La Liga · resolved market
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-01-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb5fe1093bdb61cd00d36e7312885b6a15063920220e8f046fe2cbe1ac33e92a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $111,275
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $119,684
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,275 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 6c | 20,735$1,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,322.35 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 80c | 7,223$5,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,444.67 | 1,186 | 51.7%613 W · 573 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Yes | 8c | 4,569$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.7 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed Yes | 6c | 4,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed No | 79c | 1,867$1,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.6 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 20c | 1,850$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…39fcbacked Yes | 20c | 1,496$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.29 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 19c | 1,121$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.97 | 387 | 29.5%114 W · 273 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 4c | 1,000$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4064…5f1ebacked Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d14…c06dbacked Yes | 6c | 1,000$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 110 | 37.3%41 W · 69 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6e…e9e3backed Yes | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7c…958ebacked Yes | 5c | 1,000$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.9 | 113 | 36.3%41 W · 72 L | +9.9wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +450.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x865a…b52ebacked Yes | 9c | 814.29$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 79c | 800$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 234 | 52.6%123 W · 111 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Yes | 4c | 781.41$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 20c | 775$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.2 | 306 | 34.6%106 W · 200 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86f4…40d5backed No | 80c | 700$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 80c | 666$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.2 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | -8.8wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked No | 79c | 631.5$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.62 | 213 | 55.9%119 W · 94 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 31c | 619.41$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.11 | 400 | 33.5%134 W · 266 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Yes | 19c | 618.74$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.56 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1294…9dbabacked Yes | 5c | 599.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 3c | 571.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.67 | 34 | 5.9%2 W · 32 L | -8.0wins | -0.24per pick | 29cpaid | -89.1%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 67c | 560.03$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.81 | 3,461 | 43%1,489 W · 1,972 L | +31.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f51…e179backed Yes | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f6…e46cbacked Yes | 19c | 399.99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34b7…36e8backed Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked No | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 239 | 47.7%114 W · 125 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed No | 79c | 300$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 150 | 49.3%74 W · 76 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Yes | 21c | 300$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 342 | 52%178 W · 164 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked No | 79c | 299.34$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.86 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x566e…1340backed No | 80c | 299.29$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.85 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11de…38c3backed Yes | 34c | 296.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9c…6b57backed Yes | 5c | 260$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 9c | 238.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.38 | 240 | 47.9%115 W · 125 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c6…fa98backed Yes | 5c | 237.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72e2…1d2abacked Yes | 6c | 230.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Yes | 6c | 214.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 14c | 209.51$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 91 | 34.1%31 W · 60 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked No | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…5286backed Yes | 8c | 200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 159 | 40.3%64 W · 95 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe351…e48dbacked No | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cff…15d1backed Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 228 | 39.9%91 W · 137 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef1…d333backed Yes | 8c | 180.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1036…fb48backed Yes | 21c | 144.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76cc…0bb8backed Yes | 11c | 136.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe486…0c26backed Yes | 22c | 136.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a4…3117backed Yes | 16c | 133.33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed No | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 136 | 68.4%93 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked No | 79c | 125$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +88.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…4320backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa134…3ba2backed Yes | 20c | 101.62$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf711…db0bbacked No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8985…2e25backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9fa…c365backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2adb…316abacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce11…4a49backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…c966backed Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 80c | 85$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 309 | 56%173 W · 136 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa262…c8babacked Yes | 20c | 82.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed No | 80c | 75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Yes | 20c | 62.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 321 | 45.8%147 W · 174 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes | 21c | 52.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 139 | 36%50 W · 89 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca61…f06abacked Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0156…588cbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad2…b231backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f61…a4fcbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 80c | 30.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.14 | 1,577 | 51.4%811 W · 766 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 79c | 25.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.42 | 95 | 70.5%67 W · 28 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 76cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc40d…4813backed No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c8…7c4cbacked No | 80c | 21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 202 | 52.5%106 W · 96 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7643…fb95backed No | 79c | 20.01$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed No | 80c | 17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.4 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…ba55backed No | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 185 | 64.9%120 W · 65 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcffa…5eddbacked No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-01-11?this page
- Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. RCD Mallorca end in a draw?No won
- Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-01-11?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.