TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hawksof Timberwolves, Hawks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$201,044
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$208,868

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $201,044 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0d3b…c46bbacked Timberwolves55c101,229$55,676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55,675.857745.5%35 W · 42 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Hawks45c99,546$44,796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54,750.3287144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0352…3292backed Timberwolves50c27,873$14,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,019.9210158.4%59 W · 42 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd0b4…fed6backed Timberwolves53c25,692$13,617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,616.8920055%110 W · 90 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed Hawks47c18,067$8,519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,548.3424053.8%129 W · 111 L+12.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6ee…697bbacked Hawks46c11,106$5,109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,997.2220352.2%106 W · 97 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Hawks54c8,875$4,779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,096.448,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1748…a816backed Timberwolves54c6,244$3,372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,37217344.5%77 W · 96 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Timberwolves51c3,686$1,883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,882.812,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Hawks46c3,623$1,667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,956.5424650%123 W · 123 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Hawks48c3,504$1,684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,820.624,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Hawks52c3,043$1,579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,463.71,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Timberwolves54c2,911$1,572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,571.942,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Hawks45c2,403$1,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,319.356,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Timberwolves52c2,253$1,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,176.479,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Hawks48c2,233$1,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,161.1658347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Hawks48c2,083$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,083.3316442.1%69 W · 95 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Hawks47c2,000$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,06058740%235 W · 352 L+24.3wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed Hawks49c1,633$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$832.6524847.6%118 W · 130 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0341…a679backed Hawks49c1,422$697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$725.4513041.5%54 W · 76 L-8.8wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-18.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x26eb…22d0backed Hawks47c1,207$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.7127735%97 W · 180 L-30.7wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-28.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Hawks51c1,042$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.581,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Hawks46c1,018$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.032,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2bd5…26ccbacked Hawks51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49051651%263 W · 253 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Hawks47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5303360.6%20 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe071…2d1abacked Timberwolves55c1,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55048957.5%281 W · 208 L+2.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Hawks48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5203,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x62c6…55acbacked Hawks45c900$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4952850%14 W · 14 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+19.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0500…6158backed Hawks47c646.81$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.8112151.2%62 W · 59 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Timberwolves51c600$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30673649.9%367 W · 369 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb871…9f15backed Hawks46c600$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32459144.5%263 W · 328 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e47…a7abbacked Timberwolves54c555.56$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30049852.4%261 W · 237 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4366…c73ebacked Hawks46c500$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2708742.5%37 W · 50 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Timberwolves52c400$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2082,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Hawks48c384.57$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.981,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Hawks49c300$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15361747.8%295 W · 322 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3273…5a11backed Timberwolves45c300$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.852528%7 W · 18 L-4.2wins-0.17per pick45cpaid-43.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked Hawks47c293.62$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.6262347.5%296 W · 327 L-17.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Timberwolves56c287.15$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1602,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Hawks55c280$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.73,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8df…6df7backed Hawks45c275.64$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.077745.5%35 W · 42 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Hawks48c268.08$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.643,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Hawks47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.7736649.5%181 W · 185 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fbd…3d15backed Hawks48c208$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.1676247.1%359 W · 403 L+2.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94a4…7e2dbacked Timberwolves54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001540%6 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x561e…3e87backed Hawks47c170.21$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.2111440.4%46 W · 68 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Hawks48c148.79$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.122,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0d6…14d9backed Timberwolves55c145.45$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8013946.8%65 W · 74 L+11.6wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+20.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8776…1ca3backed Timberwolves55c121.82$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$676336.5%23 W · 40 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Hawks51c110.59$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.491,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa57…1e6bbacked Hawks47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.383053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7181…1b0abacked Hawks64c106$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.1624955%137 W · 112 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf54a…e25dbacked Timberwolves54c101.85$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5515752.2%82 W · 75 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Hawks51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4995548.5%463 W · 492 L-3.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc307…bf36backed Hawks47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536746.3%31 W · 36 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Hawks49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc63…f1c7backed Timberwolves50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5050653.2%269 W · 237 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Hawks62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5092…fccdbacked Timberwolves54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5412843.8%56 W · 72 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Timberwolves51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5174547.2%352 W · 393 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Hawks54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.627144.3%120 W · 151 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x15e3…009fbacked Timberwolves55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5537357.4%214 W · 159 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Hawks51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4931144.4%138 W · 173 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b1c…26fcbacked Timberwolves54c91.17$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.2320%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Hawks53c90$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.31,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x602d…3534backed Timberwolves54c64.81$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3537755.7%210 W · 167 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x89a7…e7dbbacked Hawks47c63.83$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.8311143.2%48 W · 63 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid+8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x916c…669abacked Hawks47c61.7$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.72955.2%16 W · 13 L+3.2wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+35.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Hawks48c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.263745.8%292 W · 345 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Hawks65c60$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.388845.7%406 W · 482 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd00…7a45backed Hawks46c54.35$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3538050.8%193 W · 187 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7531…49efbacked Timberwolves50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2540%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Timberwolves50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedb5…ce8ebacked Hawks47c42.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5521756.7%123 W · 94 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93a8…4bf7backed Timberwolves54c42.44$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.921241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-20.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0969…b289backed Hawks49c40.83$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8322247.3%105 W · 117 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3839…a64dbacked Hawks51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.223375.8%25 W · 8 L+7.9wins+0.24per pick52cpaid+48%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Hawks48c38$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.761,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Timberwolves55c36.95$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.321,29448.1%623 W · 671 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90aa…5f6cbacked Timberwolves55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2021849.5%108 W · 110 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f17…2332backed Timberwolves57c35.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012155.4%67 W · 54 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cb2…af18backed Hawks45c33.33$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.33616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick45cpaid-63%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x89ad…5e22backed Hawks44c27$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.124949%24 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f9f…c934backed Hawks45c26.38$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.389541.1%39 W · 56 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ff…121cbacked Hawks47c25.53$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.536845.6%31 W · 37 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-10.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Timberwolves54c23$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.423,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f7c…36a7backed Timberwolves54c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.830%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x00fd…001fbacked Timberwolves54c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f86…b4d4backed Timberwolves54c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c63…0090backed Timberwolves54c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd69b…4955backed Timberwolves54c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.