Fifa International · resolved market
Will Madagascar win on 2026-03-31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2306c874dabd407754a9947793c3f274026c72f83ce9cecf5a89f027f14e3090
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,876
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,842
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,876 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed No | 65c | 10,387$6,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,610.02 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 31c | 8,375$2,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,603.33 | 79 | 24.1%19 W · 60 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Yes | 25c | 3,027$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.03 | 120 | 36.7%44 W · 76 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked No | 57c | 2,348$1,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.78 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 56c | 1,710$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.63 | 431 | 45.2%195 W · 236 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed No | 75c | 1,674$1,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.65 | 186 | 28.5%53 W · 133 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…79a5backed Yes | 23c | 1,252$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.44 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Yes | 26c | 1,152$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.02 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +9.8wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5104…a114backed Yes | 53c | 1,105$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.04 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 15c | 999.45$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.92 | 350 | 36.3%127 W · 223 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 45c | 812.28$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.03 | 438 | 35.8%157 W · 281 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 30c | 609.36$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.25 | 163 | 41.1%67 W · 96 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 54c | 508.56$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.31 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed No | 54c | 450.92$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.28 | 351 | 50.7%178 W · 173 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 58c | 421.67$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.91 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb75…ba17backed Yes | 49c | 400$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed Yes | 49c | 366.56$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.8 | 129 | 36.4%47 W · 82 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x332c…ae23backed Yes | 38c | 291.8$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.8 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +6.4wins | +0.14per pick | 35cpaid | +108.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 43c | 283.93$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.91 | 186 | 41.4%77 W · 109 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 15c | 246.26$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.15 | 161 | 16.8%27 W · 134 L | -16.9wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd571…bd81backed Yes | 45c | 240.27$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d2…2f04backed Yes | 29c | 222$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.38 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Yes | 44c | 217.55$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.67 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d6d…6b36backed Yes | 47c | 209.83$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.51 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 27c | 195.47$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.17 | 226 | 34.1%77 W · 149 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe828…82d1backed Yes | 51c | 192.18$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.5 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca0d…2602backed Yes | 51c | 190.31$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.06 | 114 | 50%57 W · 57 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed No | 72c | 185.01$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.97 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 49c | 177.93$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.34 | 184 | 52.7%97 W · 87 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x822b…61fdbacked Yes | 14c | 177.47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.66 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +8.5wins | +0.25per pick | 40cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 69c | 171.99$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.5 | 167 | 55.1%92 W · 75 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44cb…feb2backed Yes | 47c | 171.51$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.33 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 56c | 166.66$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.66 | 396 | 21%83 W · 313 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63ad…790cbacked No | 56c | 158.07$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.55 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed No | 57c | 149.69$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.37 | 110 | 60%66 W · 44 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Yes | 29c | 145.36$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.25 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed No | 56c | 136.04$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.35 | 261 | 55.2%144 W · 117 L | +13.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked No | 59c | 120.11$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.51 | 823 | 48.8%402 W · 421 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 25c | 120.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.17 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3b54…db07backed Yes | 47c | 112.45$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.26 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fdb…98dbbacked No | 57c | 112.12$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.08 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 33c | 110.03$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 722 | 47.2%341 W · 381 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…31f3backed Yes | 44c | 109.82$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.32 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd162…72aabacked Yes | 44c | 109.82$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.32 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Yes | 45c | 107.62$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.35 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed No | 58c | 99.52$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dec…3302backed Yes | 44c | 98.84$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.49 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c3…0a99backed Yes | 56c | 95.25$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4458…d13bbacked Yes | 41c | 93.52$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.79 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x155a…b549backed Yes | 58c | 91.54$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.29 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…2c24backed No | 22c | 90$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.9 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +3.8wins | +0.20per pick | 27cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef2…3c33backed Yes | 55c | 89.03$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.26 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef3…0547backed No | 55c | 87.77$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed No | 57c | 86.52$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 116 | 58.6%68 W · 48 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 26c | 83.22$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.79 | 277 | 45.1%125 W · 152 L | -19.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b5…c197backed Yes | 39c | 80.54$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed No | 56c | 79.28$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.87 | 190 | 64.2%122 W · 68 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2045…c77cbacked Yes | 46c | 74.39$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.48 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7d…6af8backed No | 57c | 72.6$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 40c | 72.57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.29 | 512 | 50.4%258 W · 254 L | +31.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed No | 70c | 71.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.4 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 43c | 70$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +6.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xebf6…c629backed No | 75c | 69.02$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.26 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +86.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 28c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -5.4wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 57c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.96 | 908 | 40.9%371 W · 537 L | -64.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6041…3326backed No | 58c | 59.22$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.87 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89f9…eb5fbacked Yes | 44c | 59.11$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.01 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6e…c865backed No | 55c | 57.14$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.71 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2588…48babacked Yes | 52c | 56.03$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf52…555ebacked Yes | 35c | 54.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.31 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 71c | 53.23$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.29 | 109 | 54.1%59 W · 50 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb8…beaabacked No | 57c | 53.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae17…e532backed Yes | 36c | 52.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa20…fd0dbacked Yes | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd03…df4abacked Yes | 25c | 49.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 73 | 31.5%23 W · 50 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 59c | 48.45$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.99 | 108 | 63.9%69 W · 39 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed Yes | 27c | 47.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 63 | 14.3%9 W · 54 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -67%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96a8…1932backed No | 51c | 46.44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea6…dcf5backed Yes | 44c | 44.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.24per pick | 61cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…00afbacked Yes | 44c | 44.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c77…6747backed Yes | 30c | 44.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 67c | 43.9$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.49 | 876 | 51.1%448 W · 428 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb089…a271backed Yes | 33c | 42.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7503…18f3backed Yes | 46c | 42.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…8f64backed No | 48c | 41.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.74 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e3…7c07backed Yes | 48c | 39.82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 40cpaid | -66%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfedc…61d1backed No | 59c | 39.48$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.26 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x656d…b2c2backed Yes | 45c | 39.27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f1c…94d3backed Yes | 39c | 37.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1c…0144backed Yes | 56c | 35.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 58c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.74 | 550 | 45.1%248 W · 302 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ca…cccbbacked Yes | 29c | 34.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +5.4wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Yes | 47c | 34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 586 | 42.8%251 W · 335 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9631…a38cbacked Yes | 32c | 32.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x645e…1bd3backed No | 57c | 25.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.15 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91b1…9eadbacked Yes | 51c | 22.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 62c | 22.08$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3e…b82ebacked Yes | 59c | 21.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd637…5a4abacked Yes | 54c | 19.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…a9abbacked Yes | 51c | 19.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Madagascar win on 2026-03-31?this page
- Will Equatorial Guinea win on 2026-03-31?No won
- Will Madagascar vs. Equatorial Guinea end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.