NBA · resolved market
Spread: Pistons (-19.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6abb2555be12ead6b3abd485169be66e8c6703c0cd53d0836b156e5b6302aca8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wizardsof Pistons, Wizards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $864,570
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $864,570 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 182 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Pistons | 50c | 495,744$247,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247,872.06 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Wizards | 50c | 365,647$182,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182,823.31 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Wizards | 50c | 127,533$63,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63,793.76 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Wizards | 50c | 90,000$45,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,000 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Pistons | 50c | 61,806$30,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,885.05 | 231 | 47.6%110 W · 121 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Wizards | 50c | 60,000$30,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,000 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Pistons | 49c | 50,000$24,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,499.94 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Pistons | 50c | 34,167$17,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,083.5 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Pistons | 50c | 28,818$14,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,409 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Wizards | 50c | 24,996$12,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,497.8 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12af…ff78backed Wizards | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,800 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Pistons | 49c | 13,072$6,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,401.93 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Wizards | 51c | 11,000$5,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,389.99 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Pistons | 50c | 10,100$5,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,050 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Pistons | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Pistons | 50c | 9,659$4,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,843.77 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Pistons | 50c | 8,892$4,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,442.57 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Wizards | 51c | 8,000$4,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,920 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pistons | 49c | 7,624$3,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,731.57 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Pistons | 49c | 7,543$3,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,721 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Wizards | 51c | 5,555$2,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,721.95 | 173 | 48.6%84 W · 89 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Wizards | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Pistons | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Pistons | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,449.99 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Pistons | 49c | 4,998$2,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,448.97 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Pistons | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,959.94 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Wizards | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.99 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Wizards | 51c | 2,941$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,441.18 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…f708backed Pistons | 49c | 2,613$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280.5 | 194 | 45.4%88 W · 106 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Pistons | 49c | 2,512$1,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230.79 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Wizards | 51c | 1,980$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.39 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Wizards | 50c | 1,896$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.04 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Pistons | 49c | 1,837$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.13 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Wizards | 51c | 1,700$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833 | 442 | 52.3%231 W · 211 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Wizards | 52c | 1,524$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.2 | 381 | 43%164 W · 217 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Pistons | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed Wizards | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 230 | 47%108 W · 122 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Pistons | 50c | 1,087$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.48 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pistons | 46c | 1,058$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.66 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Pistons | 49c | 1,031$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.26 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Pistons | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 629 | 48.6%306 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Pistons | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…383cbacked Pistons | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 240 | 50.8%122 W · 118 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0556…132abacked Pistons | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacb6…e3bbbacked Wizards | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | +9.0wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Pistons | 50c | 844$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422 | 478 | 56.5%270 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Wizards | 51c | 784.31$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.31 | 400 | 41.5%166 W · 234 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f52…c525backed Wizards | 51c | 784.31$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.31 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Wizards | 52c | 745.98$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.34 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Wizards | 42c | 611.99$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.99 | 358 | 49.7%178 W · 180 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Pistons | 46c | 611.15$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.8 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c52…5859backed Pistons | 47c | 599.97$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.55 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -5.3wins | -0.18per pick | 44cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Pistons | 50c | 518.46$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.23 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Wizards | 35c | 515.31$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.15 | 206 | 38.3%79 W · 127 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Pistons | 49c | 505.22$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.56 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc00…79f8backed Pistons | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 152 | 40.8%62 W · 90 L | -12.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Wizards | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 96 | 28.1%27 W · 69 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Pistons | 50c | 488.95$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.48 | 399 | 43.1%172 W · 227 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…44c1backed Pistons | 50c | 472$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236 | 114 | 51.8%59 W · 55 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5440…c640backed Wizards | 51c | 420$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.8 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f4d…b717backed Pistons | 50c | 411.3$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Wizards | 54c | 409.08$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.92 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2271…8170backed Pistons | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 181 | 47%85 W · 96 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Pistons | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 283 | 48.8%138 W · 145 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd947…9b61backed Wizards | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd708…b9d2backed Pistons | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Wizards | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e7…884cbacked Pistons | 48c | 391.84$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.08 | 163 | 38.7%63 W · 100 L | -11.4wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0d…82c9backed Wizards | 50c | 314$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Wizards | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 255 | 59.2%151 W · 104 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Pistons | 65c | 289.01$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.85 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5142…ee20backed Pistons | 50c | 270.77$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02a9…642dbacked Pistons | 50c | 266.38$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.19 | 181 | 43.1%78 W · 103 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d9…c125backed Wizards | 51c | 245.1$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.1 | 202 | 47.5%96 W · 106 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Pistons | 51c | 229.41$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 234 | 46.2%108 W · 126 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Pistons | 54c | 220.03$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.68 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf469…dcaabacked Pistons | 50c | 211.58$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.79 | 221 | 54.8%121 W · 100 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc95d…f13bbacked Pistons | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e9…6d8ebacked Pistons | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 154 | 46.1%71 W · 83 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa84d…74a8backed Wizards | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Wizards | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Pistons | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x769c…fd65backed Wizards | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…5992backed Pistons | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 378 | 52.9%200 W · 178 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4010…77d4backed Wizards | 51c | 192.64$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.39 | 481 | 46.2%222 W · 259 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x584c…0da9backed Pistons | 50c | 188$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 118 | 47.5%56 W · 62 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Pistons | 50c | 180$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 217 | 43.8%95 W · 122 L | -14.2wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5127…de1ebacked Wizards | 56c | 177.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 179 | 44.1%79 W · 100 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Wizards | 51c | 176.47$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.47 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2841…3c5abacked Pistons | 48c | 176.01$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.01 | 213 | 49.3%105 W · 108 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Wizards | 51c | 158.16$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…c7f7backed Pistons | 50c | 157$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.5 | 92 | 60.9%56 W · 36 L | +10.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…8848backed Wizards | 52c | 153.85$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.85 | 722 | 50.6%365 W · 357 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x353e…9db2backed Wizards | 51c | 150$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…763bbacked Pistons | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 337 | 48.1%162 W · 175 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked Wizards | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5818…39e2backed Wizards | 51c | 147$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.03 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c50…2de6backed Wizards | 51c | 147$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.03 | 168 | 45.2%76 W · 92 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x960d…4629backed Wizards | 51c | 147$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.03 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Wizards | 52c | 128.37$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.62 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pistons (-19.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-10.5)Wizards won
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-11.5)Wizards won
- Bilal Coulibaly: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 24.5No won
- Jalen Duren: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Jalen Duren: Rebounds O/U 11.5Yes won
- Pistons vs. WizardsPistons won
- Pistons vs. Wizards: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Pistons vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 119.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 120.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 230.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 231.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 232.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 233.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 234.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 235.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 236.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 237.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 241.5Over won
- Spread: Pistons (-13.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Pistons (-14.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Pistons (-15.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Pistons (-17.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Pistons (-18.5)Wizards won
- Tre Johnson: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Tre Johnson: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.