TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc64e…746f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
54
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Premier League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 54 out of 100; worst NHL at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT1855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Alabama Crimson Tidebacked Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$51.59
St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$29.78
Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-3.5)backed Kansas Jayhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$39.65
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked Vanderbilt Commodores · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.61
Texas Longhorns vs. Gonzaga Bulldogsbacked Gonzaga Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.52
Spread: Miami Hurricanes (-2.5)backed Missouri Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.67
Furman Paladins vs. Connecticut Huskies: O/U 136.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$48.49
California Baptist Lancers vs. Kansas Jayhawks: O/U 138.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$50.55
Prairie View A&M Panthers vs. Florida Gators: O/U 155.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$48.32
Spread: UCLA Bruins (-5.5)backed UCLA Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.68
Northern Iowa Panthers vs. St. John's Red Storm: O/U 131.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.61
Spread: Tennessee Volunteers (-11.5)backed Miami (OH) RedHawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.61
Spread: Alabama Crimson Tide (-11.5)backed Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$48.57
Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-7.5)backed Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$47.46
Akron Zips vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$24.08
North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Texas Longhornsbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.69
Spread: UMBC Retrievers (-1.5)backed Howard Bison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+89%+$31.77
Howard Bison vs. UMBC Retrievers: O/U 140.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.66
All 18 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Rockets (-2.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$44.2
Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$48
Spread: Hornets (-18.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$44.31
Heat vs. Rocketsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Lakers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
Suns vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$36.67
Spread: Pistons (-18.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$31.42
Spread: Pistons (-17.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$44.55
Spread: Rockets (-1.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+101.3%+$45.6
Suns vs. Celtics: O/U 214.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
Spread: Hawks (-3.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Mavericks vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$24.67
Warriors vs. Wizards: O/U 232.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
All 14 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-22.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Predators vs. Blackhawksbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+98%+$59.78
Hurricanes vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Jets vs. Rangersbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$63.15
Bruins vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$64
Islanders vs. Canadiensbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Stars vs. Wildbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
Flyers vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Jets vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$48
Predators vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Sharks vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$34
Bruins vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$40.79
All 12 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+80.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$36.21
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$39.19
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-03-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$45.15
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs The Last Resort (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked The Last Resort · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$46.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Team Shpilit (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Play-In Group Abacked Rune Eaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+67.1%+$33.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Cincinnati vs. CF Montréal end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$26.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces enter Iran by March 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Roma win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.