Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Colorado Buffaloes vs. Utah Utes: O/U 149.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e3e3975f467423cd7c670a464cbf0ac36a1cb4a64d95cfb1a08ce0912f11f4c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,016
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,064
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,016 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 49c | 13,219$6,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,775.86 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 51c | 7,251$3,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,727.7 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 52c | 3,944$2,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,031.65 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Under | 62c | 3,426$2,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,113.42 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Over | 38c | 2,903$1,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,799.95 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 51c | 2,000$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.96 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 62c | 806.44$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 351 | 47.6%167 W · 184 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Over | 40c | 372.84$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.1 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 38c | 358.63$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.35 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 57c | 301.2$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.63 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Under | 53c | 222.05$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.69 | 218 | 50.5%110 W · 108 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 46c | 210.75$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.88 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Over | 38c | 201.73$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.07 | 172 | 41.3%71 W · 101 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Over | 45c | 192.32$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.78 | 258 | 37.6%97 W · 161 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe092…d209backed Over | 38c | 130.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Over | 38c | 95.97$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.5 | 407 | 55.8%227 W · 180 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Over | 41c | 80.31$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.39 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 51c | 67.57$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.31 | 609 | 54.5%332 W · 277 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 38c | 54.55$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.82 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Under | 54c | 54$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.34 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb8…beaabacked Over | 41c | 52.64$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6483…750abacked Over | 46c | 49.57$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.77 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 51c | 49.4$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Under | 52c | 44.91$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.13 | 193 | 48.7%94 W · 99 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe07f…08d6backed Over | 38c | 39.15$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 53c | 37.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 586 | 52.9%310 W · 276 L | +23.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 47c | 31.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.81 | 485 | 51.1%248 W · 237 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Over | 35c | 28.82$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.73 | 497 | 46.5%231 W · 266 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd96c…733cbacked Under | 65c | 28.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.58 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbb…727fbacked Under | 50c | 27.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d0…1a0fbacked Under | 60c | 26.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.67 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…049fbacked Over | 46c | 24.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.39 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…58a5backed Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x206f…ee3dbacked Under | 53c | 19.47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Colorado Buffaloes vs. Utah Utes: O/U 149.5this page
- Colorado Buffaloes vs. Utah UtesColorado Buffaloes won
- Colorado Buffaloes vs. Utah Utes: O/U 146.5Over won
- Colorado Buffaloes vs. Utah Utes: O/U 147.5Over won
- Colorado Buffaloes vs. Utah Utes: O/U 148.5Over won
- Spread: Colorado Buffaloes (-1.5)Colorado Buffaloes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.