TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9cb8…beaa

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
61
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 55 out of 100; worst Tennis at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L-3.4wins-0.25per pick60cpaid-41.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Tennis — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ruzic vs. Tormo: Match O/U 23.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$208
Abidjan: Blaise Bicknell vs Yanki Erelbacked Blaise Bicknell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.1
Madrid: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Polina Kudermetovabacked Polina Kudermetova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$376Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$423.87
Madrid: Marina Bassols Ribera vs Elvina Kalievabacked Elvina Kalieva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$359Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$359.11
Phoenix: Jacob Fearnley vs Arthur Cazauxbacked Jacob Fearnley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
Cherbourg: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Remy Bertolabacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$555Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$555
Hersonissos 2: Tom Gentzsch vs Jacopo Berrettinibacked Jacopo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.8
BNP Paribas Open: Madison Keys vs Sonay Kartalbacked Madison Keys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
BNP Paribas Open: Sebastian Korda vs Alex de Minaurbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+66.7%+$120.67
BNP Paribas Open: Yulia Putintseva vs Paula Badosabacked Paula Badosa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$41
Brasilia: Thiago Monteiro vs Daniel Dutra da Silvabacked Thiago Monteiro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+35.1%+$5.2
Brasilia: Adolfo Vallejo vs Tristan Boyerbacked Adolfo Vallejo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+37%+$36.99
BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Joanna Garland vs Taylor Townsendbacked Taylor Townsend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+66.7%+$56
BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Patrick Kypson vs Daniel Merida Aguilarbacked Patrick Kypson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$55.14
All 14 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-25.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: paiN Gaming Academy vs Team Solid (BO3) - Circuito Desafiante Play-Inbacked paiN Gaming Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$124.1
LoL: T1 vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$107.18
LoL: HMBLE vs GMBLERS ESPORTS - Game 1 Winnerbacked GMBLERS ESPORTS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.09
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$683Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$683
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.4
LoL: Eintracht Frankfurt vs Team Orange Gaming (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked Eintracht Frankfurt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$197.64
First Blood in Game 1?backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.82
LoL: KT Rolster vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+60.6%+$66.39
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$205.65
LoL: GIANTX vs Team Heretics - Game 2 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$829Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$828.95
LoL: Arctic Pandas vs Verdant (BO5) - NLC Playoffsbacked Arctic Pandas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$163
LoL: French Flair vs TLN Pirates - Game 4 Winnerbacked French Flair · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+61.7%+$69.7
All 12 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs FaZe (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.3
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs QUAZAR (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 Playoffsbacked Lavked · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.54
Counter-Strike: Bebop vs Off Site (BO3) - European Pro League Series 6 Play-In Play-Inbacked Bebop · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs The Last Resort (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked The Last Resort · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$150.36
Counter-Strike: MASONIC vs Sashi Esport (BO1) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group Abacked Sashi Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$173
Counter-Strike: FURIA fe vs paiN Academy (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stagebacked paiN Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+33.3%+$12.67
Counter-Strike: FURIA fe vs pugdesonesto (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stagebacked pugdesonesto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+33.3%+$25
Counter-Strike: los kogutos vs STATE (BO3)backed STATE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+95.5%+$68.4
All 8 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-40.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-41%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-58.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Colorado Buffaloes vs. Utah Utes: O/U 149.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+141.3%+$30.83
Ball State Cardinals vs. Western Michigan Broncos: O/U 137.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+103.3%+$107.77
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Madagascar win on 2026-03-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+76%+$22.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2026-04-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$503Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$364.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$141.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Team Shpilit (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Play-In Group Abacked Rune Eaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$10.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: M80 vs Azure Dragon Gaming (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Playoffsbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$257Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+49.5%+$126.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-03-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Como 1907 vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-04-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$768Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$768.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.