CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: FURIA fe vs paiN Academy (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e90a0596dbf16d7b982c6484af97fc01ebe2e8ac86aad40e8006395a691dce2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- paiN Academyof FURIA fe, paiN Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,022
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,022 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x39b2…0ca7backed FURIA fe | 25c | 712.79$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.7 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed FURIA fe | 27c | 638.77$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.47 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc78…a301backed paiN Academy | 75c | 438.4$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.6 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3635…1afdbacked paiN Academy | 73c | 351.58$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.58 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ca…7d49backed paiN Academy | 73c | 308.22$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.22 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed0…a9c5backed paiN Academy | 75c | 173.72$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.43 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked FURIA fe | 27c | 159.8$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.8 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked paiN Academy | 73c | 138.77$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.47 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb8…beaabacked paiN Academy | 75c | 50.67$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed paiN Academy | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 328 | 45.1%148 W · 180 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed FURIA fe | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 402 | 47.8%192 W · 210 L | +11.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked paiN Academy | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 87 | 59.8%52 W · 35 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked FURIA fe | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.