La Liga · resolved market
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-01-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf25dc76f097fa0f46e53f49bc14d394616d899bd6d61b8a9c21045d9499b85d4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $888,941
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $901,482
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $888,941 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 310 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Yes | 51c | 682,322$347,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334,363.04 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked No | 49c | 200,000$98,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98,000 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 49c | 198,185$97,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97,131.74 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 49c | 150,000$73,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73,500 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked No | 44c | 39,207$17,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,073.34 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b4…9785backed Yes | 60c | 30,005$17,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,071.42 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +75.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed No | 49c | 25,000$12,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,250 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 49c | 22,651$11,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,090.4 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bd…2182backed No | 49c | 16,000$7,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,840 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 45c | 15,167$6,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,779.16 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900 | 126 | 48.4%61 W · 65 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5165…175bbacked No | 49c | 8,439$4,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,135.28 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 49c | 7,129$3,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,493.75 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 51c | 7,001$3,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,457.28 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Yes | 52c | 6,097$3,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,935.2 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked No | 50c | 4,707$2,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,333.5 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07bc…393abacked No | 49c | 4,500$2,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,204.97 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 44c | 4,093$1,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,819.85 | 2,347 | 48.5%1,138 W · 1,209 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…bcebbacked Yes | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.57 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +9.9wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed No | 44c | 3,500$1,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,555 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked No | 49c | 3,500$1,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,714.99 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked No | 40c | 3,350$1,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,337.49 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -4.0wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 261 | 47.9%125 W · 136 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5543…e1f5backed No | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,469.99 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 51c | 2,979$1,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,459.97 | 306 | 34.6%106 W · 200 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed No | 28c | 2,897$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 104 | 37.5%39 W · 65 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked No | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc1…fdc6backed No | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 66c | 2,416$1,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.12 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e14…2266backed No | 55c | 2,157$1,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,186.35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 280 | 55%154 W · 126 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 49c | 2,025$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.35 | 234 | 52.6%123 W · 111 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed No | 20c | 2,014$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.36 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed No | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 219 | 57.5%126 W · 93 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked No | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Yes | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 49c | 1,840$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.06 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Yes | 59c | 1,840$1,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.72 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x266b…8da2backed No | 29c | 1,752$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -69%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 73c | 1,569$1,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.69 | 746 | 57.4%428 W · 318 L | +22.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed No | 26c | 1,500$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 387 | 29.5%114 W · 273 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 49c | 1,429$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.21 | 201 | 59.2%119 W · 82 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed No | 48c | 1,366$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.59 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 17c | 1,195$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.76 | 3,461 | 43%1,489 W · 1,972 L | +31.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Yes | 53c | 1,100$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.8 | 172 | 52.3%90 W · 82 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 51c | 1,005$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.42 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…f2f2backed No | 50c | 1,001$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.85 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 54cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x68d2…92c8backed No | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked No | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 110 | 37.3%41 W · 69 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9569…27fdbacked No | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 50c | 950$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.82 | 1,186 | 51.7%613 W · 573 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Yes | 50c | 948.6$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.87 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0724…9091backed No | 50c | 940$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…60e1backed No | 49c | 900$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked No | 39c | 899.96$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.99 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 69c | 802.9$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.89 | 196 | 62.8%123 W · 73 L | +20.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked No | 49c | 800$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Yes | 71c | 786.18$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.99 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 51c | 771.51$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.15 | 532 | 42.3%225 W · 307 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 50c | 733$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.5 | 351 | 48.4%170 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 66c | 710.16$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.92 | 411 | 47.9%197 W · 214 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked No | 50c | 595.11$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.56 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked No | 49c | 573.86$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.19 | 239 | 47.7%114 W · 125 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72b2…ffcabacked No | 49c | 567$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.23 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd6…02f3backed Yes | 79c | 558.78$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.34 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…813ebacked Yes | 51c | 554.71$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.12 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 78c | 522.06$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.06 | 196 | 52.6%103 W · 93 L | -15.6wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed No | 50c | 502$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed No | 28c | 500$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc669…53eabacked Yes | 76c | 500$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed No | 31c | 444.88$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.84 | 168 | 38.1%64 W · 104 L | -10.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked No | 51c | 441.18$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 129 | 51.9%67 W · 62 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 49c | 420$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.8 | 276 | 52.5%145 W · 131 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 49c | 420$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.8 | 317 | 51.1%162 W · 155 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed No | 49c | 420$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.8 | 218 | 49.1%107 W · 111 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed No | 50c | 420$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 113 | 33.6%38 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed No | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 350 | 54%189 W · 161 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…02aabacked No | 58c | 398.16$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.93 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Yes | 51c | 393.16$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.96 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked No | 27c | 368.3$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x347c…525abacked No | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed No | 48c | 344.49$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 201 | 48.8%98 W · 103 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 45c | 337$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.65 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed No | 49c | 330$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.7 | 176 | 48.3%85 W · 91 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed No | 49c | 330$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.7 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | -12.6wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked No | 45c | 329.99$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.2 | 213 | 55.9%119 W · 94 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 27c | 325.07$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.29 | 299 | 46.5%139 W · 160 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Yes | 50c | 321.51$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.76 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 290 | 53.4%155 W · 135 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed No | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 150 | 49.3%74 W · 76 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed No | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 181 | 52.5%95 W · 86 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…18dfbacked No | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f2…d776backed No | 25c | 300$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 69 | 33.3%23 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Yes | 58c | 278.56$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.52 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | -11.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 76c | 273$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.18 | 400 | 33.5%134 W · 266 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-01-11?this page
- Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-01-11?No won
- Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. RCD Mallorca end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.