NBA · resolved market
Spread: Pistons (-17.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x01ceef83ab5558fb8de7620e14843599093368ddb2d546f9e836450e63b1a62a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wizardsof Pistons, Wizards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $280,337
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $280,337 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 215 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Wizards | 45c | 34,489$15,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,982.46 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Pistons | 53c | 22,251$11,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,793.27 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…c2a4backed Wizards | 47c | 20,000$9,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,599.99 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pistons | 55c | 12,022$6,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,611.17 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Wizards | 43c | 12,000$5,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,837.27 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Pistons | 57c | 11,405$6,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,500.73 | 147 | 53.1%78 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Wizards | 50c | 9,935$4,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,003.63 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa491…3177backed Wizards | 47c | 9,600$4,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,088 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe39…5c3cbacked Pistons | 51c | 8,196$4,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,180 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.34per pick | 46cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Pistons | 56c | 7,507$4,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,182.34 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Wizards | 48c | 7,082$3,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,653.73 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Pistons | 56c | 6,824$3,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,821.54 | 231 | 47.6%110 W · 121 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Wizards | 51c | 6,672$3,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,291.13 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…0916backed Wizards | 49c | 4,366$2,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,226.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a08…0ebdbacked Wizards | 49c | 4,166$2,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,124.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4b…79d2backed Wizards | 49c | 3,755$1,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,915.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Pistons | 56c | 3,430$1,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920.8 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Pistons | 56c | 3,074$1,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,721.44 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Pistons | 50c | 3,053$1,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,526.74 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf9…5222backed Wizards | 49c | 3,028$1,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,544.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Pistons | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 348 | 51.7%180 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa634…3499backed Wizards | 49c | 2,792$1,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,423.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bce…de3cbacked Wizards | 49c | 2,586$1,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,318.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x703a…61e1backed Pistons | 51c | 2,514$1,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,282.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Wizards | 45c | 2,453$1,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,358.61 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63d5…0286backed Pistons | 51c | 2,434$1,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,241.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ce…1cc1backed Pistons | 51c | 2,402$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb10f…ea6bbacked Pistons | 51c | 2,311$1,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,178.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x213b…ec79backed Wizards | 49c | 2,294$1,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,169.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fc9…3cc2backed Wizards | 49c | 2,252$1,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,148.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x171f…40debacked Pistons | 51c | 2,236$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadac…8b40backed Pistons | 51c | 2,236$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1257…bd5abacked Pistons | 51c | 2,233$1,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,138.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2f…ef78backed Pistons | 51c | 2,233$1,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,138.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe38b…b2afbacked Wizards | 49c | 2,215$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,129.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9691…1392backed Wizards | 49c | 2,203$1,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,123.53 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…ba52backed Pistons | 51c | 2,202$1,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,123.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2063…8965backed Wizards | 49c | 2,178$1,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd456…2722backed Pistons | 51c | 2,155$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bec…459dbacked Pistons | 51c | 2,121$1,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,081.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Pistons | 54c | 2,100$1,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.81 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa734…f94dbacked Pistons | 51c | 2,055$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa5…ef9abacked Pistons | 51c | 2,046$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,043.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1c9…eb83backed Pistons | 51c | 2,020$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x444b…ad63backed Wizards | 49c | 2,020$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7e…1cc7backed Pistons | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 84 | 29.8%25 W · 59 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Wizards | 50c | 1,939$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.18 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb688…f0bdbacked Wizards | 49c | 1,939$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61dd…42c8backed Pistons | 51c | 1,909$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Pistons | 55c | 1,884$1,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036.1 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0e…6d2abacked Pistons | 51c | 1,867$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x124a…cbcdbacked Wizards | 49c | 1,855$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f2…05adbacked Wizards | 49c | 1,843$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa71a…92fdbacked Pistons | 51c | 1,835$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa01…4332backed Pistons | 51c | 1,828$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b8…ae70backed Wizards | 49c | 1,818$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71db…3857backed Pistons | 51c | 1,766$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7f…9f60backed Wizards | 49c | 1,680$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05c6…2d15backed Pistons | 51c | 1,655$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabd3…9240backed Wizards | 49c | 1,630$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6530…486dbacked Wizards | 49c | 1,564$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x826a…6441backed Pistons | 51c | 1,560$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x753d…41cebacked Pistons | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b42…62afbacked Pistons | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.99 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x466f…a463backed Pistons | 51c | 1,490$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Pistons | 24c | 1,261$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.16 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf4…97c8backed Wizards | 49c | 1,224$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89bd…3f72backed Wizards | 44c | 1,069$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.47 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Wizards | 45c | 1,040$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572 | 544 | 43%234 W · 310 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Pistons | 56c | 1,011$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.31 | 171 | 44.4%76 W · 95 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e7…884cbacked Pistons | 52c | 1,001$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.68 | 163 | 38.7%63 W · 100 L | -11.4wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Wizards | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 131 | 48.1%63 W · 68 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Pistons | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Wizards | 61c | 859.9$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.76 | 591 | 40.8%241 W · 350 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Pistons | 54c | 750.34$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.18 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5259…b22dbacked Pistons | 51c | 725$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e40…cf85backed Wizards | 43c | 697.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.67 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Wizards | 73c | 663.56$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.58 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Wizards | 45c | 661.15$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.63 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Wizards | 49c | 603.36$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.89 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…ecf3backed Wizards | 46c | 564.63$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.9 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Wizards | 45c | 520$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286 | 238 | 50.4%120 W · 118 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Wizards | 43c | 504.1$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.34 | 378 | 42.9%162 W · 216 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd2…6b02backed Pistons | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Wizards | 42c | 500$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Pistons | 53c | 483.02$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 476 | 51.7%246 W · 230 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wizards | 52c | 447.51$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.63 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x443d…017fbacked Pistons | 56c | 446.43$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 235 | 50.2%118 W · 117 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Wizards | 45c | 402.98$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.64 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Pistons | 55c | 381.73$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.54 | 206 | 38.3%79 W · 127 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Pistons | 52c | 320.85$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 514 | 38.7%199 W · 315 L | -29.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Wizards | 46c | 317$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.18 | 401 | 46.9%188 W · 213 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f2…0a1dbacked Wizards | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.12 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Wizards | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Pistons | 55c | 299.28$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.3 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09c0…9740backed Wizards | 43c | 267.98$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.75 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Wizards | 44c | 263.46$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.22 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51bb…a919backed Wizards | 44c | 252.27$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.27 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Pistons | 56c | 220.99$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.76 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02a9…642dbacked Pistons | 57c | 205.37$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.09 | 181 | 43.1%78 W · 103 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pistons (-17.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-10.5)Wizards won
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-11.5)Wizards won
- Bilal Coulibaly: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 24.5No won
- Jalen Duren: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Jalen Duren: Rebounds O/U 11.5Yes won
- Pistons vs. WizardsPistons won
- Pistons vs. Wizards: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Pistons vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 119.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 120.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 230.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 231.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 232.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 233.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 234.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 235.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 236.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 237.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 241.5Over won
- Spread: Pistons (-13.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Pistons (-14.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Pistons (-15.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Pistons (-18.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Pistons (-19.5)Wizards won
- Tre Johnson: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Tre Johnson: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.