Lol · resolved market
LoL: Conviction vs CCG Esports - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb99e17b8a7e4a63d3385c550a0526ec520246db68cfd209f649e1710fa44ad5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Convictionof Conviction, CCG Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,664
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,899
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,664 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Conviction | 68c | 6,229$4,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,997.88 | 1,940 | 48.1%934 W · 1,006 L | +22.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked CCG Esports | 25c | 4,734$1,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,165.66 | 313 | 28.8%90 W · 223 L | +15.2wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Conviction | 60c | 3,077$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.04 | 1,671 | 57.9%968 W · 703 L | +70.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…980cbacked CCG Esports | 32c | 2,596$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.17 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2518…254fbacked Conviction | 79c | 2,354$1,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.25 | 533 | 55%293 W · 240 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44fa…d852backed Conviction | 70c | 1,864$1,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.1 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…62a3backed Conviction | 66c | 1,708$1,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.24 | 631 | 61.2%386 W · 245 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadd4…15c2backed CCG Esports | 29c | 1,388$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.51 | 264 | 43.6%115 W · 149 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed CCG Esports | 29c | 1,297$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.28 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x490b…eec9backed CCG Esports | 30c | 1,167$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.78 | 91 | 31.9%29 W · 62 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked CCG Esports | 24c | 893.04$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.95 | 1,592 | 34%541 W · 1,051 L | -79.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked CCG Esports | 30c | 821.72$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.64 | 466 | 37.6%175 W · 291 L | -19.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe689…159fbacked CCG Esports | 29c | 803.55$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.33 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3f…6941backed CCG Esports | 28c | 647.68$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.4 | 394 | 47.2%186 W · 208 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd11d…5656backed Conviction | 72c | 585.82$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.03 | 506 | 47.2%239 W · 267 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Conviction | 71c | 400$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.71 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…71e9backed CCG Esports | 34c | 398.88$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.91 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…968cbacked CCG Esports | 29c | 363.77$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.78 | 563 | 41%231 W · 332 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeba1…838bbacked Conviction | 70c | 350.58$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.01 | 122 | 70.5%86 W · 36 L | +8.6wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Conviction | 65c | 309.36$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.04 | 403 | 64.5%260 W · 143 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a8…48c0backed Conviction | 63c | 308.75$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.08 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe59c…4da7backed CCG Esports | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | -8.8wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41bb…26e8backed CCG Esports | 33c | 269.31$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.79 | 217 | 49.8%108 W · 109 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Conviction | 67c | 262.61$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.66 | 89 | 67.4%60 W · 29 L | +13.6wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked CCG Esports | 29c | 251.89$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.79 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked CCG Esports | 34c | 238.6$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.33 | 236 | 49.2%116 W · 120 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x281f…544cbacked CCG Esports | 28c | 226.06$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.46 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked CCG Esports | 24c | 222.83$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.48 | 780 | 50%390 W · 390 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ab…5080backed Conviction | 76c | 219.62$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.71 | 192 | 57.8%111 W · 81 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked CCG Esports | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 611 | 43.5%266 W · 345 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…f4a7backed CCG Esports | 33c | 192.03$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.7 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Conviction | 67c | 182.3$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.01 | 695 | 39.1%272 W · 423 L | -36.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56f8…8c55backed CCG Esports | 40c | 173.1$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.46 | 96 | 40.6%39 W · 57 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed Conviction | 59c | 169.01$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.02 | 456 | 18.9%86 W · 370 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Conviction | 69c | 168.81$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.37 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Conviction | 70c | 164.25$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.98 | 2,341 | 40.3%943 W · 1,398 L | -61.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b8…5379backed CCG Esports | 33c | 125.82$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.85 | 223 | 49.3%110 W · 113 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a1…8c96backed CCG Esports | 30c | 124.54$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.36 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04bd…39a0backed Conviction | 57c | 116.9$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.27 | 1,229 | 45.1%554 W · 675 L | +48.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Conviction | 70c | 110$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.8 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked CCG Esports | 14c | 108.51$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | +6.2wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed CCG Esports | 31c | 99.17$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.74 | 808 | 32.9%266 W · 542 L | -43.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd89c…2d1fbacked Conviction | 59c | 95.14$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.77 | 181 | 59.1%107 W · 74 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf012…7354backed CCG Esports | 34c | 92.16$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.55 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d0…f87ebacked CCG Esports | 32c | 90.51$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.77 | 399 | 40.4%161 W · 238 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc995…5e2ebacked Conviction | 70c | 89.08$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.72 | 130 | 60.8%79 W · 51 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed CCG Esports | 37c | 85.8$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1,643 | 44.4%730 W · 913 L | -42.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7586…6490backed Conviction | 74c | 77.09$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.1 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed CCG Esports | 16c | 75.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 337 | 37.7%127 W · 210 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Conviction | 62c | 75.56$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.06 | 505 | 49.3%249 W · 256 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b0…38c4backed CCG Esports | 33c | 70$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.99 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7792…d10dbacked Conviction | 71c | 55.08$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.97 | 192 | 53.6%103 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked CCG Esports | 29c | 53.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 416 | 51.2%213 W · 203 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed CCG Esports | 34c | 52.39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.81 | 1,372 | 48.6%667 W · 705 L | +57.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0de…3cafbacked CCG Esports | 38c | 50.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed CCG Esports | 40c | 50.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,831 | 17.1%313 W · 1,518 L | -236.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce7…81a3backed CCG Esports | 35c | 48.62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…b387backed CCG Esports | 30c | 42.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 647 | 49.5%320 W · 327 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f21…653cbacked CCG Esports | 33c | 41.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf804…259cbacked CCG Esports | 32c | 39.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x102c…7b22backed Conviction | 75c | 36.77$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 61 | 68.9%42 W · 19 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…cca4backed Conviction | 72c | 34.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 375 | 48%180 W · 195 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x973a…52eabacked Conviction | 72c | 25.95$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Conviction | 54c | 24.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.18 | 1,134 | 31%352 W · 782 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f6c…620bbacked Conviction | 67c | 23.9$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 325 | 66.5%216 W · 109 L | +26.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Conviction | 71c | 23.85$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 230 | 47%108 W · 122 L | -15.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Conviction | 66c | 20.29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc8…60e3backed Conviction | 59c | 18.27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Conviction vs CCG Esports - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Conviction vs CCG Esports (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular SeasonConviction won
- LoL: Conviction vs CCG Esports - Game 1 WinnerConviction won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.