Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d79b839fa02fc3c0ab6f7ad98c153cb03ed548751dccb6f805718a3f918fab7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,650
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,543
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,650 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x509d…0a6bbacked Under | 64c | 11,835$7,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,297.74 | 670 | 56.9%381 W · 289 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Over | 36c | 5,673$2,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,042.44 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 38c | 1,744$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.89 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 65c | 1,099$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.56 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Over | 35c | 700.16$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.06 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…03d4backed Over | 36c | 534.22$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.32 | 89 | 29.2%26 W · 63 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd507…a6ddbacked Over | 36c | 511.57$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.17 | 300 | 35%105 W · 195 L | -21.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcf…056bbacked Over | 36c | 444.72$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.1 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb126…9848backed Over | 36c | 325.88$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.32 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Over | 37c | 317.71$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.61 | 188 | 29.8%56 W · 132 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6041…3326backed Over | 36c | 309.64$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.47 | 164 | 52.4%86 W · 78 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Over | 36c | 295.91$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.53 | 427 | 35.4%151 W · 276 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Over | 36c | 261.77$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.24 | 342 | 50.6%173 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed Over | 36c | 244.35$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.79 | 118 | 33.9%40 W · 78 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe04…1481backed Over | 35c | 219.66$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.88 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb8…beaabacked Over | 38c | 177.36$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.4 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d18…3d29backed Over | 35c | 136.24$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.06 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd11d…5656backed Over | 36c | 133.56$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.08 | 506 | 47.2%239 W · 267 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked Under | 65c | 124.73$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.65 | 163 | 52.1%85 W · 78 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed Over | 36c | 99.1$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.68 | 438 | 39.7%174 W · 264 L | -24.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc647…efa0backed Over | 36c | 96.16$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.62 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ed…5dc7backed Over | 35c | 84.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.66 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Under | 63c | 77.22$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.57 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x102c…7b22backed Under | 78c | 75.73$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.51 | 61 | 68.9%42 W · 19 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05bc…eabbbacked Over | 22c | 65.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 141 | 39%55 W · 86 L | -9.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…1513backed Over | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 160 | 35%56 W · 104 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Over | 35c | 53.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…2e90backed Over | 36c | 53.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked Over | 36c | 39.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 331 | 39.9%132 W · 199 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Over | 36c | 39.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 272 | 48.9%133 W · 139 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Under | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 416 | 51.2%213 W · 203 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 70c | 20.08$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.02 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 65c | 19.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 285 | 59.6%170 W · 115 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- LoL: Conviction vs CCG Esports (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular SeasonConviction won
- LoL: Conviction vs CCG Esports - Game 1 WinnerConviction won
- LoL: Conviction vs CCG Esports - Game 2 WinnerConviction won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.