NBA · resolved market
Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 233.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc1ff545fc923fadc12fa8b24f33daa633f9d65a93e8e711ddcd2fec9263d2ef5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,047,682
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,047,682 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 272 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 50c | 624,892$312,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312,303.2 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under | 50c | 231,790$115,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115,895.22 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 50c | 156,048$78,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78,086.62 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 50c | 90,000$45,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,000 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 50c | 80,274$40,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,236.7 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 50c | 70,642$35,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,321.23 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b37…3b3ebacked Over | 50c | 49,639$24,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,819.56 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bee…0ca9backed Over | 49c | 36,998$18,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,879.08 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Under | 50c | 35,533$17,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,811.18 | 155 | 45.8%71 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Under | 50c | 35,000$17,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,500 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 17,697$8,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,853.25 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99e0…5052backed Under | 50c | 15,000$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 88 | 39.8%35 W · 53 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Over | 50c | 11,000$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,500 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Under | 51c | 10,412$5,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,310.22 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked Under | 50c | 10,275$5,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,137.57 | 175 | 50.9%89 W · 86 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 50c | 10,165$5,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,089.14 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Under | 51c | 9,804$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 266 | 48.5%129 W · 137 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Under | 50c | 7,014$3,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,507 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 49c | 6,548$3,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,224.98 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Under | 50c | 6,505$3,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,271 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…f57fbacked Under | 50c | 6,500$3,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,255 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Over | 50c | 5,819$2,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,922.1 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 50c | 5,168$2,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,574.96 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 50c | 5,000$2,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,481.82 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65d6…6d6bbacked Over | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 128 | 44.5%57 W · 71 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce01…7e70backed Under | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 52c | 4,934$2,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,542.19 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bee…a369backed Under | 50c | 4,848$2,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,424 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Under | 50c | 4,632$2,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,315.94 | 171 | 44.4%76 W · 95 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 50c | 4,583$2,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,293.03 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7088…8b9bbacked Under | 52c | 4,477$2,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,317.65 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6da6…7d01backed Under | 51c | 4,255$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,150 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd908…148ebacked Under | 50c | 4,188$2,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,094 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ad…7b2abacked Over | 52c | 4,121$2,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,978.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba7d…cf0abacked Over | 52c | 4,001$2,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Under | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Under | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0a…13e0backed Under | 50c | 3,944$1,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,972 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Under | 50c | 3,852$1,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,926 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Over | 51c | 3,590$1,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,759.1 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Under | 51c | 3,211$1,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,637.76 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81ee…ce89backed Under | 50c | 3,136$1,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,568 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c31…5525backed Over | 52c | 3,131$1,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,502.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d71…ec32backed Over | 52c | 2,978$1,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,424.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Under | 52c | 2,885$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbac…6034backed Under | 50c | 2,880$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 50c | 2,670$1,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,322.95 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Under | 50c | 2,571$1,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,273 | 187 | 49.2%92 W · 95 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f8…8d2bbacked Over | 50c | 2,368$1,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,184 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1c…a6c5backed Under | 52c | 2,240$1,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,165 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f4b…de9bbacked Under | 48c | 2,233$1,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf871…ea46backed Over | 50c | 2,136$1,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,068 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd69…35dfbacked Under | 48c | 2,112$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49c2…fa97backed Under | 48c | 2,066$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1329…d5c2backed Over | 50c | 2,060$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 50cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7c…e9c6backed Over | 50c | 2,041$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25a1…d4b9backed Over | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde79…2a1bbacked Under | 50c | 1,998$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999 | 173 | 49.7%86 W · 87 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 46c | 1,934$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.55 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3f…2cecbacked Under | 48c | 1,899$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 50c | 1,887$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.5 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa3…ab9cbacked Over | 53c | 1,870$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.43 | 172 | 46.5%80 W · 92 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Under | 49c | 1,838$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.62 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x117f…185ebacked Over | 50c | 1,836$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e4…5720backed Over | 50c | 1,800$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4175…42e4backed Under | 48c | 1,744$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Under | 51c | 1,700$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.99 | 442 | 52.3%231 W · 211 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd6…bfb7backed Over | 50c | 1,666$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e3…0abdbacked Under | 48c | 1,658$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0861…316abacked Under | 48c | 1,632$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb307…be4abacked Over | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 188 | 42.6%80 W · 108 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…f708backed Under | 50c | 1,576$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788 | 194 | 45.4%88 W · 106 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 52c | 1,563$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x443b…e8bbbacked Under | 50c | 1,560$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 137 | 50.4%69 W · 68 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfac7…6122backed Over | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +107.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc555…8799backed Over | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef99…ef8dbacked Under | 50c | 1,406$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.21 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 46c | 1,305$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.51 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 49c | 1,282$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.63 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Under | 49c | 1,162$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.52 | 584 | 50.2%293 W · 291 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x287a…7976backed Under | 52c | 1,142$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.3 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 47c | 1,112$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.22 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…d83abacked Under | 49c | 1,100$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Under | 51c | 1,044$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.44 | 544 | 43%234 W · 310 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 314 | 53.5%168 W · 146 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Under | 51c | 999.99$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked Over | 49c | 898.1$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.03 | 238 | 50%119 W · 119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54c6…4d09backed Under | 48c | 894$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Over | 49c | 889.97$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.89 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Under | 45c | 839.29$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.87 | 206 | 38.3%79 W · 127 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 53c | 836.5$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.3 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c52…5859backed Over | 48c | 803$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.69 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -5.3wins | -0.18per pick | 44cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 49c | 767.81$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.36 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Under | 49c | 767.27$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.96 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6292…d254backed Over | 53c | 755$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.85 | 208 | 46.6%97 W · 111 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 50c | 683.84$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.92 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf469…dcaabacked Over | 50c | 634.74$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.37 | 221 | 54.8%121 W · 100 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd708…b9d2backed Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b97…0d79backed Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 233.5this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-10.5)Wizards won
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-11.5)Wizards won
- Bilal Coulibaly: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 24.5No won
- Jalen Duren: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Jalen Duren: Rebounds O/U 11.5Yes won
- Pistons vs. WizardsPistons won
- Pistons vs. Wizards: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Pistons vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 119.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 120.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 230.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 231.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 232.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 234.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 235.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 236.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 237.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 241.5Over won
- Spread: Pistons (-13.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Pistons (-14.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Pistons (-15.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Pistons (-17.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Pistons (-18.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Pistons (-19.5)Wizards won
- Tre Johnson: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Tre Johnson: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.