TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. RCD Mallorca end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$42,408
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$42,702

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,408 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No79c5,057$3,978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,079.054,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes30c3,459$1,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,034.9130634.6%106 W · 200 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes31c3,111$964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$964.4150243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed No69c3,046$2,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$944.263138.7%12 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb726…4d2bbacked Yes20c2,506$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50030%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes26c2,135$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556.742,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes30c1,670$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016238.7%24 W · 38 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0678…9fd0backed No70c1,160$815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.4757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No70c1,096$767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.81,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006833.8%23 W · 45 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes29c900$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26155941.1%230 W · 329 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Yes22c765.04$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.8360147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x84f6…e46cbacked Yes31c750$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.52934.5%10 W · 19 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed No69c699.98$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.9923452.6%123 W · 111 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No73c618.92$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.5990843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa5c…be69backed Yes39c582.36$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.12128.3%1 W · 11 L-3.1wins-0.26per pick34cpaid-83%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed Yes17c560.05$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.691250%6 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2353…45eabacked Yes18c506.15$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes30c400$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12020255%111 W · 91 L-0.6wins0.00per pick55cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Yes30c400$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12014427.8%40 W · 104 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes33c356.41$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11819652.6%103 W · 93 L-15.6wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-14.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No77c350$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.515036.7%55 W · 95 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-43.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7793…33a6backed No69c342.1$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.051040%4 W · 6 L-2.7wins-0.27per pick67cpaid-43.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed No71c300$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8731745.7%145 W · 172 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Yes29c285.16$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.734252%178 W · 164 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68d2…92c8backed Yes23c250$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.51553.3%8 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1294…9dbabacked Yes18c240$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.22138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-23.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x865a…b52ebacked Yes21c238.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501526.7%4 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0025…644cbacked Yes21c230$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.1250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72e2…1d2abacked Yes20c223.4$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45825%2 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-51.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb87…88d1backed No70c215$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.53043.3%13 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes29c198$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.4253242.3%225 W · 307 L-1.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No80c197.35$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.2429946.5%139 W · 160 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes20c193.42$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.356126.2%16 W · 45 L-0.2wins0.00per pick27cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Yes22c193.07$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.710039%39 W · 61 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No60c189.42$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.143,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked No79c163.1$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.9212744.1%56 W · 71 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes12c163.1$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9179133%261 W · 530 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x417e…15e5backed Yes31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504153.7%22 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No76c139$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.361,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Yes30c135.26$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.1528558.2%166 W · 119 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc049…48abbacked Yes20c135$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276731.3%21 W · 46 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb1a9…d58bbacked Yes37c134.3$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502416.7%4 W · 20 L-3.0wins-0.13per pick29cpaid-46.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0e87…2171backed Yes34c125.1$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.661154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x694c…eb70backed Yes19c119.58$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.722040%8 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2718…c9c4backed Yes18c106.39$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1530%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d22…95b7backed Yes19c105.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick40cpaid+128%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x34b7…36e8backed Yes19c105.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201612.5%2 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick21cpaid-32.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x28ad…0614backed Yes35c101.61$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.992330.4%7 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b53…a717backed Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x051c…f25dbacked Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304438.6%17 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c13…99b7backed Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304126.8%11 W · 30 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd094…271bbacked Yes21c95.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205119.6%10 W · 41 L-4.4wins-0.09per pick28cpaid-38.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x34dd…eecfbacked Yes21c95.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf54a…e25dbacked Yes21c95.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20100%0 W · 10 L-3.5wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2298…ac49backed Yes16c95.16$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154615.2%7 W · 39 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick19cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Yes27c93.35$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.538241.5%34 W · 48 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-23.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes15c83$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3737039.2%145 W · 225 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3759…6b3bbacked No77c80$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.677156.3%40 W · 31 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c67…63fcbacked No72c76.74$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.499158.2%53 W · 38 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d73…3639backed Yes19c69.88$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-21.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb745…981bbacked Yes21c67.86$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb269…6adebacked Yes30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205834.5%20 W · 38 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-21.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d66…0e16backed Yes30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010040%40 W · 60 L-7.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0548…77c2backed Yes31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+61.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x76cc…0bb8backed Yes24c61.46$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7760%0 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes29c58.67$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0159655.4%330 W · 266 L+31.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6c6…fa98backed Yes19c55.16$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4820%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4818…bf0bbacked No70c54.99$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.55246.2%24 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4350…8560backed Yes21c52.38$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x320f…b4a3backed No70c52$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.6862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+35.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6393…dde9backed Yes30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick65cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe709…bcc6backed Yes30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+24.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3bc…4c8cbacked Yes21c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Yes30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1517856.2%100 W · 78 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No80c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1060832.4%197 W · 411 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed No71c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.530956%173 W · 136 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ad2…b231backed Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2d7…ba47backed Yes29c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.57250%36 W · 36 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed No74c48.92$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.716838.1%64 W · 104 L-10.1wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-36.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x063c…d642backed Yes30c48$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.36per pick53cpaid-59.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0157…d8dcbacked Yes30c47.39$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.314233.8%48 W · 94 L-9.7wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-22.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9d10…e17cbacked Yes30c47$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-20%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes30c46.67$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1413936%50 W · 89 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed No78c42.61$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.242650%13 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+48.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3ee…45f0backed Yes36c41.37$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9720%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes33c38.68$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6824047.9%115 W · 125 L+1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed No70c33.33$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1017252.3%90 W · 82 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No78c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.623762.9%149 W · 88 L+21.9wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+15%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7602…2775backed No72c29.96$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.393542.9%15 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xacd0…e0f5backed No71c28.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.176100%6 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked No77c24$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.5213230.3%40 W · 92 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94a6…2817backed No71c20.85$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.05250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5165…175bbacked No79c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.3771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+24.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x450f…9479backed No62c19.19$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.292060%12 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.