TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 235.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$127,876

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $127,876 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 210 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Over46c6,108$2,828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,280.649,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84dd…4ff8backed Over48c4,866$2,336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,530.322100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x869a…5780backed Over48c4,622$2,219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,403.44250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ecc…c258backed Over48c3,826$1,836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,989.522100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Under55c3,664$1,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.331,29448.1%623 W · 671 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9327…fc74backed Under52c3,620$1,882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,882.4250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73ea…605ebacked Under52c3,273$1,702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,701.9620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9290…65d1backed Under52c3,022$1,571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,571.44250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76f0…a046backed Over48c2,967$1,424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,542.84250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed Under54c2,964$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,60024847.6%118 W · 130 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe58b…25cfbacked Under52c2,804$1,458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,458.08250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aad…4261backed Over48c2,544$1,221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,322.88250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dbd…c0b3backed Over48c2,515$1,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,307.82100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1559…73fdbacked Under52c2,511$1,306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,305.72250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d1e…3200backed Over48c2,505$1,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,302.62100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x235b…2b16backed Over48c2,466$1,184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,282.322100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd69…35dfbacked Under52c2,455$1,277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,276.620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x43cb…d1f7backed Under52c2,452$1,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,275.04250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe202…9b6cbacked Over48c2,414$1,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,255.282100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc515…c1b5backed Under52c2,411$1,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,253.72250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x785f…8b32backed Over48c2,366$1,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,229.89250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x388f…6ccfbacked Over48c2,365$1,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,229.8250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda91…e32dbacked Under52c2,355$1,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,224.6250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef4b…cbb4backed Under52c2,331$1,212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,212.12250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43b6…9a9bbacked Over43c2,327$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,326.455030%15 W · 35 L-6.0wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-36.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe1b7…e391backed Over48c2,323$1,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,207.962100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x49c2…fa97backed Under52c2,323$1,208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,207.9620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde22…d183backed Over48c2,316$1,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,204.322100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f4b…de9bbacked Over48c2,315$1,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,203.8250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2578…1509backed Over48c2,303$1,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,197.56250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3a7…b63bbacked Under52c2,255$1,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,172.6250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacce…ce0abacked Under52c2,244$1,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,166.88250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57b8…1d81backed Under52c2,222$1,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,155.44250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50f1…1e23backed Over48c2,215$1,063 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,151.82100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x11e4…42d8backed Under52c2,202$1,145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,145.04250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2719…2ce6backed Under52c2,200$1,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,144250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa38c…57abbacked Under52c2,166$1,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,126.32250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcafc…6a72backed Under52c2,155$1,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,120.6250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd378…418abacked Under52c2,121$1,103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,102.92250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4758…1f44backed Under52c2,121$1,103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,102.9220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb377…279fbacked Over48c2,121$1,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,102.922100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9e3…0abdbacked Under52c2,044$1,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,062.8820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d94…fa98backed Under52c2,020$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,050.4250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf258…3b4fbacked Over48c2,020$970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,050.42100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3929…4fdfbacked Over48c2,016$968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,048.322100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f3f…2cecbacked Over48c2,015$967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,047.8250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d30…236bbacked Over48c2,014$967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,047.282100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xceae…f403backed Over48c2,005$962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,042.6250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0758…4d0bbacked Under52c1,998$1,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,038.9620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xae5c…f659backed Over48c1,966$944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,022.32250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8346…80eebacked Under52c1,959$1,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,018.6820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb862…b893backed Under52c1,956$1,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,017.1220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x65ed…5900backed Over48c1,955$938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,016.62100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x527a…836fbacked Over48c1,944$933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,010.882100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3d53…54e2backed Under52c1,919$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997.88250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa01a…a5d1backed Under52c1,909$993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$992.68250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e03…af71backed Over48c1,905$914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$990.62100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0861…316abacked Over48c1,866$896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$970.32250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x278d…cfbcbacked Under52c1,864$969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$969.2820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3239…f0d0backed Over48c1,856$891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$965.12250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07b8…2da2backed Over48c1,855$890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$964.62100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84b6…e04abacked Under52c1,855$965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$964.6250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4175…42e4backed Over48c1,844$885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$958.88250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x964f…1dc8backed Over48c1,828$877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$950.56250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb703…31efbacked Over48c1,822$875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$947.44250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1715…caf2backed Over48c1,818$873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$945.362100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc98c…2d2fbacked Under52c1,804$938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$938.08250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20b3…6597backed Under52c1,799$935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$935.4820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xadef…97e8backed Under52c1,769$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$919.88250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb2f…9b2abacked Under52c1,768$919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$919.36250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f92…1f7abacked Under52c1,752$911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$911.0430%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaab2…32b9backed Over48c1,744$837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$906.88250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea38…aea0backed Under52c1,727$898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$898.04250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb0f…f92abacked Over48c1,727$829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$898.042100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8218…4acdbacked Over48c1,723$827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$895.962100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0eb6…b469backed Under52c1,703$886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885.56250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb74f…a853backed Over48c1,689$811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$878.28250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1f5…5463backed Under52c1,688$878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$877.7620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x91a6…8a0ebacked Over48c1,663$798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$864.762100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7b4…f557backed Over48c1,642$788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$854.082100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x58b9…8aadbacked Over48c1,630$782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$847.62100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe57c…c06cbacked Over48c1,626$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845.522100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under56c1,604$906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905.798,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ff4…d42dbacked Over48c1,588$762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$825.76333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2f5…a8a7backed Under52c1,588$826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$825.76250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75c6…54f7backed Under52c1,522$791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$791.4420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2657…8163backed Under52c1,457$758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757.64250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafad…6b23backed Under52c1,455$757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756.6250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe70…574cbacked Under52c1,345$699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over44c1,344$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752.034,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bda…aa47backed Under52c1,289$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$670.2830%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x54c6…4d09backed Under52c1,163$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.7620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over46c1,150$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.692,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Over44c1,136$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.4720638.3%79 W · 127 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c16…23ddbacked Under52c1,061$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.72250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed Under55c1,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55014244.4%63 W · 79 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-17.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1759…ab4bbacked Under52c939$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.28250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under55c695.03$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.44,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over46c692.91$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.842,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Under53c660.38$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35049246.3%228 W · 264 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.