Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: HMBLE (-2.5) vs GMBLERS ESPORTS (+2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b6bc813888d6058f7ce0741c273efc4f7be1c56b8d67144fe2e1eabe3a1ead4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- HMBLEof HMBLE, GMBLERS ESPORTS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,650
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,114
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,650 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb3cb…dfd3backed HMBLE | 54c | 3,063$1,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,396.43 | 10 | 100%10 W · 0 L | +3.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +71.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9f…787abacked HMBLE | 55c | 1,499$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.88 | 610 | 45.2%276 W · 334 L | +35.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4e…b690backed HMBLE | 55c | 1,300$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.85 | 825 | 54.8%452 W · 373 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54ea…f74abacked GMBLERS ESPORTS | 47c | 1,183$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.13 | 102 | 43.1%44 W · 58 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd507…a6ddbacked GMBLERS ESPORTS | 43c | 1,073$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.4 | 300 | 35%105 W · 195 L | -21.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…3231backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 45c | 644.67$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.1 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x077f…b971backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 48c | 571.5$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.87 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…0558backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 41c | 470.54$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.92 | 182 | 36.8%67 W · 115 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8847…fc98backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 45c | 467.02$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.16 | 88 | 35.2%31 W · 57 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked HMBLE | 58c | 430.68$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.83 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked GMBLERS ESPORTS | 47c | 389.44$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.04 | 331 | 39.9%132 W · 199 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…1513backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 44c | 284.86$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.34 | 160 | 35%56 W · 104 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 41c | 263.92$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.21 | 1,007 | 47.9%482 W · 525 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 47c | 218.36$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.63 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…5d92backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 47c | 168.23$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.07 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 49cpaid | +250.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b0…ab95backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 45c | 144.44$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85a9…30bcbacked GMBLERS ESPORTS | 47c | 115.41$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.24 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -36%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed HMBLE | 60c | 110.1$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.04 | 1,151 | 56%644 W · 507 L | +25.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed HMBLE | 58c | 99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.18 | 285 | 59.6%170 W · 115 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked GMBLERS ESPORTS | 41c | 90.25$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.92 | 536 | 49.8%267 W · 269 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed HMBLE | 58c | 89$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.1 | 751 | 50.7%381 W · 370 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 40c | 82.61$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.05 | 1,372 | 48.6%667 W · 705 L | +57.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76bb…4548backed HMBLE | 69c | 71.18$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.12 | 349 | 60.7%212 W · 137 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…2b32backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 48c | 65.52$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.45 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeba1…838bbacked HMBLE | 62c | 61.47$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 122 | 70.5%86 W · 36 L | +8.6wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…4374backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 46c | 60.28$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.56 | 203 | 32%65 W · 138 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 31c | 58.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6f…3be7backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 47c | 48.41$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked HMBLE | 54c | 47.5$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.85 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…c881backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 45c | 44.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef2…5584backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 45c | 36.53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25dc…43e0backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 41c | 32.94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72af…c833backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 47c | 30.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -4.4wins | -0.20per pick | 38cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed HMBLE | 57c | 27.61$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.81 | 219 | 53%116 W · 103 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee16…16a2backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 210 | 54.8%115 W · 95 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa590…271cbacked GMBLERS ESPORTS | 45c | 23.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: HMBLE (-2.5) vs GMBLERS ESPORTS (+2.5)this page
- Game Handicap: HMBLE (-1.5) vs GMBLERS ESPORTS (+1.5)HMBLE won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: HMBLE vs GMBLERS ESPORTS (BO5) - LIT PlayoffsHMBLE won
- LoL: HMBLE vs GMBLERS ESPORTS - Game 1 WinnerHMBLE won
- LoL: HMBLE vs GMBLERS ESPORTS - Game 2 WinnerHMBLE won
- LoL: HMBLE vs GMBLERS ESPORTS - Game 3 WinnerHMBLE won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.