Tennis · resolved market
Brasilia: Thiago Monteiro vs Daniel Dutra da Silva
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x22cdb78d929c8df84f8732751533b74c8fb3b06e5de642a83c370ad70fd1ba84
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thiago Monteiroof Thiago Monteiro, Daniel Dutra da Silva
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,414
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,853
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,414 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Daniel Dutra da Silva | 0c | 7,355$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Daniel Dutra da Silva | 3c | 4,097$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.3 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Daniel Dutra da Silva | 1c | 1,872$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dca…72a5backed Thiago Monteiro | 76c | 1,711$1,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.28 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Daniel Dutra da Silva | 24c | 1,256$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.54 | 160 | 29.4%47 W · 113 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Daniel Dutra da Silva | 23c | 1,148$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.04 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Daniel Dutra da Silva | 24c | 1,080$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.24 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +6.0wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Thiago Monteiro | 77c | 827.9$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.53 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Daniel Dutra da Silva | 25c | 750$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.34 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Daniel Dutra da Silva | 8c | 725.7$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.34 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf62b…844abacked Thiago Monteiro | 80c | 625$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 77cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Daniel Dutra da Silva | 3c | 597.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa446…d9c6backed Thiago Monteiro | 76c | 504.42$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.06 | 153 | 54.2%83 W · 70 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Daniel Dutra da Silva | 22c | 501.1$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.95 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2818…04a2backed Daniel Dutra da Silva | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 84 | 65.5%55 W · 29 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x794c…fa17backed Thiago Monteiro | 80c | 375.87$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.87 | 150 | 70%105 W · 45 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f35…95dabacked Daniel Dutra da Silva | 24c | 306.99$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.68 | 453 | 43.9%199 W · 254 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7693…ba75backed Daniel Dutra da Silva | 22c | 300.9$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.2 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Daniel Dutra da Silva | 6c | 300$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 459 | 9.6%44 W · 415 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcf…75c6backed Daniel Dutra da Silva | 10c | 290.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Thiago Monteiro | 73c | 216.11$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.93 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Thiago Monteiro | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 265 | 41.9%111 W · 154 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0301…9058backed Daniel Dutra da Silva | 26c | 186.31$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.44 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +151%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Daniel Dutra da Silva | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Daniel Dutra da Silva | 10c | 129.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 619 | 53.3%330 W · 289 L | +18.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Thiago Monteiro | 74c | 125$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.45 | 990 | 56%554 W · 436 L | +32.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b2…da22backed Daniel Dutra da Silva | 28c | 110.95$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Thiago Monteiro | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Daniel Dutra da Silva | 24c | 91.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.98 | 491 | 42.8%210 W · 281 L | -15.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Thiago Monteiro | 75c | 74$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Daniel Dutra da Silva | 20c | 61.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Daniel Dutra da Silva | 24c | 60.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Daniel Dutra da Silva | 25c | 55.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 328 | 42.7%140 W · 188 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…d470backed Thiago Monteiro | 78c | 47.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 210 | 72.4%152 W · 58 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Thiago Monteiro | 76c | 35.97$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.63 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a2…d591backed Thiago Monteiro | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c89…e6f7backed Thiago Monteiro | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 67 | 70.1%47 W · 20 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb8…beaabacked Thiago Monteiro | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -3.4wins | -0.25per pick | 60cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x650b…683fbacked Thiago Monteiro | 79c | 19.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.