TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pistons vs. Wizards: 1H Moneyline

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Pistonsof Pistons, Wizards
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,355
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,280

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,355 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Wizards15c725.32$108 inLost-$108.465,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Wizards29c674.29$197 inLost-$197.041,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Wizards30c400.78$121 inLost-$120.9619650.5%99 W · 97 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Wizards13c341$44 inLost-$44.3352230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Pistons63c331.45$208 inWon+$123.4920638.3%79 W · 127 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Pistons63c200$126 inWon+$7450651.2%259 W · 247 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Wizards12c177.43$21 inLost-$21.2922453.1%119 W · 105 L+29.4wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+29.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x8fe3…949cbacked Wizards14c142.86$20 inLost-$207222.2%16 W · 56 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fc1…075ebacked Wizards16c125$20 inLost-$204124.4%10 W · 31 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xce39…04d6backed Wizards15c109.25$16 inLost-$16.3937842.9%162 W · 216 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Wizards14c108.57$15 inLost-$1536248.1%174 W · 188 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94bb…c320backed Wizards21c81.78$17 inLost-$17.4637845%170 W · 208 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0673…afabbacked Pistons73c31$23 inWon+$8.461241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Pistons74c26.67$20 inWon+$6.9926353.6%141 W · 122 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd425…603ebacked Pistons80c15.3$12 inWon+$3.065733.3%19 W · 38 L-5.4wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-25%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4921…5238backed Pistons76c14.05$11 inWon+$3.371533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-28.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.