NBA · resolved market
Spread: Pistons (-18.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf6b9345bb062f38384afe404455ea723a7ab304e9404681df1873cc636781f32
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wizardsof Pistons, Wizards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $331,006
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $331,006 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 195 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Wizards | 46c | 150,200$69,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81,107.88 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…eb9abacked Pistons | 54c | 91,852$49,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,600 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Wizards | 46c | 41,552$19,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,296.56 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Pistons | 54c | 39,318$21,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,208.18 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Pistons | 54c | 27,364$14,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,776.64 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Pistons | 54c | 23,900$12,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,897.7 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa24a…d9fabacked Pistons | 0c | 10,720$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Pistons | 53c | 7,452$3,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,918.32 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pistons | 52c | 6,448$3,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,337.25 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Pistons | 49c | 6,327$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pistons | 49c | 4,900$2,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,425.4 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Wizards | 51c | 4,552$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,251.34 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe49e…dc8bbacked Wizards | 48c | 3,943$1,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,050.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Pistons | 54c | 3,500$1,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,890 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Wizards | 47c | 3,249$1,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,721.97 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Wizards | 48c | 3,140$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,639.68 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad6…f54cbacked Pistons | 47c | 2,578$1,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,211.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d73…38f9backed Pistons | 47c | 2,566$1,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,206.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a81…7f7ebacked Pistons | 47c | 2,436$1,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,144.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0429…3df4backed Pistons | 47c | 2,422$1,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,138.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…4fc8backed Pistons | 47c | 2,422$1,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,138.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb4d…8dfabacked Pistons | 47c | 2,405$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbecb…590abacked Pistons | 47c | 2,366$1,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,112.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a04…2608backed Wizards | 53c | 2,366$1,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112.02 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5b…b4c8backed Pistons | 47c | 2,356$1,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,107.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x919f…4813backed Pistons | 47c | 2,355$1,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,106.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd135…2b2abacked Pistons | 47c | 2,299$1,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…4719backed Wizards | 53c | 2,290$1,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95b6…f392backed Pistons | 47c | 2,266$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5491…6195backed Pistons | 47c | 2,250$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,057.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab3…be3dbacked Pistons | 47c | 2,240$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,052.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac4…86fdbacked Wizards | 53c | 2,132$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae63…8b24backed Pistons | 47c | 2,125$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe86f…2d54backed Wizards | 53c | 2,105$1,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0a…6c51backed Wizards | 53c | 2,102$1,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x761b…86c5backed Wizards | 53c | 2,101$1,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd49e…82fdbacked Pistons | 47c | 2,055$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2842…4f84backed Pistons | 47c | 2,033$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d28…8234backed Pistons | 47c | 2,022$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4441…b10dbacked Wizards | 53c | 2,002$1,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Pistons | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Wizards | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 587 | 40%235 W · 352 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Pistons | 53c | 1,981$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f9c…9eb9backed Wizards | 53c | 1,956$1,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…2878backed Wizards | 53c | 1,925$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1d…b062backed Pistons | 47c | 1,908$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d6…6acfbacked Wizards | 53c | 1,902$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe664…865ebacked Wizards | 53c | 1,902$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3264…bf86backed Pistons | 47c | 1,865$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10e4…3953backed Pistons | 47c | 1,855$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ee…608bbacked Pistons | 47c | 1,855$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…274fbacked Wizards | 53c | 1,855$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab09…d4dfbacked Wizards | 53c | 1,828$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x670f…0d42backed Wizards | 53c | 1,825$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13d3…2250backed Wizards | 53c | 1,802$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…dd1bbacked Wizards | 53c | 1,788$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e81…dc35backed Wizards | 53c | 1,736$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4582…5d2cbacked Wizards | 53c | 1,723$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe279…7db2backed Wizards | 53c | 1,712$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee71…6b26backed Pistons | 47c | 1,702$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbae2…ade3backed Wizards | 53c | 1,701$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.47 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f51…025dbacked Pistons | 47c | 1,699$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x660b…faa7backed Wizards | 53c | 1,656$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b72…c454backed Pistons | 47c | 1,648$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67ca…a7e7backed Pistons | 47c | 1,632$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a44…7a87backed Pistons | 47c | 1,566$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd02…393bbacked Wizards | 53c | 1,566$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60a7…bb6abacked Wizards | 53c | 1,522$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…000abacked Wizards | 53c | 1,502$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdba3…de3fbacked Wizards | 53c | 1,502$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab7…924fbacked Wizards | 53c | 1,502$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc98…3859backed Wizards | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Pistons | 49c | 1,470$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.08 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00d5…ed84backed Pistons | 49c | 1,460$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.18 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99e9…821fbacked Wizards | 53c | 1,422$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7857…54b1backed Wizards | 53c | 1,401$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…9642backed Pistons | 47c | 1,389$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95a7…3efabacked Wizards | 53c | 1,355$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Wizards | 59c | 1,334$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.38 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Pistons | 53c | 1,301$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.61 | 231 | 47.6%110 W · 121 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Wizards | 46c | 1,088$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.3 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Pistons | 53c | 1,017$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.95 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5623…6930backed Wizards | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 239 | 38.1%91 W · 148 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…02f1backed Pistons | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 186 | 51.6%96 W · 90 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf630…7e65backed Pistons | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 291 | 49.5%144 W · 147 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd00…620ebacked Wizards | 53c | 983$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.01 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c52…5859backed Pistons | 50c | 881.92$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.24 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -5.3wins | -0.18per pick | 44cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa08c…0e02backed Wizards | 53c | 850$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Wizards | 47c | 848.23$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.56 | 206 | 38.3%79 W · 127 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87d9…b9c0backed Wizards | 53c | 812$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Wizards | 47c | 572.93$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.44 | 775 | 49.2%381 W · 394 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Pistons | 54c | 556$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.24 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x515f…7e7fbacked Wizards | 47c | 551.09$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.08 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Wizards | 47c | 487.23$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.23 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5440…c640backed Wizards | 46c | 426.12$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.1 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Wizards | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Pistons | 53c | 424.53$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pistons | 52c | 414.55$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.57 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed Pistons | 47c | 410.64$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193 | 324 | 50.6%164 W · 160 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a10…8b30backed Pistons | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.7 | 502 | 39%196 W · 306 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pistons (-18.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-10.5)Wizards won
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-11.5)Wizards won
- Bilal Coulibaly: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 24.5No won
- Jalen Duren: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Jalen Duren: Rebounds O/U 11.5Yes won
- Pistons vs. WizardsPistons won
- Pistons vs. Wizards: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Pistons vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 119.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 120.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 230.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 231.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 232.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 233.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 234.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 235.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 236.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 237.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 241.5Over won
- Spread: Pistons (-13.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Pistons (-14.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Pistons (-15.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Pistons (-17.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Pistons (-19.5)Wizards won
- Tre Johnson: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Tre Johnson: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.