NBA · resolved market
Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa345bcb4a010edabd746c07f0b58aade3ea275fc3f013bdcfb72504d50996019
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hawksof Timberwolves, Hawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $201,044
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $208,868
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $201,044 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d3b…c46bbacked Timberwolves | 55c | 101,229$55,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,675.85 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Hawks | 45c | 99,546$44,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,750.32 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0352…3292backed Timberwolves | 50c | 27,873$14,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,019.92 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Timberwolves | 53c | 25,692$13,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,616.89 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Hawks | 47c | 18,067$8,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,548.34 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Hawks | 46c | 11,106$5,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,997.22 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Hawks | 54c | 8,875$4,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,096.44 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1748…a816backed Timberwolves | 54c | 6,244$3,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,372 | 173 | 44.5%77 W · 96 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Timberwolves | 51c | 3,686$1,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,882.81 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Hawks | 46c | 3,623$1,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,956.54 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Hawks | 48c | 3,504$1,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,820.62 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Hawks | 52c | 3,043$1,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,463.7 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Timberwolves | 54c | 2,911$1,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,571.94 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Hawks | 45c | 2,403$1,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.35 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 2,253$1,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,176.47 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Hawks | 48c | 2,233$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,161.16 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Hawks | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.33 | 164 | 42.1%69 W · 95 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Hawks | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 587 | 40%235 W · 352 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Hawks | 49c | 1,633$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.65 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed Hawks | 49c | 1,422$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.45 | 130 | 41.5%54 W · 76 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…22d0backed Hawks | 47c | 1,207$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.71 | 277 | 35%97 W · 180 L | -30.7wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Hawks | 51c | 1,042$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.58 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Hawks | 46c | 1,018$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.03 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd5…26ccbacked Hawks | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 516 | 51%263 W · 253 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Hawks | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Timberwolves | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 489 | 57.5%281 W · 208 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Hawks | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…55acbacked Hawks | 45c | 900$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0500…6158backed Hawks | 47c | 646.81$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.81 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Timberwolves | 51c | 600$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Hawks | 46c | 600$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Timberwolves | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 498 | 52.4%261 W · 237 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked Hawks | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Timberwolves | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Hawks | 48c | 384.57$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.98 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Hawks | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3273…5a11backed Timberwolves | 45c | 300$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.85 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -4.2wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Hawks | 47c | 293.62$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.62 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Timberwolves | 56c | 287.15$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Hawks | 55c | 280$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.7 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8df…6df7backed Hawks | 45c | 275.64$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.07 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Hawks | 48c | 268.08$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.64 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Hawks | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 366 | 49.5%181 W · 185 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Hawks | 48c | 208$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.16 | 762 | 47.1%359 W · 403 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94a4…7e2dbacked Timberwolves | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x561e…3e87backed Hawks | 47c | 170.21$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.21 | 114 | 40.4%46 W · 68 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Hawks | 48c | 148.79$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.12 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…14d9backed Timberwolves | 55c | 145.45$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8776…1ca3backed Timberwolves | 55c | 121.82$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Hawks | 51c | 110.59$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.49 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa57…1e6bbacked Hawks | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked Hawks | 64c | 106$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.16 | 249 | 55%137 W · 112 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf54a…e25dbacked Timberwolves | 54c | 101.85$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 157 | 52.2%82 W · 75 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Hawks | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc307…bf36backed Hawks | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Hawks | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…f1c7backed Timberwolves | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 506 | 53.2%269 W · 237 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Hawks | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5092…fccdbacked Timberwolves | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Timberwolves | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 745 | 47.2%352 W · 393 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Hawks | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 271 | 44.3%120 W · 151 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Timberwolves | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 373 | 57.4%214 W · 159 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Hawks | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 311 | 44.4%138 W · 173 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b1c…26fcbacked Timberwolves | 54c | 91.17$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Hawks | 53c | 90$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.3 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Timberwolves | 54c | 64.81$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 377 | 55.7%210 W · 167 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89a7…e7dbbacked Hawks | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x916c…669abacked Hawks | 47c | 61.7$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.7 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Hawks | 48c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Hawks | 65c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd00…7a45backed Hawks | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 380 | 50.8%193 W · 187 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7531…49efbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Timberwolves | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedb5…ce8ebacked Hawks | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 217 | 56.7%123 W · 94 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93a8…4bf7backed Timberwolves | 54c | 42.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.92 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed Hawks | 49c | 40.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.83 | 222 | 47.3%105 W · 117 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3839…a64dbacked Hawks | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 33 | 75.8%25 W · 8 L | +7.9wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +48%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Hawks | 48c | 38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.76 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Timberwolves | 55c | 36.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.32 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90aa…5f6cbacked Timberwolves | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f17…2332backed Timberwolves | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 121 | 55.4%67 W · 54 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb2…af18backed Hawks | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -63%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…5e22backed Hawks | 44c | 27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9f…c934backed Hawks | 45c | 26.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.38 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ff…121cbacked Hawks | 47c | 25.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Timberwolves | 54c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7c…36a7backed Timberwolves | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00fd…001fbacked Timberwolves | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f86…b4d4backed Timberwolves | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c63…0090backed Timberwolves | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd69b…4955backed Timberwolves | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5)this page
- Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)Hawks won
- Timberwolves vs. HawksHawks won
- Timberwolves vs. Hawks: 1H MoneylineHawks won
- Timberwolves vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 118.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Hawks: O/U 239.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Hawks: O/U 242.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Hawks: O/U 243.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Hawks: O/U 244.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.