TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 234.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$150,165

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $150,165 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 183 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Under52c18,666$9,639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,639.2915545.8%71 W · 84 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Over47c13,389$6,338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,051.2487451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over49c9,551$4,696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,855.329,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under51c6,748$3,448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,448.014,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f2f…be86backed Over48c6,719$3,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,518.1513357.9%77 W · 56 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Over48c5,607$2,691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,915.6448352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf712…a72bbacked Under50c4,611$2,306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,305.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4b4…c957backed Under50c4,606$2,303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,303250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17cb…eee3backed Under50c4,405$2,203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,202.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd4e…6459backed Under50c4,402$2,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,20120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda7c…cc06backed Under50c4,205$2,103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,102.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe39…5c3cbacked Under50c3,980$1,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,990812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.34per pick46cpaid-73.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0bfe…b1a3backed Under50c3,811$1,906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,905.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18af…bfddbacked Under50c3,655$1,828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,827.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8668…bddebacked Under50c3,636$1,818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,81820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under53c3,500$1,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,85069149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x055a…1997backed Under50c3,232$1,616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,61620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e5c…81cbbacked Under50c3,201$1,601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,600.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc396…925fbacked Under50c3,013$1,507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,506.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14a9…de05backed Under50c3,010$1,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,505250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbdc2…38f5backed Under50c2,881$1,441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,440.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce54…4b54backed Under50c2,866$1,433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,433250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6493…9a8ebacked Under50c2,818$1,409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,409333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25e5…fd93backed Under50c2,811$1,406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,405.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under53c2,500$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3204,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a0d…e30bbacked Under50c2,441$1,221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,220.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bf0…c44dbacked Under50c2,434$1,217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,21720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9dbd…c0b3backed Over50c2,414$1,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2072100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d1e…3200backed Over50c2,411$1,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,205.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc96e…269cbacked Over50c2,398$1,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1992100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e1e…5c60backed Under50c2,340$1,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,17020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba1a…3098backed Over50c2,336$1,168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1682100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe202…9b6cbacked Over50c2,323$1,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,161.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x030f…1aecbacked Under50c2,236$1,118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,118250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a36…e2d2backed Over50c2,202$1,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,101250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa706…7deabacked Over50c2,194$1,097 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,097250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbda8…03f4backed Over50c2,165$1,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,082.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x53e6…0351backed Over50c2,155$1,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,077.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x50f1…1e23backed Over50c2,056$1,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0282100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x04da…2477backed Over50c2,047$1,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,023.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x350a…f032backed Over50c2,044$1,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,022250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0bc…de21backed Over50c2,036$1,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0182100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe879…412ebacked Over50c2,035$1,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,017.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3929…4fdfbacked Over50c2,014$1,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0072100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xacce…ce0abacked Over50c2,001$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb377…279fbacked Over50c2,001$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3a7…b63bbacked Over50c1,988$994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$994250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef4b…cbb4backed Over50c1,966$983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$983250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under52c1,938$1,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,008.363,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5be9…576fbacked Under50c1,908$954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xea9a…9f06backed Under50c1,866$933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd378…418abacked Over50c1,855$928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$927.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4239…b1aebacked Over50c1,823$912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$911.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x36ad…080fbacked Under50c1,818$909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$909250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d30…236bbacked Over50c1,802$901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9012100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x527a…836fbacked Over50c1,801$901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$900.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x65ed…5900backed Over50c1,801$901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$900.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d11…e919backed Under50c1,800$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa01a…a5d1backed Over50c1,727$864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$863.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ed7…89febacked Under50c1,725$863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$862.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30ee…56c3backed Over50c1,701$851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$850.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x25cd…abe0backed Over50c1,678$839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$839250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84b6…e04abacked Over50c1,611$806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$805.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe57c…c06cbacked Over50c1,603$802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc98c…2d2fbacked Over50c1,602$801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x372a…6638backed Over50c1,601$801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Under53c1,600$848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8481,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xeb0f…f92abacked Over50c1,600$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8002100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdba1…c23fbacked Over50c1,588$794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7942100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7b4…f557backed Over50c1,535$768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$767.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea38…aea0backed Over50c1,525$763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$762.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f3a…9632backed Over50c1,508$754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe58b…25cfbacked Over50c1,498$749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1460…ffd9backed Over50c1,466$733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eb6…b469backed Over50c1,414$707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$707250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under53c1,213$638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637.74,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1bf…f357backed Over50c1,200$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60016953.3%90 W · 79 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over47c1,179$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625.113,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2657…8163backed Over50c1,176$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Over50c1,094$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5471,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0556…132abacked Under54c1,067$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576.379346.2%43 W · 50 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over47c970.5$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.674,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under52c942.22$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.9566248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43cb…d1f7backed Over50c939$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9736…3ffabacked Over50c908$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4542100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under50c863.57$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.791,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf962…3de8backed Under50c788$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under48c775.43$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.632,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2d6…9e5bbacked Over49c768$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.681275%9 W · 3 L+3.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+50.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9935…8fb9backed Under53c733$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.491241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under52c712.9$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.711,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Over48c625$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32527746.6%129 W · 148 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb8e…aa15backed Under51c588.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003938.5%15 W · 24 L-5.2wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-30.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over48c429.5$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.346,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x054b…afd5backed Over47c425.53$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.5320552.2%107 W · 98 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee62…bc6abacked Over47c378.72$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.7226745.3%121 W · 146 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5eda…64a6backed Under56c376.55$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.87366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under50c366.02$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.011,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6e7…884cbacked Under52c362.25$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.3716338.7%63 W · 100 L-11.4wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-8.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x81ea…8b9abacked Over48c299.96$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.9815650%78 W · 78 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.