NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. Hawks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x99adfdbc54f7f2634b47bf890138248f65642178aded1785dc162cc282103352
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hawksof Timberwolves, Hawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,857,942
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,010,201
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,857,942 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 744 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Hawks | 35c | 313,538$109,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203,579.77 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Timberwolves | 60c | 117,877$70,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70,726.09 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Hawks | 44c | 98,853$43,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,890.62 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Timberwolves | 46c | 84,892$38,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,673.16 | 174 | 41.4%72 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…88b4backed Timberwolves | 65c | 78,476$51,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,009.4 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Timberwolves | 65c | 71,263$46,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,170.95 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Timberwolves | 64c | 50,000$31,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,800 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18d1…dbcbbacked Timberwolves | 28c | 47,514$13,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,165.38 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Timberwolves | 65c | 47,400$30,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,621 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffa5…0c23backed Hawks | 37c | 45,326$16,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,555.2 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…22d6backed Timberwolves | 22c | 44,576$9,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,600.11 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d3b…c46bbacked Timberwolves | 64c | 40,481$25,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,907.94 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b6c…6305backed Hawks | 35c | 36,888$13,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,808.54 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Timberwolves | 18c | 32,454$5,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,857.56 | 340 | 62.1%211 W · 129 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Timberwolves | 63c | 30,000$18,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,899.85 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Hawks | 37c | 29,772$11,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,756.42 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Hawks | 67c | 28,582$19,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,426.08 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Hawks | 57c | 28,036$15,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,113.48 | 446 | 54.3%242 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a5…122bbacked Timberwolves | 65c | 25,997$16,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,898 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Hawks | 79c | 24,675$19,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,225.15 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1692…831fbacked Hawks | 57c | 24,655$14,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,648.68 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Hawks | 70c | 24,457$17,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,329.29 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde6d…0926backed Hawks | 71c | 20,349$14,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,891 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x654d…8e3ebacked Hawks | 34c | 20,000$6,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,199.98 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Hawks | 59c | 19,839$11,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,182.85 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70a8…6dfdbacked Timberwolves | 0c | 18,583$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 163 | 25.2%41 W · 122 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Timberwolves | 65c | 18,079$11,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,812.11 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9315…a744backed Timberwolves | 64c | 17,089$10,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,936.96 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +10.7wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…1a5dbacked Hawks | 36c | 17,089$6,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,936.96 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Timberwolves | 63c | 13,954$8,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,790.98 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Timberwolves | 66c | 13,490$8,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,847.72 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a3…0848backed Hawks | 46c | 12,943$5,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,997.16 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x920d…38adbacked Timberwolves | 61c | 12,482$7,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,613.72 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Hawks | 76c | 12,343$9,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,018.51 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Timberwolves | 66c | 12,000$7,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,920 | 292 | 45.5%133 W · 159 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c3…bac5backed Timberwolves | 3c | 11,594$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.88 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44b9…0598backed Timberwolves | 34c | 11,421$3,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,898 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Timberwolves | 1c | 10,958$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.79 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Timberwolves | 64c | 10,889$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Hawks | 46c | 10,651$4,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,793.5 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Timberwolves | 11c | 10,499$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,169.95 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3a…67cabacked Timberwolves | 31c | 10,330$3,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,197 | 508 | 38.2%194 W · 314 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Timberwolves | 64c | 10,004$6,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,427.25 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b71…8044backed Timberwolves | 66c | 10,000$6,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,600 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…53dabacked Hawks | 36c | 10,000$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,399.89 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | -9.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Hawks | 72c | 9,892$7,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,744.79 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Hawks | 36c | 9,283$3,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,902.54 | 400 | 41.5%166 W · 234 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa04e…376abacked Timberwolves | 64c | 8,284$5,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,301.58 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3b…10eebacked Hawks | 35c | 7,704$2,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,007.46 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb4…48e3backed Timberwolves | 47c | 7,580$3,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,531 | 155 | 47.1%73 W · 82 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Hawks | 59c | 7,521$4,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,046.29 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Hawks | 49c | 7,465$3,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,821.51 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Hawks | 76c | 7,462$5,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,784.04 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed Timberwolves | 63c | 7,372$4,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,629.46 | 393 | 49.1%193 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Hawks | 34c | 7,353$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,852.94 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9e…a250backed Timberwolves | 64c | 7,004$4,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,482.56 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa996…8aacbacked Hawks | 35c | 7,000$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,550 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Hawks | 74c | 6,597$4,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,725.46 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9b…6611backed Timberwolves | 56c | 6,369$3,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,566.65 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…819ebacked Timberwolves | 66c | 6,191$4,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,086 | 158 | 55.7%88 W · 70 L | -9.8wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked Timberwolves | 65c | 6,016$3,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,909.67 | 185 | 53%98 W · 87 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Hawks | 35c | 6,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,900 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…2af1backed Timberwolves | 64c | 6,000$3,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,840 | 214 | 46.7%100 W · 114 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Timberwolves | 64c | 5,961$3,834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,833.68 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…85d0backed Hawks | 35c | 5,951$2,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,868.23 | 265 | 44.9%119 W · 146 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0940…3640backed Timberwolves | 66c | 5,920$3,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,907 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Timberwolves | 64c | 5,773$3,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,700.54 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Hawks | 35c | 5,717$2,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,716.05 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Timberwolves | 57c | 5,500$3,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,134.98 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Timberwolves | 64c | 5,487$3,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,529.33 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Timberwolves | 63c | 5,455$3,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,427.41 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf98c…bf06backed Hawks | 35c | 5,313$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,453.62 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Timberwolves | 2c | 5,071$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 69 | 31.9%22 W · 47 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed Hawks | 67c | 5,064$3,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,648.4 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae24…07c2backed Timberwolves | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Timberwolves | 66c | 4,956$3,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,258.83 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Timberwolves | 13c | 4,881$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.03 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…30a1backed Timberwolves | 64c | 4,545$2,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,908.8 | 255 | 46.7%119 W · 136 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Hawks | 75c | 4,533$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133.35 | 237 | 47.7%113 W · 124 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Hawks | 35c | 4,000$1,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,610 | 587 | 40%235 W · 352 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7205…3377backed Timberwolves | 24c | 4,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 456 | 57%260 W · 196 L | +44.6wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa849…c825backed Timberwolves | 62c | 4,000$2,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,471.53 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8692…f1bcbacked Hawks | 35c | 4,000$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,599.94 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Hawks | 35c | 3,706$1,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,394.75 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Timberwolves | 61c | 3,658$2,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,234.37 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe21…2f9cbacked Hawks | 36c | 3,538$1,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,274.07 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Timberwolves | 64c | 3,381$2,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,176.12 | 309 | 47.6%147 W · 162 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Hawks | 61c | 3,299$2,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,285.44 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb802…5bbebacked Timberwolves | 64c | 3,125$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 66cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Hawks | 46c | 3,089$1,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,670.4 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7de0…7c66backed Timberwolves | 10c | 3,016$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 405 | 36.5%148 W · 257 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Timberwolves | 64c | 3,000$1,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,930 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Timberwolves | 64c | 3,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 172 | 50%86 W · 86 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Timberwolves | 64c | 2,951$1,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,887.64 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Timberwolves | 65c | 2,943$1,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,909.67 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf531…b062backed Hawks | 35c | 2,889$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,877.57 | 548 | 38%208 W · 340 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc49…ffd6backed Hawks | 38c | 2,870$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,780.1 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed Hawks | 35c | 2,859$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,858.65 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c8…b6d7backed Timberwolves | 58c | 2,845$1,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,661.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Hawks | 76c | 2,763$2,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.61 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Timberwolves vs. Hawksthis page
- Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)Hawks won
- Timberwolves vs. Hawks: 1H MoneylineHawks won
- Timberwolves vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 118.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Hawks: O/U 239.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Hawks: O/U 242.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Hawks: O/U 243.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Hawks: O/U 244.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.