Lol · resolved market
LoL: Conviction vs CCG Esports - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfd383b72dfc432258de20750711eaeadd3e20b7e85c9ab07715f5016545d3c72
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Convictionof Conviction, CCG Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,804
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,082
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,804 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Conviction | 76c | 4,154$3,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.46 | 1,940 | 48.1%934 W · 1,006 L | +22.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33c…4c38backed CCG Esports | 26c | 2,646$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.25 | 240 | 65%156 W · 84 L | +24.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Conviction | 74c | 2,183$1,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.58 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked CCG Esports | 26c | 2,180$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.72 | 434 | 42.4%184 W · 250 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Conviction | 77c | 1,800$1,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.42 | 695 | 39.1%272 W · 423 L | -36.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked CCG Esports | 28c | 1,256$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.35 | 163 | 52.1%85 W · 78 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…2812backed CCG Esports | 16c | 1,110$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179 | 97 | 38.1%37 W · 60 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…62a3backed Conviction | 74c | 778.28$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.26 | 631 | 61.2%386 W · 245 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3f…6941backed CCG Esports | 19c | 609.28$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.34 | 394 | 47.2%186 W · 208 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked CCG Esports | 21c | 433.83$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.88 | 236 | 49.2%116 W · 120 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe689…159fbacked CCG Esports | 20c | 300.98$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…f4a7backed CCG Esports | 21c | 273.91$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.62 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bfc…f43dbacked CCG Esports | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.8wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -40%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x24ee…21c5backed CCG Esports | 21c | 184.22$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed CCG Esports | 27c | 182.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.96 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked CCG Esports | 38c | 179.22$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.22 | 1,295 | 45.1%584 W · 711 L | +49.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce7…81a3backed CCG Esports | 23c | 173.07$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.99 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x663e…db66backed CCG Esports | 20c | 160.95$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaebd…04d2backed CCG Esports | 26c | 156.1$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.14 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked CCG Esports | 23c | 144.34$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.52 | 388 | 50.8%197 W · 191 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b0…38c4backed CCG Esports | 21c | 134.65$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.58 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf804…259cbacked CCG Esports | 18c | 133.92$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.78 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfad…fa05backed Conviction | 75c | 131.46$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.96 | 1,218 | 58.1%708 W · 510 L | +44.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd89c…2d1fbacked Conviction | 77c | 128.85$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.26 | 181 | 59.1%107 W · 74 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf012…7354backed CCG Esports | 22c | 126.26$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.28 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7282…f40bbacked CCG Esports | 20c | 118.19$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.58 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Conviction | 60c | 113.05$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.99 | 337 | 37.7%127 W · 210 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Conviction | 78c | 110$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.75 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed CCG Esports | 29c | 106.58$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.39 | 549 | 44.4%244 W · 305 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb58f…8422backed CCG Esports | 20c | 96.32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed CCG Esports | 29c | 79.48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.23 | 1,270 | 57%724 W · 546 L | +45.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed CCG Esports | 26c | 77.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,831 | 17.1%313 W · 1,518 L | -236.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Conviction | 61c | 75.18$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.33 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62f6…ef41backed CCG Esports | 19c | 73.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1259backed CCG Esports | 21c | 66.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed CCG Esports | 20c | 58.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 77 | 28.6%22 W · 55 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed CCG Esports | 34c | 53.53$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 1,372 | 48.6%667 W · 705 L | +57.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed CCG Esports | 27c | 45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb0…ddcebacked CCG Esports | 24c | 44.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…12ebbacked CCG Esports | 24c | 43.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 306 | 32%98 W · 208 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…b387backed CCG Esports | 43c | 39.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 647 | 49.5%320 W · 327 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Conviction | 58c | 38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 331 | 24.2%80 W · 251 L | -33.2wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked CCG Esports | 30c | 34.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x509d…0a6bbacked Conviction | 66c | 31.1$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 670 | 56.9%381 W · 289 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Conviction | 71c | 24.22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 230 | 47%108 W · 122 L | -15.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc84f…c9ecbacked Conviction | 73c | 21.91$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Conviction | 74c | 21.24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.62 | 249 | 59.8%149 W · 100 L | +18.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc78a…ea34backed Conviction | 70c | 15.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 440 | 62.7%276 W · 164 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…cca4backed Conviction | 78c | 13.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.97 | 375 | 48%180 W · 195 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Conviction vs CCG Esports - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Conviction vs CCG Esports (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular SeasonConviction won
- LoL: Conviction vs CCG Esports - Game 2 WinnerConviction won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.