Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-04-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x94c9cb5947eb6a6bf07f30ea9c0146d7d3e7fc511786672c12d407ddf73d3f43
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $854,259
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $952,735
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $854,259 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 444 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0eb5…c494backed No | 67c | 169,450$113,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113,531.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Yes | 33c | 85,000$28,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,949.95 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Yes | 33c | 80,000$26,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,599.98 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3de4…b032backed No | 68c | 77,688$53,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,183.83 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Yes | 33c | 70,781$23,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,352.64 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 43c | 49,744$21,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,425.6 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x183d…1270backed Yes | 30c | 47,000$14,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,899.88 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 40c | 44,283$17,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,782.86 | 169 | 40.2%68 W · 101 L | -11.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 64c | 43,762$27,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,922.74 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f8…96a4backed No | 66c | 35,436$23,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,387.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 67c | 32,524$21,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,782.4 | 112 | 46.4%52 W · 60 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 63c | 21,977$13,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,743.3 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee19…555ebacked Yes | 34c | 21,484$7,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,178.4 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 63c | 15,905$9,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,993.79 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1e…82c9backed Yes | 33c | 15,152$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,151.52 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +80.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Yes | 33c | 15,000$4,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,049.98 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 62c | 12,200$7,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,538.35 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed No | 62c | 11,826$7,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,332.39 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 66c | 10,129$6,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,480.7 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18c4…f6dcbacked No | 70c | 10,000$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,999.99 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Yes | 34c | 9,000$3,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,939.95 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes | 32c | 7,752$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,252.33 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed No | 61c | 6,557$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 37c | 6,465$2,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,091.63 | 172 | 33.7%58 W · 114 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c04…fe01backed No | 65c | 5,886$3,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,840 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed No | 67c | 4,928$3,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,302 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 67c | 4,413$2,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,954.28 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe271…1570backed Yes | 34c | 4,100$1,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,706 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 61c | 3,728$2,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,276 | 638 | 57.2%365 W · 273 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 67c | 3,578$2,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,397.51 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 41c | 3,423$1,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,027.35 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed No | 67c | 3,333$2,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,233.11 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 34c | 3,200$1,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,118.09 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaca0…9b86backed Yes | 31c | 3,177$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,192.42 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 33c | 3,083$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,059.47 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…7cf5backed No | 66c | 3,000$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 71cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…5068backed Yes | 33c | 3,000$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,010 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Yes | 34c | 3,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,979.98 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 33c | 3,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,019.96 | 140 | 42.1%59 W · 81 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b75…433bbacked Yes | 34c | 2,941$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,941.18 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 34c | 2,849$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.98 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed No | 25c | 2,760$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.05 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +30%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed No | 60c | 2,750$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.84 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -5.3wins | -0.25per pick | 49cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 59c | 2,559$1,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,508.6 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Yes | 33c | 2,550$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,708.5 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 67c | 2,528$1,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,693.87 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 43c | 2,431$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.24 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 33c | 2,325$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,546.43 | 89 | 47.2%42 W · 47 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5af4…183cbacked No | 66c | 2,106$1,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,390 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -46%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed No | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked No | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219.99 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 29c | 1,861$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,327.67 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +8.3wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1143…b69fbacked No | 27c | 1,805$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.94 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x535f…a83bbacked Yes | 33c | 1,730$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,163.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2f…9d99backed No | 66c | 1,515$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…b1eebacked Yes | 35c | 1,429$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.57 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 38cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf83b…44a2backed No | 29c | 1,379$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed Yes | 75c | 1,337$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.07 | 60 | 73.3%44 W · 16 L | +9.6wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4951…3038backed No | 66c | 1,316$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 75c | 1,300$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.29 | 234 | 61.5%144 W · 90 L | +26.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…fc42backed No | 60c | 1,259$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.41 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed No | 50c | 1,219$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.69 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes | 34c | 1,200$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed No | 70c | 1,192$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.58 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62ff…5058backed Yes | 30c | 1,167$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.67 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb8…beaabacked No | 68c | 1,130$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x673c…d452backed No | 66c | 1,121$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 62c | 1,100$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a6…fec7backed No | 70c | 1,071$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 36c | 1,064$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.69 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 68c | 1,063$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.72 | 128 | 68%87 W · 41 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Yes | 34c | 1,051$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.53 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 32c | 1,048$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.79 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 36c | 1,044$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.87 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa529…677ebacked No | 68c | 1,029$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 33 | 81.8%27 W · 6 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 70cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc689…5250backed No | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2d…6db9backed Yes | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Yes | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf07…e601backed Yes | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…3111backed Yes | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f01…0d90backed No | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.33per pick | 46cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4457…f3e2backed Yes | 29c | 999.98$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.99 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +199.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Yes | 33c | 974.67$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.03 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x973f…dc4ebacked No | 68c | 911.76$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…873dbacked No | 66c | 909.09$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 37c | 869.43$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.22 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 63c | 833$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.79 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes | 36c | 830.77$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.57 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…317cbacked Yes | 30c | 796.67$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.67 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2568…ef92backed No | 66c | 796.3$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.23 | 108 | 63.9%69 W · 39 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes | 34c | 794.12$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.12 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd55…c9bfbacked No | 66c | 757.58$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c1…6b32backed No | 67c | 746.27$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…6bfebacked No | 62c | 742.82$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.55 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce38…635fbacked Yes | 34c | 711.76$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc8…6655backed No | 62c | 664.55$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 35c | 606.69$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.36 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd242…7be8backed Yes | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 66c | 571$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.86 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 73c | 551.86$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.16 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-04-30?this page
- Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-30?No won
- Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.