Lol · resolved market

LoL: Conviction vs CCG Esports (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular Season

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa1b5301bd5336a4d219e444a4db1b852d8565ad7c7d4d56947fa1213653fb6c6

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Convictionof Conviction, CCG Esports
Resolved: Apr 9, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $44,558
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $51,918

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,558 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Lol
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x44fa…d852backed Conviction	76c	5,041$3,820 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,220.78	26	73.1%19 W · 7 L	+2.1wins	+0.08per pick	65cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1171…98dcbacked CCG Esports	24c	3,868$928 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$928.36	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-1.3wins	-0.11per pick	36cpaid	-48.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3dd1…2812backed CCG Esports	11c	3,190$352 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$351.7	97	38.1%37 W · 60 L	-5.3wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x682d…4cd6backed CCG Esports	0c	3,083$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.2	456	18.9%86 W · 370 L	-4.8wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-45.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0041…7dccbacked CCG Esports	21c	2,548$529 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$528.76	25	36%9 W · 16 L	+1.3wins	+0.05per pick	31cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked Conviction	74c	1,670$1,236 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$434.15	1,485	50.1%744 W · 741 L	+67.0wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x28a3…f681backed CCG Esports	12c	1,400$173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172.99	370	39.5%146 W · 224 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x653e…bbc0backed CCG Esports	22c	1,253$281 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$281.44	411	33.8%139 W · 272 L	-28.7wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb188…1b06backed CCG Esports	24c	1,171$287 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$286.67	88	52.3%46 W · 42 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	+3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked CCG Esports	25c	923.75$231 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230.67	434	42.4%184 W · 250 L	-18.3wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-10%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeba1…838bbacked Conviction	77c	672.02$517 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$154.56	122	70.5%86 W · 36 L	+8.6wins	+0.07per pick	63cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7f57…2282backed CCG Esports	18c	537.1$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.06	30	63.3%19 W · 11 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	64cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbf3b…0375backed CCG Esports	24c	451.53$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.37	376	47.9%180 W · 196 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed Conviction	73c	405.49$296 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$109.48	2,156	53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L	+57.4wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Conviction	74c	399.96$296 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.99	1,794	51.1%917 W · 877 L	+50.5wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9348…8cfbbacked Conviction	75c	396.9$298 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99.27	163	52.1%85 W · 78 L	+4.5wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4523…0be0backed CCG Esports	13c	384.06$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.93	160	38.1%61 W · 99 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4e1abacked CCG Esports	24c	379.49$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.08	163	25.2%41 W · 122 L	-15.8wins	-0.10per pick	35cpaid	-34.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Conviction	77c	378.12$293 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.53	1,731	44.2%765 W · 966 L	-28.4wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked CCG Esports	21c	349.29$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.35	342	50.6%173 W · 169 L	+10.3wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a57…968cbacked CCG Esports	29c	346.57$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.51	563	41%231 W · 332 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	0%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27e9…f09ebacked CCG Esports	11c	300$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	177	39.5%70 W · 107 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa74a…4893backed CCG Esports	12c	298.46$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.58	441	29.5%130 W · 311 L	-45.9wins	-0.10per pick	40cpaid	-48%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3e83…00aabacked CCG Esports	25c	296$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.57	65	33.8%22 W · 43 L	-6.7wins	-0.10per pick	44cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked CCG Esports	27c	286.86$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.45	1,368	37.7%516 W · 852 L	-6.8wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Conviction	75c	273.08$205 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.27	47	68.1%32 W · 15 L	+4.3wins	+0.09per pick	59cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6617…29bdbacked CCG Esports	11c	258.77$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.47	253	40.7%103 W · 150 L	+4.2wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked CCG Esports	13c	214$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.82	331	24.2%80 W · 251 L	-33.2wins	-0.10per pick	34cpaid	-43.6%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Conviction	76c	205$156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.2	186	53.2%99 W · 87 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bdd…1b11backed CCG Esports	24c	194.43$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.46	169	35.5%60 W · 109 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0e3…c760backed CCG Esports	24c	187.69$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.85	79	27.8%22 W · 57 L	-7.5wins	-0.10per pick	37cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed CCG Esports	26c	183.77$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.78	808	32.9%266 W · 542 L	-43.9wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b38…4d61backed CCG Esports	23c	166.49$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.09	272	48.9%133 W · 139 L	+9.2wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8378…f1abbacked CCG Esports	20c	163.76$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.35	24	50%12 W · 12 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xced8…221ebacked CCG Esports	21c	150$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.5	474	44.1%209 W · 265 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed CCG Esports	15c	147.48$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.3	1,831	17.1%313 W · 1,518 L	-236.0wins	-0.13per pick	30cpaid	-46%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0x4255…1792backed CCG Esports	24c	142.2$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.03	124	28.2%35 W · 89 L	-5.9wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8b9…7a6bbacked CCG Esports	23c	137.39$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.92	181	48.6%88 W · 93 L	+6.9wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1802…b1aebacked CCG Esports	13c	135$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.45	26	19.2%5 W · 21 L	-2.6wins	-0.10per pick	29cpaid	-50.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xab96…989fbacked CCG Esports	24c	125.81$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.52	244	34.4%84 W · 160 L	-9.1wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Conviction	75c	119.83$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.76	924	50.9%470 W · 454 L	+14.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Conviction	75c	119$89 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.75	103	55.3%57 W · 46 L	+4.4wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0caa…b2bdbacked CCG Esports	25c	118.21$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.23	205	56.6%116 W · 89 L	+6.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4820…c613backed CCG Esports	17c	114.94$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.97	74	35.1%26 W · 48 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-23%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3d5…7ca1backed Conviction	76c	108.71$83 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.09	47	59.6%28 W · 19 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3177…cb28backed Conviction	75c	105$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.3	177	39%69 W · 108 L	-9.6wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c5c…a8b5backed CCG Esports	14c	102.58$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.22	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed Conviction	75c	100$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	580	42.4%246 W · 334 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe574…68a7backed Conviction	75c	100$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	+20.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed CCG Esports	11c	95$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.45	432	33.8%146 W · 286 L	-20.6wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-23%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Conviction	75c	92$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23	536	49.8%267 W · 269 L	+9.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x461c…f74bbacked CCG Esports	26c	91.88$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.89	252	40.1%101 W · 151 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb3f0…c8a6backed Conviction	76c	86.78$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.74	59	54.2%32 W · 27 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe05f…1fe3backed Conviction	76c	80$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.2	78	65.4%51 W · 27 L	+5.8wins	+0.07per pick	58cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked Conviction	76c	76.97$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.47	388	50.8%197 W · 191 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a02…a770backed CCG Esports	27c	67.11$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.12	1,372	48.6%667 W · 705 L	+57.5wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x012d…9db6backed Conviction	76c	64.84$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.56	115	63.5%73 W · 42 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	66cpaid	-6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a2b…d4e9backed CCG Esports	23c	50$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.5	28	39.3%11 W · 17 L	-2.2wins	-0.08per pick	47cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb64…bfdcbacked CCG Esports	24c	46.57$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.18	247	41.3%102 W · 145 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e7c…164dbacked CCG Esports	25c	44.23$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.06	447	43.6%195 W · 252 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x907d…2c9bbacked Conviction	76c	40.93$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.82	52	63.5%33 W · 19 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	61cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Conviction	74c	39.95$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.21	230	47%108 W · 122 L	-15.1wins	-0.07per pick	54cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x56c4…fce5backed Conviction	76c	36$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.64	183	59.6%109 W · 74 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa415…6fb9backed Conviction	76c	34$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.16	268	56.7%152 W · 116 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84c1…028bbacked Conviction	78c	30.36$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.68	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.09per pick	76cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0642…8c68backed Conviction	76c	28$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.72	137	59.9%82 W · 55 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x990a…a9cebacked Conviction	76c	25.33$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.08	53	66%35 W · 18 L	+4.0wins	+0.08per pick	58cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6472…81e3backed Conviction	76c	20.7$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.97	82	57.3%47 W · 35 L	-3.3wins	-0.04per pick	61cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86c8…fc02backed Conviction	79c	20.1$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.22	505	49.3%249 W · 256 L	+2.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4daa…8923backed Conviction	76c	20$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.8	38	71.1%27 W · 11 L	+2.0wins	+0.05per pick	66cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf512…5198backed Conviction	75c	19.7$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.92	151	66.2%100 W · 51 L	+6.7wins	+0.04per pick	62cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x155b…d7babacked Conviction	76c	19.27$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.62	143	33.6%48 W · 95 L	-9.0wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3892…4093backed Conviction	77c	18.83$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.33	299	48.8%146 W · 153 L	-6.1wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9160…2e4dbacked Conviction	76c	16$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.84	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.24per pick	76cpaid	+31.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96ef…cca4backed Conviction	75c	14.63$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.66	375	48%180 W · 195 L	+6.8wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

LoL: Conviction vs CCG Esports (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular Seasonthis page
Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
LoL: Conviction vs CCG Esports - Game 1 WinnerConviction won
LoL: Conviction vs CCG Esports - Game 2 WinnerConviction won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

LoL: Conviction vs CCG Esports (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular Season

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event