Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Team Shpilit (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Play-In Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd2af5a9b96da5bd1c513de06ff02b6275bd5ff77e00222b9627201664ac78cde
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rune Eatersof Rune Eaters, Team Shpilit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,877
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,877 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked Team Shpilit | 35c | 9,000$3,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,148.45 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…bafcbacked Rune Eaters | 65c | 6,470$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,270.15 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Team Shpilit | 1c | 3,742$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.45 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Team Shpilit | 37c | 693.58$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.17 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2b…2de7backed Rune Eaters | 61c | 560$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.4 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31e6…a23ebacked Team Shpilit | 39c | 560$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.4 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed Rune Eaters | 65c | 500$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Team Shpilit | 6c | 489.91$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.4 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Team Shpilit | 38c | 466.2$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.18 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe702…563fbacked Rune Eaters | 65c | 461.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.54 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Rune Eaters | 65c | 406.95$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.68 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41bb…6302backed Rune Eaters | 63c | 404$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.48 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Shpilit | 9c | 336.17$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.42 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Shpilit | 12c | 319.45$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.25 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74c5…6cb7backed Rune Eaters | 64c | 312.6$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.6 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +3.8wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1a68…6196backed Rune Eaters | 62c | 296.49$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed Rune Eaters | 62c | 272.83$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.13 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e3…770ebacked Rune Eaters | 65c | 269.46$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.31 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Team Shpilit | 41c | 242.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.76 | 187 | 39%73 W · 114 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b15…823fbacked Rune Eaters | 65c | 219.94$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.98 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +48%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf901…5f48backed Team Shpilit | 29c | 205.79$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.68 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked Rune Eaters | 75c | 203$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.75 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked Team Shpilit | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 251 | 47.4%119 W · 132 L | +12.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf40d…20a1backed Rune Eaters | 65c | 175.38$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.38 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfeb…763ebacked Rune Eaters | 62c | 165.58$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.58 | 115 | 35.7%41 W · 74 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53fc…76d7backed Rune Eaters | 74c | 162$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.12 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5f…d393backed Rune Eaters | 65c | 155.38$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.38 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f0…c8a6backed Rune Eaters | 65c | 154.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.1 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…3397backed Rune Eaters | 63c | 148.66$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.16 | 237 | 46.8%111 W · 126 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd5…11bbbacked Team Shpilit | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7576…3ff4backed Rune Eaters | 79c | 127.09$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.09 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed Team Shpilit | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b9b…c323backed Rune Eaters | 60c | 121.78$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.71 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked Rune Eaters | 73c | 102.74$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.74 | 700 | 52.3%366 W · 334 L | +47.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Team Shpilit | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 502 | 47.6%239 W · 263 L | +31.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…d321backed Team Shpilit | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 340 | 45.9%156 W · 184 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Team Shpilit | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 228 | 45.6%104 W · 124 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc64e…746fbacked Rune Eaters | 60c | 83.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf219…47e9backed Team Shpilit | 17c | 79.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Team Shpilit | 30c | 75.95$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 312 | 51.3%160 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea7…1be7backed Rune Eaters | 65c | 75.41$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.39 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…7b4fbacked Rune Eaters | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 354 | 61.3%217 W · 137 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Shpilit | 37c | 60.86$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c3…2149backed Rune Eaters | 65c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd572…5510backed Rune Eaters | 62c | 59.68$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -34%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Team Shpilit | 31c | 58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 713 | 42.5%303 W · 410 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5de…88dabacked Team Shpilit | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Team Shpilit | 34c | 49.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 176 | 38.6%68 W · 108 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5043…c922backed Team Shpilit | 27c | 49.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.73 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -7.4wins | -0.34per pick | 43cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x6041…3326backed Rune Eaters | 63c | 46.5$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.21 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…7ed7backed Team Shpilit | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee05…d6ccbacked Rune Eaters | 65c | 41.42$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf237…4989backed Team Shpilit | 37c | 40.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b4…748abacked Team Shpilit | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 130 | 26.2%34 W · 96 L | -15.9wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Rune Eaters | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 125 | 68%85 W · 40 L | +12.7wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…65c5backed Rune Eaters | 78c | 38.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked Rune Eaters | 65c | 38.27$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.39 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Team Shpilit | 38c | 34.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xdbda…8bd5backed Rune Eaters | 66c | 33.33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.17 | 132 | 59.8%79 W · 53 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf823…74c4backed Rune Eaters | 64c | 32.95$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3d…1f52backed Rune Eaters | 65c | 32.85$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Team Shpilit | 39c | 28.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 154 | 50%77 W · 77 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb8…beaabacked Rune Eaters | 64c | 28.13$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d3…5ea8backed Rune Eaters | 78c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked Rune Eaters | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 212 | 53.8%114 W · 98 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Team Shpilit (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Play-In Group Athis page
- Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Team Shpilit - Game 1 WinnerRune Eaters won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.