Lol · resolved market
LoL: HMBLE vs GMBLERS ESPORTS - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x567c52d2fff47857be51a3efbb869a29e2fb2ac85cb2144b67fac20cc4a42a07
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- HMBLEof HMBLE, GMBLERS ESPORTS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,205
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,713
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,205 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc8df…4b48backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 18c | 1,616$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.94 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked GMBLERS ESPORTS | 18c | 950.8$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.14 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…930fbacked GMBLERS ESPORTS | 12c | 800$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 1,216 | 44.4%540 W · 676 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 17c | 773.97$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.76 | 644 | 43%277 W · 367 L | -27.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 18c | 370.5$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.69 | 304 | 41.8%127 W · 177 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 15c | 349.85$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.19 | 131 | 30.5%40 W · 91 L | -13.9wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked GMBLERS ESPORTS | 17c | 127.35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.03 | 584 | 20.2%118 W · 466 L | -58.1wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -43%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb30e…5ecebacked GMBLERS ESPORTS | 18c | 114.1$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.54 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 38cpaid | -77.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb8…beaabacked GMBLERS ESPORTS | 17c | 106.42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1843…affabacked GMBLERS ESPORTS | 17c | 105$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -53%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 249 | 41.4%103 W · 146 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 17c | 88.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 828 | 36.4%301 W · 527 L | -41.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: HMBLE vs GMBLERS ESPORTS - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: HMBLE (-1.5) vs GMBLERS ESPORTS (+1.5)HMBLE won
- Game Handicap: HMBLE (-2.5) vs GMBLERS ESPORTS (+2.5)HMBLE won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: HMBLE vs GMBLERS ESPORTS (BO5) - LIT PlayoffsHMBLE won
- LoL: HMBLE vs GMBLERS ESPORTS - Game 2 WinnerHMBLE won
- LoL: HMBLE vs GMBLERS ESPORTS - Game 3 WinnerHMBLE won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.