TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pistons vs. Wizards

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pistonsof Pistons, Wizards
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,071,773

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,071,773 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 311 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbddf…c684backed Wizards5c213,368$10,668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,668.472648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x433f…a0dcbacked Wizards1c121,741$687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$687.1716919.5%33 W · 136 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-27.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fa8…c667backed Wizards7c111,664$7,389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,389.073925.6%10 W · 29 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Wizards6c100,000$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,0001,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Wizards2c53,306$864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$863.683,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Wizards6c52,304$2,937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,937.21,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Wizards8c47,617$3,684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,683.6820744%91 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-25.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Wizards7c45,028$3,103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,102.547028.1%132 W · 338 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Wizards6c41,030$2,364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,363.971,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed Wizards8c35,094$2,634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,634.162347.7%297 W · 326 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Wizards6c33,333$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00042348%203 W · 220 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Wizards1c30,380$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.5793148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4137…586cbacked Wizards7c30,000$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,099.9947043.8%206 W · 264 L-22.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9438…ad81backed Wizards1c29,084$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.53179.5%30 W · 287 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-59.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43b6…9a9bbacked Wizards6c26,668$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,700.085030%15 W · 35 L-6.0wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-36.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Wizards5c23,074$1,154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,153.772450.7%367 W · 357 L+13.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e10…0cd4backed Wizards7c22,300$1,584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5842740.7%11 W · 16 L+4.0wins+0.15per pick26cpaid-11.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x84dc…008ebacked Wizards8c22,002$1,712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,712.2680%0 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Wizards1c21,413$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.3772241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Wizards5c20,500$1,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,024.9929245.5%133 W · 159 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Wizards0c20,004$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.45213.8%20 W · 501 L+0.6wins0.00per pick4cpaid-36.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Wizards4c19,926$854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$854.011,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x27cb…169ebacked Wizards7c19,856$1,390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,389.9427424.5%67 W · 207 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Wizards1c18,731$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.421,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…c2a4backed Wizards7c15,000$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0504337.2%16 W · 27 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-29.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e33…5825backed Wizards2c15,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-78.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Wizards7c13,516$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$974.91,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7792…b63bbacked Wizards8c12,600$1,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0084940.8%20 W · 29 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6ae…afe9backed Wizards6c10,783$647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64710225.5%26 W · 76 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1907…d5a7backed Wizards13c10,605$1,379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,378.65580%4 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.40per pick40cpaid+72.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Wizards7c10,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7001,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4afd…4d18backed Wizards13c10,000$1,263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,262.722030%6 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-19.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked Wizards6c9,987$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.29018.9%17 W · 73 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Wizards5c9,551$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.564,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4309…7456backed Wizards6c9,478$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576.7761336.1%221 W · 392 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd472…cc7cbacked Wizards7c8,890$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622.32236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b1c…6fa7backed Wizards14c8,754$1,226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,225.56580%4 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.40per pick40cpaid+72.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8095…419bbacked Wizards13c8,211$1,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,067.43580%4 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.37per pick43cpaid+62.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Wizards6c8,117$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.0356646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x59c3…37adbacked Wizards13c7,480$972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$972.4580%4 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.37per pick43cpaid+62.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4009…261fbacked Wizards13c7,368$958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$957.84580%4 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.40per pick40cpaid+72.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Wizards9c6,945$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.1985344%375 W · 478 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Wizards12c6,913$817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$816.614,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Wizards7c6,507$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.922,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Wizards6c5,957$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.94,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Wizards0c5,667$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.58820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5077…4e7cbacked Wizards6c5,495$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.79733%32 W · 65 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-30.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x00c9…4efdbacked Wizards6c5,359$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.5160%0 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Wizards7c5,245$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.683,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Wizards1c5,032$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.677211%7 W · 714 L-2.6wins0.00per pick1cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Wizards6c4,500$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26565939.5%260 W · 399 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3c…e044backed Wizards2c4,233$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925516.4%9 W · 46 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdddc…ced2backed Wizards7c4,156$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.9312541.6%52 W · 73 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Wizards9c4,147$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.6842335.9%152 W · 271 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bd…a9febacked Wizards2c4,000$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642123.8%5 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick22cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a7e…1cc7backed Wizards8c3,924$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3008429.8%25 W · 59 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-36.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x08c1…7fbebacked Wizards9c3,918$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.2618336.6%67 W · 116 L+0.8wins0.00per pick36cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x237e…a5f0backed Wizards10c3,886$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-45.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdaef…e17dbacked Wizards7c3,700$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2595032%16 W · 34 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-29.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Wizards8c3,416$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.4520638.3%79 W · 127 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1046…e9cdbacked Wizards0c3,210$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Wizards5c3,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15086641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Wizards7c2,941$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.9355346.8%259 W · 294 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48c9…d019backed Wizards7c2,918$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.25128.3%1 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick11cpaid-72.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd839…8fc8backed Wizards6c2,905$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.415952.5%31 W · 28 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd52d…412dbacked Wizards9c2,905$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.3553539.6%212 W · 323 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Wizards6c2,803$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.8736023.1%83 W · 277 L-15.6wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-49.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Wizards7c2,758$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.13,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b7c…8d4cbacked Wizards10c2,620$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.414513.3%6 W · 39 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick14cpaid-40.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Wizards10c2,500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25031954.5%174 W · 145 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x00ce…8787backed Wizards8c2,445$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+66.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Wizards5c2,400$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12043438.5%167 W · 267 L-1.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Wizards3c2,379$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602165.6%12 W · 204 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick11cpaid-61%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc573…9ac4backed Wizards8c2,347$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.75922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-67.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x01f5…5cfbbacked Wizards7c2,339$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17016421.3%35 W · 129 L-10.7wins-0.07per pick28cpaid-30.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Wizards9c2,300$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.9980737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa5f6…a659backed Wizards5c2,260$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11327241.9%114 W · 158 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f49…fec0backed Wizards2c2,243$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.3537848.7%184 W · 194 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2090…7584backed Wizards8c2,200$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1762227.3%6 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Wizards7c2,191$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.947436.7%174 W · 300 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x56f5…3723backed Wizards11c2,186$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25030%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Wizards11c2,186$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.2858740%235 W · 352 L+24.3wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc62c…2c44backed Wizards10c2,145$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.5111044.5%49 W · 61 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Wizards7c2,130$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.291,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Wizards6c2,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1209628.1%27 W · 69 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-25.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Wizards6c1,999$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.9727848.9%136 W · 142 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbaef…4f9cbacked Wizards7c1,941$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.871346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-20.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e2d…40b1backed Wizards7c1,891$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.432330.7%99 W · 224 L-12.1wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x41ec…2892backed Wizards8c1,874$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.912623.1%6 W · 20 L-4.4wins-0.17per pick40cpaid-62%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x3ce9…9c2dbacked Wizards11c1,783$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007623.7%18 W · 58 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+51.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d2a…9ee3backed Wizards7c1,720$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.3985248.9%417 W · 435 L+26.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x09e0…e546backed Wizards5c1,668$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.43345.5%15 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked Wizards6c1,667$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10029635.8%106 W · 190 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54a2…5dfebacked Wizards6c1,667$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003438.2%13 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd59f…f554backed Wizards8c1,660$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.8933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-48.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Wizards8c1,547$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.585,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22e6…409fbacked Wizards5c1,500$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7519441.2%80 W · 114 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8188…0667backed Wizards6c1,500$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$857518.7%14 W · 61 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-32.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xab75…cce0backed Wizards12c1,430$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.5414450.7%73 W · 71 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa627…d14ebacked Wizards10c1,400$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-62.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.