NBA · resolved market
Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 232.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe9b372c348c461d759c419f4b35e9f6f6a0ea8fe30cc61a6c93608b09e9ee6d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $119,971
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $119,971 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Over | 52c | 25,000$13,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,999.99 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Over | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,700.36 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 47c | 9,589$4,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,552.74 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 50c | 6,200$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c75…329abacked Over | 57c | 6,002$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,601.65 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd2…1c0cbacked Under | 49c | 5,867$2,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,875 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 48c | 5,036$2,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,422.69 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 4,810$2,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,328.77 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 51c | 4,804$2,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,459.84 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 51c | 4,487$2,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,198.71 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Under | 48c | 4,167$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Over | 51c | 3,750$1,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,837.49 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca06…1394backed Under | 48c | 2,575$1,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,236 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Under | 48c | 2,490$1,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195.16 | 316 | 43.4%137 W · 179 L | -18.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…eed7backed Under | 47c | 2,438$1,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,145.86 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 48c | 2,432$1,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,167.38 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Under | 49c | 2,215$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085.24 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3395…f94abacked Under | 49c | 2,200$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9251…ad33backed Under | 49c | 2,060$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3f…bd83backed Over | 51c | 2,042$1,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aec…b4cebacked Under | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 52c | 2,014$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.72 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 48c | 1,900$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8783…715abacked Over | 51c | 1,874$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d7…feecbacked Under | 49c | 1,725$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 45c | 1,679$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.93 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28cb…2113backed Over | 51c | 1,670$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca26…c874backed Over | 51c | 1,578$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68d8…4cc6backed Over | 52c | 1,511$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.16 | 144 | 55.6%80 W · 64 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…9d48backed Over | 52c | 1,465$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.38 | 193 | 59.6%115 W · 78 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d61…303dbacked Under | 49c | 1,382$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677 | 105 | 56.2%59 W · 46 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4771…158cbacked Over | 51c | 1,381$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe586…74f6backed Over | 51c | 1,355$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef71…00c7backed Under | 49c | 1,277$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0494…eed7backed Over | 51c | 1,255$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2609…7f01backed Over | 51c | 1,250$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79a6…2fa4backed Under | 49c | 1,088$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…1036backed Under | 49c | 1,069$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13d5…90f2backed Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefbe…6419backed Under | 49c | 981$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x128f…db9dbacked Over | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 206 | 51.5%106 W · 100 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3231…8344backed Under | 49c | 940$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Under | 36c | 935.07$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.31 | 206 | 38.3%79 W · 127 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf518…f4eebacked Under | 49c | 792$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa25c…54d2backed Under | 49c | 723$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Under | 48c | 606$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.88 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 52c | 576$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.48 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 48c | 492.59$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.44 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf705…997fbacked Over | 51c | 475$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 44c | 472.62$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.92 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43b2…1017backed Over | 51c | 472$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8a…33ecbacked Over | 51c | 456$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6c…2b2ebacked Under | 49c | 431$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 283 | 48.8%138 W · 145 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 49c | 379.51$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.02 | 514 | 38.7%199 W · 315 L | -29.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1521…f549backed Under | 49c | 379$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b80…111fbacked Under | 49c | 377$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 40c | 366.75$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.72 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b0…246bbacked Under | 49c | 351$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Over | 52c | 250$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 234 | 46.2%108 W · 126 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf469…dcaabacked Over | 51c | 220.35$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.97 | 221 | 54.8%121 W · 100 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd066…ae20backed Under | 49c | 220$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x353e…9db2backed Over | 52c | 203$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.13 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x92fa…4604backed Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -29%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd489…54e9backed Under | 49c | 195$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 319 | 54.5%174 W · 145 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 51c | 151.58$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.08 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 49c | 151$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.74 | 602 | 50.5%304 W · 298 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Over | 51c | 150.15$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.57 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 48c | 143.28$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.41 | 648 | 44.8%290 W · 358 L | -32.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Over | 53c | 130.19$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.19 | 456 | 51.1%233 W · 223 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 51c | 130$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.7 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Over | 52c | 112.98$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.23 | 236 | 57.2%135 W · 101 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 48c | 105.36$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.57 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 403 | 44.4%179 W · 224 L | -23.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Under | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 236 | 49.2%116 W · 120 L | +28.6wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a2…0020backed Over | 53c | 92.59$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.52 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 51c | 84.83$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.32 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Under | 47c | 70$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.2 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1a…8984backed Under | 49c | 65.89$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.58 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Over | 52c | 61.54$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.54 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa991…f266backed Over | 52c | 50.1$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.1 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Under | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf0…0a05backed Over | 54c | 49.63$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 50c | 47.31$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.56 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbd…b8d3backed Over | 53c | 47.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.3 | 672 | 48.8%328 W · 344 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2b…8fe6backed Under | 50c | 42.1$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.05 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +7.6wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce2…4b11backed Under | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +5.2wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad06…b132backed Under | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c3a…5c97backed Under | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2f…1bffbacked Under | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0b…4d31backed Over | 52c | 36.84$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.65 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 49c | 32.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4921…5238backed Under | 43c | 31.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd425…603ebacked Under | 43c | 30.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -25%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x788c…4a44backed Under | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4168…a631backed Over | 52c | 29.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde58…b901backed Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 232.5this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-10.5)Wizards won
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-11.5)Wizards won
- Bilal Coulibaly: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 24.5No won
- Jalen Duren: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Jalen Duren: Rebounds O/U 11.5Yes won
- Pistons vs. WizardsPistons won
- Pistons vs. Wizards: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Pistons vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 119.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 120.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 230.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 231.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 233.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 234.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 235.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 236.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 237.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 241.5Over won
- Spread: Pistons (-13.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Pistons (-14.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Pistons (-15.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Pistons (-17.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Pistons (-18.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Pistons (-19.5)Wizards won
- Tre Johnson: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Tre Johnson: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.