NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. Hawks: O/U 243.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x04b4c334d145411f20dc40d4aefe6c133d3ea8030c974330d7ad7e73097961a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,382
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,375
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,382 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Over | 54c | 20,001$10,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,700.37 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Under | 54c | 10,274$5,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,692.99 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Over | 53c | 7,972$4,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,205.13 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Under | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,650 | 483 | 47.2%228 W · 255 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 46c | 3,999$1,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,159.31 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Under | 46c | 3,314$1,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,789.35 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 56c | 3,224$1,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,429.22 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 49c | 3,199$1,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,631.51 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…47efbacked Under | 46c | 2,820$1,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,522.8 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 45c | 2,687$1,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,209.74 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 57c | 2,522$1,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,094.78 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Under | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Over | 45c | 2,000$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 47c | 1,782$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.19 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 53c | 1,300$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 45c | 901.45$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.51 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 809.52$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.45 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 43c | 805$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.13 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 47c | 747$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.91 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 45c | 600$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf87b…180abacked Over | 49c | 377$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.46 | 165 | 39.4%65 W · 100 L | -11.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 51c | 363$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.47 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 47c | 356.48$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.94 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Over | 28c | 338.04$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.65 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 726 | 47.7%346 W · 380 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 50c | 290$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 56c | 285.28$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.28 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over | 48c | 250$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 46c | 208$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.32 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Under | 56c | 200.42$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.77 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 47c | 147.78$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.46 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 72c | 136.23$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.57 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…0742backed Over | 52c | 135.22$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 58c | 130$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.6 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 49c | 128.55$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.05 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 50c | 125.66$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.83 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad7…c097backed Over | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc916…2ee5backed Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Under | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 271 | 44.3%120 W · 151 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…054ebacked Over | 43c | 99.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.99 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce49…4740backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 236 | 42.4%100 W · 136 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Over | 39c | 85$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.15 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e6…224cbacked Under | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf54f…f282backed Over | 53c | 77.15$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.16 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…4599backed Under | 57c | 77$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.11 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Over | 44c | 74.12$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.67 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Under | 58c | 47$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 156 | 53.8%84 W · 72 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed Under | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Over | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa709…8d1dbacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…5c1bbacked Under | 48c | 39.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.79 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bec…6997backed Under | 49c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.34 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Under | 48c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 39c | 30.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5d…e82ebacked Under | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Over | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11b3…48b6backed Under | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Under | 47c | 29.79$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 456 | 51.1%233 W · 223 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4e…9b6fbacked Over | 43c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 45c | 24.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0e…4049backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 242 | 53.3%129 W · 113 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2107…8f4cbacked Under | 71c | 15.08$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Timberwolves vs. Hawks: O/U 243.5this page
- Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)Hawks won
- Timberwolves vs. HawksHawks won
- Timberwolves vs. Hawks: 1H MoneylineHawks won
- Timberwolves vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 118.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Hawks: O/U 239.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Hawks: O/U 242.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Hawks: O/U 244.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.