NBA · resolved market

Heat vs. Jazz: O/U 245.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f00daaefe505991595bc62c4df5eb5aa97a6f7e9e55ef815873549bff5d4d91

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jan 25, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $85,388
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $92,993

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,388 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x20d6…3856backed Over	50c	8,530$4,265 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,265.09	398	42.5%169 W · 229 L	-9.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x42e9…80a8backed Over	49c	8,000$3,920 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,080	23	56.5%13 W · 10 L	+1.5wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+15%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7258…b1dbbacked Under	51c	8,000$4,080 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,080	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23fb…2002backed Under	51c	7,980$4,070 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,069.8	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-2.1wins	-0.15per pick	51cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1869…30c8backed Over	49c	7,980$3,910 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,069.8	27	55.6%15 W · 12 L	+1.8wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8e6…d504backed Over	49c	7,210$3,533 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,677.1	210	57.1%120 W · 90 L	+20.3wins	+0.10per pick	47cpaid	+19.4%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9342…7917backed Under	67c	4,013$2,702 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,701.63	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.8wins	-0.61per pick	61cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4667…cab0backed Under	54c	4,000$2,160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,160	133	55.6%74 W · 59 L	+8.7wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under	50c	3,000$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	1,820	52.1%948 W · 872 L	+48.5wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Over	46c	2,951$1,351 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,599.48	830	39.4%327 W · 503 L	+6.3wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Under	51c	2,534$1,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,300.37	2,091	47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L	-56.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under	47c	2,438$1,153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,153.12	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under	51c	2,315$1,176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,176.3	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	57c	2,112$1,197 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$915.12	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over	37c	1,941$728 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,213.09	2,169	40.8%885 W · 1,284 L	-8.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over	38c	1,906$716 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,190.11	3,342	43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L	+81.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3de6…405cbacked Over	49c	1,872$912 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$959.56	434	53.2%231 W · 203 L	+6.7wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x155d…2525backed Under	63c	1,868$1,176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,176.29	39	61.5%24 W · 15 L	+1.4wins	+0.04per pick	58cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under	50c	1,491$746 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$746.14	2,512	49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3766…a0e4backed Over	53c	1,415$750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$665.09	37	59.5%22 W · 15 L	+2.5wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked Under	69c	1,131$780 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$780.41	329	52.9%174 W · 155 L	-11.7wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Under	52c	1,000$520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$520	617	40.7%251 W · 366 L	-4.9wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Under	51c	987.76$504 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$503.76	851	47.5%404 W · 447 L	-7.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x899a…2a22backed Under	51c	980.39$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	172	41.9%72 W · 100 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under	51c	969.61$492 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$491.59	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	34c	845.4$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290.13	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over	48c	770$370 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$400.4	1,715	44.5%764 W · 951 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Under	50c	766.04$383 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$383.02	657	50.1%329 W · 328 L	+10.8wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over	52c	725.58$379 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$346.11	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Under	52c	711$367 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$367.18	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b34…c545backed Under	16c	691$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.29	144	37.5%54 W · 90 L	+7.1wins	+0.05per pick	33cpaid	+17.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Under	28c	564.1$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158.29	208	38%79 W · 129 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fee…5a90backed Under	61c	495.78$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	62	64.5%40 W · 22 L	+5.6wins	+0.09per pick	55cpaid	+16.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over	51c	429.66$218 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$211.65	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x441d…7a4ebacked Over	47c	428.56$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$228.56	61	45.9%28 W · 33 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Over	50c	400$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200	1,259	48.7%613 W · 646 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x266d…083fbacked Over	55c	391.25$215 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$176	56	64.3%36 W · 20 L	+3.4wins	+0.06per pick	58cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over	49c	390$191 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$198.9	2,468	50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L	+38.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17b9…430dbacked Under	51c	390$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198.9	130	40%52 W · 78 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dc0…099dbacked Under	52c	376.98$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196.03	66	53%35 W · 31 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over	62c	366.85$226 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140.42	3,995	48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L	+101.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over	42c	355.78$148 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$208.03	5,844	46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L	+32.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over	48c	354.14$172 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$182.63	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Over	52c	339$176 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$163.26	357	47.1%168 W · 189 L	-8.6wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe62e…d3e2backed Under	61c	337$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204.56	106	44.3%47 W · 59 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under	52c	317$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163.94	2,078	53.6%1,113 W · 965 L	+44.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over	46c	300$138 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$162	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4010…77d4backed Under	54c	288$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156.16	481	46.2%222 W · 259 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under	51c	273.32$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.13	1,786	53.2%950 W · 836 L	+52.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x64f1…fc6ebacked Under	27c	263.25$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.52	40	52.5%21 W · 19 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84b7…704ebacked Under	39c	243.45$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.01	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-3.1wins	-0.24per pick	47cpaid	-56.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Over	47c	220$103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116.6	221	38%84 W · 137 L	-11.6wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xca61…f06abacked Under	52c	200$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103	42	50%21 W · 21 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1041…f452backed Over	49c	200$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102	269	49.1%132 W · 137 L	-5.8wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf09f…8049backed Under	51c	200$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102	666	45.9%306 W · 360 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Under	15c	199.98$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	530	43.8%232 W · 298 L	-25.4wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-12%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x004e…c650backed Under	52c	193.06$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	186	50%93 W · 93 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1831…6c99backed Over	51c	168$86 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.32	193	50.3%97 W · 96 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x012a…c01dbacked Over	47c	161.28$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$86.28	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x19a0…ac39backed Over	46c	159.13$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$86.1	147	51%75 W · 72 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Under	61c	157$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.77	1,055	49.9%526 W · 529 L	+29.7wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4984…7aaabacked Under	51c	145$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.4	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	-4.1wins	-0.24per pick	48cpaid	-49.8%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc519…348abacked Under	55c	142$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.68	172	43%74 W · 98 L	-12.4wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0005…ac09backed Under	51c	141.18$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-2.2wins	-0.31per pick	45cpaid	-70.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8c6c…ce09backed Under	72c	139.58$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	128	65.6%84 W · 44 L	+2.4wins	+0.02per pick	64cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Under	48c	139.07$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.97	271	44.3%120 W · 151 L	-9.0wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x05e1…85a2backed Under	52c	135.29$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.35	323	47.1%152 W · 171 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over	50c	135$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.88	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc391…6cc8backed Over	48c	131.75$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.51	35	45.7%16 W · 19 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over	47c	129$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.27	3,591	50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L	+21.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8abe…22a7backed Under	60c	121.82$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.69	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	65cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over	56c	120.18$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.18	37	59.5%22 W · 15 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	63cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under	52c	116.5$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.58	2,602	50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L	-20.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Over	57c	116.35$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.51	1,029	47.7%491 W · 538 L	-13.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed Under	48c	107.19$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.54	248	46.8%116 W · 132 L	+8.7wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	-9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xae94…7efbbacked Over	44c	100$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56	587	54.7%321 W · 266 L	-10.9wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x437b…0ba4backed Over	51c	100$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49	165	47.3%78 W · 87 L	-8.8wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over	49c	100$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51	357	39.8%142 W · 215 L	-25.0wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Over	53c	94$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.18	543	51.6%280 W · 263 L	-3.8wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe1d…219ebacked Over	50c	90$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45	70	40%28 W · 42 L	-8.0wins	-0.11per pick	51cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Under	55c	88$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.04	308	40.9%126 W · 182 L	-5.0wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe323…f90abacked Under	54c	81.2$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.01	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	+1.0wins	+0.08per pick	34cpaid	+20.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Under	55c	79$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.73	619	39.6%245 W · 374 L	-17.8wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked Over	48c	75$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39	165	49.7%82 W · 83 L	-6.4wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c54…da2cbacked Over	51c	68.07$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.55	48	54.2%26 W · 22 L	+3.3wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbec4…637fbacked Under	47c	67.91$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.25	531	49.3%262 W · 269 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0df8…3e3dbacked Under	36c	62.54$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.63	85	34.1%29 W · 56 L	-5.7wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-38%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over	50c	58$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.21	1,163	52.8%614 W · 549 L	+22.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f19…ec51backed Under	57c	53$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.24	71	50.7%36 W · 35 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1d8…e7d2backed Under	65c	50$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.5	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	-1.5wins	-0.10per pick	63cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over	47c	42.69$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.63	1,264	45.8%579 W · 685 L	-10.4wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under	50c	41.12$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.56	2,902	38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L	-51.9wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a5a…ce1cbacked Over	58c	40$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.68	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.18per pick	32cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Under	50c	39.61$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	403	44.4%179 W · 224 L	-23.9wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x871a…7be4backed Under	60c	39.02$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.41	173	59%102 W · 71 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	59cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4786…ff95backed Under	52c	38.3$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	226	46.9%106 W · 120 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe88b…fa5abacked Over	49c	38$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.38	432	46.1%199 W · 233 L	-4.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b7f…7aecbacked Under	53c	37.74$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	436	47.9%209 W · 227 L	+7.3wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa55f…ce65backed Over	57c	36.27$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.74	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-1.5wins	-0.15per pick	55cpaid	-37%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6894…59d8backed Over	52c	36$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.28	246	45.9%113 W · 133 L	-13.1wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Heat vs. Jazz: O/U 245.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event