Tennis · resolved market
Brasilia: Adolfo Vallejo vs Tristan Boyer
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe65b2943725a4f9e1d844a11d6d76d82a403d1ba7847ecbc9308686a503a9810
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Adolfo Vallejoof Adolfo Vallejo, Tristan Boyer
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,627
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,317
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,627 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x545d…c122backed Tristan Boyer | 4c | 7,973$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289 | 460 | 30.4%140 W · 320 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Tristan Boyer | 0c | 5,722$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Tristan Boyer | 16c | 3,199$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.61 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Tristan Boyer | 8c | 2,357$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.62 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ca…cccbbacked Adolfo Vallejo | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | +13.3wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf4…ed22backed Tristan Boyer | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 184 | 47.3%87 W · 97 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Adolfo Vallejo | 75c | 1,500$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Tristan Boyer | 29c | 1,347$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.3 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb97…5356backed Tristan Boyer | 26c | 1,303$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.03 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Adolfo Vallejo | 80c | 1,101$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.25 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Adolfo Vallejo | 70c | 1,079$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.93 | 530 | 58.1%308 W · 222 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab9…5b82backed Tristan Boyer | 25c | 1,017$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Tristan Boyer | 12c | 995.35$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.33 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Tristan Boyer | 30c | 808.58$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.04 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Tristan Boyer | 28c | 728.82$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.6 | 251 | 34.3%86 W · 165 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa446…d9c6backed Adolfo Vallejo | 70c | 701.32$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.77 | 153 | 54.2%83 W · 70 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Adolfo Vallejo | 75c | 663.62$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.62 | 1,186 | 62.8%745 W · 441 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…e0f5backed Tristan Boyer | 3c | 546$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb546…802cbacked Adolfo Vallejo | 77c | 500$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 24 | 79.2%19 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 71cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08aa…0126backed Adolfo Vallejo | 76c | 500$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Tristan Boyer | 27c | 447.47$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.86 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Adolfo Vallejo | 74c | 384.61$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 420 | 46.9%197 W · 223 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Tristan Boyer | 24c | 342.19$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.7 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9423…bba6backed Adolfo Vallejo | 75c | 330$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2439…3ed7backed Tristan Boyer | 9c | 322.22$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 128 | 53.9%69 W · 59 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Tristan Boyer | 8c | 317.38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 279 | 35.8%100 W · 179 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Tristan Boyer | 9c | 316.29$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Tristan Boyer | 7c | 310.47$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.46 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca6d…492bbacked Adolfo Vallejo | 75c | 290$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.5 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd91…3d37backed Adolfo Vallejo | 75c | 250$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7693…ba75backed Tristan Boyer | 26c | 214.7$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.82 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c7…007dbacked Tristan Boyer | 7c | 199.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 59 | 27.1%16 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…5c9fbacked Tristan Boyer | 26c | 150$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 158 | 48.7%77 W · 81 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Adolfo Vallejo | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb8…beaabacked Adolfo Vallejo | 73c | 137$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -3.4wins | -0.25per pick | 60cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Adolfo Vallejo | 74c | 122.97$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 692 | 53.3%369 W · 323 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…8ee7backed Adolfo Vallejo | 72c | 120$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Tristan Boyer | 13c | 103.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 619 | 53.3%330 W · 289 L | +18.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked Adolfo Vallejo | 69c | 101.45$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.45 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Adolfo Vallejo | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.67 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Tristan Boyer | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 491 | 42.8%210 W · 281 L | -15.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf268…ab74backed Adolfo Vallejo | 73c | 95.89$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.89 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Adolfo Vallejo | 77c | 95.29$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.92 | 219 | 59.4%130 W · 89 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…61fdbacked Adolfo Vallejo | 72c | 95$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 106 | 49.1%52 W · 54 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed Tristan Boyer | 28c | 90.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 218 | 47.2%103 W · 115 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Adolfo Vallejo | 73c | 76.77$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e78…8bb1backed Adolfo Vallejo | 73c | 75.34$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.34 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…7159backed Tristan Boyer | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 903 | 40.2%363 W · 540 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Tristan Boyer | 23c | 68.32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x84c6…68dabacked Adolfo Vallejo | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +4.6wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +51%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Tristan Boyer | 24c | 67.37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5540…9c18backed Adolfo Vallejo | 73c | 58.9$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54cf…e36dbacked Adolfo Vallejo | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…d470backed Adolfo Vallejo | 73c | 48$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 210 | 72.4%152 W · 58 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Adolfo Vallejo | 70c | 45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Adolfo Vallejo | 71c | 42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.39 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Tristan Boyer | 29c | 42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd5…11bbbacked Tristan Boyer | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 121 | 42.1%51 W · 70 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cff…83c4backed Adolfo Vallejo | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 276 | 64.1%177 W · 99 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…049fbacked Adolfo Vallejo | 70c | 26.19$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a2…d591backed Adolfo Vallejo | 73c | 24.04$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.49 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…cf81backed Adolfo Vallejo | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 308 | 53.6%165 W · 143 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Adolfo Vallejo | 77c | 20.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.63 | 412 | 72.8%300 W · 112 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31e5…e2a2backed Adolfo Vallejo | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 197 | 62.9%124 W · 73 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6656…433dbacked Adolfo Vallejo | 69c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf48e…1e01backed Adolfo Vallejo | 69c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.96 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.