50c	40,000$20,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,000	403	50.1%202 W · 201 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Heat	50c	18,890$9,445 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,444.84	874	51.5%450 W · 424 L	+15.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Jazz	51c	17,528$8,939 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,939.1	1,374	50.1%689 W · 685 L	+34.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Heat	50c	16,160$8,133 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,027.04	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Heat	50c	14,364$7,182 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,182	290	55.5%161 W · 129 L	+15.8wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf668…5c69backed Heat	49c	11,818$5,770 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,047.59	363	59.8%217 W · 146 L	+23.7wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Heat	51c	11,416$5,782 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,634.71	2,078	53.6%1,113 W · 965 L	+44.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Jazz	49c	8,875$4,349 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,348.53	2,153	51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L	+76.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Heat	51c	8,062$4,093 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,969.04	1,908	54.5%1,040 W · 868 L	+53.7wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x011c…31dfbacked Jazz	50c	6,800$3,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,400	334	47.9%160 W · 174 L	-6.3wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf35…b5eabacked Jazz	49c	6,767$3,316 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,315.83	132	39.4%52 W · 80 L	-8.7wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc617…a854backed Jazz	51c	5,751$2,933 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,932.86	426	48.1%205 W · 221 L	-5.1wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Heat	49c	5,655$2,791 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,863.61	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Jazz	50c	5,000$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500	207	44.9%93 W · 114 L	-8.4wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e82…7670backed Jazz	51c	4,859$2,492 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,492	143	46.2%66 W · 77 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb48f…d015backed Jazz	50c	4,578$2,289 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,289	124	54.8%68 W · 56 L	+4.9wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Jazz	50c	4,068$2,034 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,034	1,715	44.5%764 W · 951 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Jazz	50c	4,000$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	584	49.7%290 W · 294 L	+10.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Jazz	50c	4,000$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	1,820	52.1%948 W · 872 L	+48.5wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Jazz	50c	2,900$1,450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,450	1,475	51.3%756 W · 719 L	+35.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Jazz	49c	2,744$1,347 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,347.27	1,139	48.3%550 W · 589 L	+3.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Jazz	45c	2,105$951 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$951.46	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Heat	53c	2,097$1,111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$985.91	1,910	54.3%1,038 W · 872 L	+25.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Jazz	50c	2,029$1,015 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,014.86	2,512	49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Jazz	50c	2,020$1,010 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,009.71	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Jazz	52c	2,007$1,044 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,043.79	877	50.2%440 W · 437 L	-19.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Heat	50c	2,000$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,000	453	48.1%218 W · 235 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Heat	50c	1,935$960 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$975.42	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5cce…5c2fbacked Jazz	48c	1,917$920 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$920	162	54.3%88 W · 74 L	+7.1wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Heat	51c	1,856$947 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$909.55	1,085	63.6%690 W · 395 L	+86.7wins	+0.08per pick	56cpaid	+13%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Heat	48c	1,458$700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$757.52	492	46.3%228 W · 264 L	-15.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Jazz	54c	1,392$750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$750	653	39.5%258 W · 395 L	-24.6wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e1e…bb68backed Jazz	51c	1,306$666 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$666.15	95	56.8%54 W · 41 L	+3.1wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Heat	49c	1,304$641 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$662.91	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9030…4a23backed Jazz	48c	1,250$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	78	62.8%49 W · 29 L	+4.0wins	+0.05per pick	58cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Jazz	50c	1,008$504 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$504.01	890	50.4%449 W · 441 L	+4.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x1e68…3215backed Jazz	50c	1,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	117	55.6%65 W · 52 L	+3.5wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Jazz	52c	1,000$520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$520	509	54.8%279 W · 230 L	+14.8wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Heat	50c	1,000$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$500	267	55.8%149 W · 118 L	+12.9wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7deb…2682backed Jazz	51c	980.39$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	55	50.9%28 W · 27 L	+2.5wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	+17.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Jazz	49c	926.14$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450.08	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Jazz	50c	918.56$459 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$459.17	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Heat	47c	878.72$413 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$465.72	293	47.4%139 W · 154 L	-5.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Heat	52c	839.07$438 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$401.03	473	49%232 W · 241 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x902e…5f41backed Heat	51c	784.31$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$384.31	98	53.1%52 W · 46 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Heat	52c	720.82$376 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$344.59	2,091	47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L	-56.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef21…3dc9backed Jazz	47c	702.13$330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$330	151	41.1%62 W · 89 L	-4.3wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Jazz	51c	600$303 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$303	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Jazz	48c	576.94$276 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$276.16	1,911	45.4%868 W · 1,043 L	+22.1wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Jazz	50c	541.97$273 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$272.97	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x040b…f8a0backed Heat	49c	514.49$252 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$262.39	23	56.5%13 W · 10 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10d4…69ebbacked Jazz	51c	500$255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$255	629	48.6%306 W · 323 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Heat	53c	500$264 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$236	563	48.5%273 W · 290 L	-7.1wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9031…5265backed Heat	50c	476.18$238 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$238.09	94	51.1%48 W · 46 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Heat	49c	441$214 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$227	3,591	50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L	+21.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Jazz	47c	425$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$201.28	1,163	52.8%614 W · 549 L	+22.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa177…6e84backed Heat	50c	401.54$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$201.54	67	53.7%36 W · 31 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4e2…0f82backed Jazz	49c	400$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196	153	36.6%56 W · 97 L	-6.0wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x783c…6900backed Heat	50c	400$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200	104	46.2%48 W · 56 L	-3.7wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Jazz	51c	392.16$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	1,259	48.7%613 W · 646 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Jazz	51c	392.16$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	485	46.4%225 W · 260 L	-14.6wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x860d…3c72backed Jazz	50c	374$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$187	266	51.1%136 W · 130 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Heat	49c	364.13$179 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$184.72	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Jazz	52c	340.87$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177.25	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Heat	48c	330.45$159 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$171.83	511	46.6%238 W · 273 L	-13.7wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Jazz	53c	330$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175.89	357	47.1%168 W · 189 L	-8.6wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Jazz	50c	323.85$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161.23	522	40%209 W · 313 L	-8.4wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Heat	50c	300.75$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150.38	293	52.6%154 W · 139 L	+14.1wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+26%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Heat	50c	270$135 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$135	323	46.4%150 W · 173 L	-8.3wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Jazz	54c	250$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135	910	50.9%463 W · 447 L	+11.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a45…f628backed Heat	46c	218$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117.72	348	55.2%192 W · 156 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8849…9a83backed Jazz	49c	204.08$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	561	54.5%306 W · 255 L	+6.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Jazz	47c	200$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94	955	48.5%463 W · 492 L	-3.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb871…9f15backed Jazz	45c	200$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	591	44.5%263 W · 328 L	-4.0wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c49…ca9dbacked Jazz	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	182	40.7%74 W · 108 L	-8.7wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Jazz	48c	200$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96	807	44.1%356 W · 451 L	+6.2wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Jazz	50c	178.47$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.79	3,120	44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L	-7.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x708a…1f12backed Heat	52c	144.23$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.23	35	54.3%19 W · 16 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3873…dec8backed Jazz	52c	140.08$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.84	442	43.7%193 W · 249 L	+11.9wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd85…6a32backed Jazz	50c	125.4$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.7	118	49.2%58 W · 60 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc43d…8928backed Jazz	52c	115.45$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	23	69.6%16 W · 7 L	+4.0wins	+0.17per pick	52cpaid	+35.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xda21…8646backed Jazz	47c	115.19$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.14	625	41.9%262 W · 363 L	-32.7wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-11%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3ed4…620ebacked Heat	52c	114.87$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.28	311	55%171 W · 140 L	+8.0wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Heat	52c	114.28$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.85	2,602	50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L	-20.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Heat	52c	105.77$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.77	1,444	58.1%839 W · 605 L	+13.5wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d1d…4773backed Jazz	50c	89.96$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.98	87	44.8%39 W · 48 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e4b…1ff9backed Jazz	50c	81.5$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.75	163	47.2%77 W · 86 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Heat	51c	80.78$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.58	715	47.7%341 W · 374 L	-26.9wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x33c9…5124backed Jazz	54c	80$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.2	503	51.5%259 W · 244 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Jazz	50c	78.43$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.22	762	50.4%384 W · 378 L	+3.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x3e47…a7abbacked Jazz	51c	78.02$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	498	52.4%261 W · 237 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Jazz	47c	67.28$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.41	397	36.3%144 W · 253 L	-27.0wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3c04…2e2dbacked Jazz	52c	65.38$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	506	48%243 W · 263 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0157…340fbacked Jazz	50c	60$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	100	46%46 W · 54 L	-5.9wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Jazz	51c	59.71$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.43	456	51.1%233 W · 223 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Jazz	53c	58.49$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	1,661	50.3%836 W · 825 L	-14.9wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Jazz	51c	54.59$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.91	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5e78…70c7backed Heat	50c	54.46$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.04	329	52.9%174 W · 155 L	+9.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7055…9717backed Heat	49c	51.19$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.11	56	50%28 W · 28 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Heat (-6.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event