TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Pistons (-17.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Wizardsof Pistons, Wizards
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$280,337

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $280,337 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 215 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Wizards45c34,489$15,507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,982.464,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Pistons53c22,251$11,793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,793.271,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xada5…c2a4backed Wizards47c20,000$9,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,599.994337.2%16 W · 27 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-29.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Pistons55c12,022$6,611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,611.179,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Wizards43c12,000$5,163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,837.2735744.3%158 W · 199 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Pistons57c11,405$6,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,500.7314753.1%78 W · 69 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Wizards50c9,935$4,931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,003.634,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa491…3177backed Wizards47c9,600$4,512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,0885959.3%35 W · 24 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe39…5c3cbacked Pistons51c8,196$4,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,180812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.34per pick46cpaid-73.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Pistons56c7,507$4,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,182.344,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Wizards48c7,082$3,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,653.734,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf19d…276fbacked Pistons56c6,824$3,822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,821.5423147.6%110 W · 121 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Wizards51c6,672$3,381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,291.132,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0bbd…0916backed Wizards49c4,366$2,139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,226.662100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a08…0ebdbacked Wizards49c4,166$2,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,124.66250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f4b…79d2backed Wizards49c3,755$1,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,915.052100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Pistons56c3,430$1,921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,920.81,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Pistons56c3,074$1,721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,721.446,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Pistons50c3,053$1,527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,526.741,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcaf9…5222backed Wizards49c3,028$1,484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,544.28250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Pistons56c3,000$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,68034851.7%180 W · 168 L+1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa634…3499backed Wizards49c2,792$1,368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,423.922100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7bce…de3cbacked Wizards49c2,586$1,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,318.86250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x703a…61e1backed Pistons51c2,514$1,282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,282.1420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Wizards45c2,453$1,094 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,358.613,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x63d5…0286backed Pistons51c2,434$1,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,241.3420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x60ce…1cc1backed Pistons51c2,402$1,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,225.0220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb10f…ea6bbacked Pistons51c2,311$1,179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,178.6120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x213b…ec79backed Wizards49c2,294$1,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,169.942100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2fc9…3cc2backed Wizards49c2,252$1,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,148.52250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x171f…40debacked Pistons51c2,236$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,140.36250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadac…8b40backed Pistons51c2,236$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,140.36250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1257…bd5abacked Pistons51c2,233$1,139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,138.8320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e2f…ef78backed Pistons51c2,233$1,139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,138.83250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe38b…b2afbacked Wizards49c2,215$1,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,129.65250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9691…1392backed Wizards49c2,203$1,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,123.532100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x172d…ba52backed Pistons51c2,202$1,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,123.02250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2063…8965backed Wizards49c2,178$1,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,110.78250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd456…2722backed Pistons51c2,155$1,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.0520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3bec…459dbacked Pistons51c2,121$1,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,081.7120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Pistons54c2,100$1,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,133.8148054.2%260 W · 220 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa734…f94dbacked Pistons51c2,055$1,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,048.05333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeaa5…ef9abacked Pistons51c2,046$1,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,043.4620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa1c9…eb83backed Pistons51c2,020$1,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,030.220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x444b…ad63backed Wizards49c2,020$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,030.2250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a7e…1cc7backed Pistons56c2,000$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1208429.8%25 W · 59 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-36.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Wizards50c1,939$969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$970.183,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb688…f0bdbacked Wizards49c1,939$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$988.89250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61dd…42c8backed Pistons51c1,909$974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$973.5920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Pistons55c1,884$1,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,036.164651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d0e…6d2abacked Pistons51c1,867$952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$952.1720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x124a…cbcdbacked Wizards49c1,855$909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$946.05250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2f2…05adbacked Wizards49c1,843$903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$939.93250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa71a…92fdbacked Pistons51c1,835$936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$935.8520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa01…4332backed Pistons51c1,828$932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$932.2820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x16b8…ae70backed Wizards49c1,818$891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$927.18250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71db…3857backed Pistons51c1,766$901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900.6620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e7f…9f60backed Wizards49c1,680$823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$856.82100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x05c6…2d15backed Pistons51c1,655$844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$844.0520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xabd3…9240backed Wizards49c1,630$799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$831.32100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6530…486dbacked Wizards49c1,564$766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$797.64250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x826a…6441backed Pistons51c1,560$796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$795.6250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x753d…41cebacked Pistons51c1,500$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$765250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b42…62afbacked Pistons56c1,500$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839.995850%29 W · 29 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x466f…a463backed Pistons51c1,490$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759.9250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Pistons24c1,261$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.1647542.3%201 W · 274 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cf4…97c8backed Wizards49c1,224$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.24250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89bd…3f72backed Wizards44c1,069$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$598.4711243.8%49 W · 63 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Wizards45c1,040$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57254443%234 W · 310 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed Pistons56c1,011$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.3117144.4%76 W · 95 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6e7…884cbacked Pistons52c1,001$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.6816338.7%63 W · 100 L-11.4wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-8.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Wizards45c1,000$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55013148.1%63 W · 68 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Pistons52c961.54$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50050954.8%279 W · 230 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Wizards61c859.9$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.7659140.8%241 W · 350 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Pistons54c750.34$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.1880653.6%432 W · 374 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5259…b22dbacked Pistons51c725$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.7530%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0e40…cf85backed Wizards43c697.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.6716745.5%76 W · 91 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Wizards73c663.56$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.581,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Wizards45c661.15$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.631,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Wizards49c603.36$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.892,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x976e…ecf3backed Wizards46c564.63$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.92339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-28.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1f0…c9e4backed Wizards45c520$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28623850.4%120 W · 118 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce39…04d6backed Wizards43c504.1$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.3437842.9%162 W · 216 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbcd2…6b02backed Pistons50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501560%9 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Wizards42c500$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2901,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Pistons53c483.02$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25647651.7%246 W · 230 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Wizards52c447.51$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.638,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x443d…017fbacked Pistons56c446.43$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25023550.2%118 W · 117 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa917…4e8dbacked Wizards45c402.98$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.649845.9%45 W · 53 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Pistons55c381.73$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.5420638.3%79 W · 127 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Pistons52c320.85$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16651438.7%199 W · 315 L-29.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Wizards46c317$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.1840146.9%188 W · 213 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12f2…0a1dbacked Wizards49c306.12$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.123441.2%14 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Wizards57c300$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12980737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Pistons55c299.28$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.32,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09c0…9740backed Wizards43c267.98$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.752755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Wizards44c263.46$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.221,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51bb…a919backed Wizards44c252.27$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.277350.7%37 W · 36 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Pistons56c220.99$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.761,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x02a9…642dbacked Pistons57c205.37$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.0918143.1%78 W · 103 L-12.3wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-12.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.