TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Northern Iowa Panthers vs. St. John's Red Storm: O/U 131.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$390,997

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $390,997 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 259 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5c2b…2575backed Over51c67,273$34,616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,656.7660949.8%303 W · 306 L-9.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Over53c54,683$28,982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,700.944348.8%21 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under48c24,289$11,608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,608.2512,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under48c17,468$8,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,328.042,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3846…9742backed Under48c16,308$7,828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,8283956.4%22 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under48c12,284$5,897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,896.522349.3%110 W · 113 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x498c…42bfbacked Over52c10,369$5,363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,005.8912054.2%65 W · 55 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under38c9,063$3,441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,441.461,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked Under47c8,674$4,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,076.775759.6%34 W · 23 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+22.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under47c8,591$4,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,007.45,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd26e…6d8dbacked Over55c7,497$4,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,394.562860.7%17 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Under47c7,352$3,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,450.0889850%449 W · 449 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under40c4,701$1,869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,868.773,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Under47c4,500$2,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1153554.3%19 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+23.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa26f…5c87backed Under47c4,162$1,956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,956.32250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under48c3,684$1,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,779.8325145.8%115 W · 136 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3817…7d10backed Over53c3,496$1,853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,642.9629845.3%135 W · 163 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5d1…cdc9backed Under47c3,185$1,497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,496.992321.7%5 W · 18 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-40.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over77c3,072$2,358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$714.224,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Under49c3,058$1,487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,486.8821248.1%102 W · 110 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbee0…aa9fbacked Under48c3,000$1,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4257643.4%33 W · 43 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc33…aa3ebacked Under47c3,000$1,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4101957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+35.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Over52c3,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,439.9811555.7%64 W · 51 L+8.1wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf4d6…d65fbacked Under47c2,934$1,378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,378.345639.3%22 W · 34 L-4.8wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-22.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Under17c2,184$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.031,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7248…8cb4backed Under47c2,100$987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98716341.7%68 W · 95 L-9.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x08fe…aedfbacked Under48c2,082$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.194946.9%23 W · 26 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc50f…3ad3backed Under48c2,075$996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$995.864656.5%26 W · 20 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed Under48c2,012$966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$965.7618556.8%105 W · 80 L+14.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Over51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98042246.2%195 W · 227 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1f7…c4e5backed Under49c2,000$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97013343.6%58 W · 75 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over53c1,995$1,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$937.885944.1%26 W · 33 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Over51c1,981$1,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$970.6510745.8%49 W · 58 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Under46c1,842$851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$850.9539454.6%215 W · 179 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under47c1,700$799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79915858.2%92 W · 66 L+10.4wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x77d4…3983backed Under47c1,500$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7055341.5%22 W · 31 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x42d0…77e2backed Under48c1,500$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7203751.4%19 W · 18 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under48c1,400$665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66516147.2%76 W · 85 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66b6…159dbacked Under46c1,400$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6445062%31 W · 19 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaa59…75ecbacked Over49c1,353$664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$689.6814346.9%67 W · 76 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Under48c1,093$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.8122043.2%95 W · 125 L-0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under37c1,043$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.025,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Under47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47010443.3%45 W · 59 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf1f1…2d5fbacked Over51c1,000$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4953154.8%17 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8788…8aa8backed Over53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4701060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7771…009fbacked Under47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47012344.7%55 W · 68 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd2b…9ff9backed Over52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4805356.6%30 W · 23 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x94d8…37e6backed Under48c999.98$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.993554.3%19 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Under46c999.95$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.9842948.5%208 W · 221 L-0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed Under47c991.28$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.910451%53 W · 51 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Under48c991.26$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.8110846.3%50 W · 58 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked Under49c930$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.664540%18 W · 27 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-19.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Under2c900$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15220%0 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Under48c893.95$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.0930649%150 W · 156 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked Under47c843.64$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.513369.7%23 W · 10 L+4.9wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+24%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5886…fe3bbacked Under2c787.17$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7480%0 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Over54c703.63$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.2822250%111 W · 111 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b54…db07backed Under48c694.24$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.232245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8735…41bbbacked Under2c684.92$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.750%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Over72c663.77$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.062,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6797…42fbbacked Over54c632.3$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.862356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over50c622.66$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.6218744.9%84 W · 103 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23ec…759fbacked Under2c599.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12140%0 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Under47c588.67$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.5912054.2%65 W · 55 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf26…6fe2backed Under47c556.8$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.72748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa917…4e8dbacked Under49c546.2$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.643357.6%19 W · 14 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1f0…c9e4backed Under48c515.46$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.4222954.1%124 W · 105 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Under28c513.41$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.0535338.5%136 W · 217 L-18.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under46c500$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23091848.9%449 W · 469 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Under48c495.63$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.982048.2%395 W · 425 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under49c492.65$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.440755.8%227 W · 180 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4be…a13dbacked Under48c468.79$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.024153.7%22 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fbc…8a18backed Over53c433.19$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.64353.5%23 W · 20 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Under20c422.42$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.019442.6%40 W · 54 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7dd0…ee95backed Under47c421.82$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.265757.9%33 W · 24 L+5.4wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+18.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Over54c396.52$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.421850.5%110 W · 108 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ff5…f136backed Over53c374.07$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.814257.1%24 W · 18 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x93a2…5181backed Under45c372.7$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.7213141.2%54 W · 77 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over71c371.1$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.873,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d34…3406backed Under48c351.07$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.513046.7%14 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-17.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbe2…5981backed Under41c333.39$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.934042.5%17 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40d2…312fbacked Under47c331.09$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.1912254.1%66 W · 56 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x88a0…f673backed Under47c331.09$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.194454.5%24 W · 20 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x53cd…11b3backed Under46c323.25$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.72330.4%7 W · 16 L-3.5wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-35%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under47c316.37$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.6930853.2%164 W · 144 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60c…d2e2backed Under48c314.23$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.836261.3%38 W · 24 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+16.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xef86…5afcbacked Under48c302.34$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.125959.3%35 W · 24 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb89b…a39dbacked Under48c302.34$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.125457.4%31 W · 23 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb74f…030abacked Under48c302.34$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.121566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+28%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Under47c299.91$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.3662451.1%319 W · 305 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Under48c289.12$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.781,25150.6%633 W · 618 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Under47c287.11$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.9416650%83 W · 83 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Under49c275.57$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.0330152.8%159 W · 142 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x362a…8683backed Under46c273.6$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.864355.8%24 W · 19 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over70c262.17$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.7460551.4%311 W · 294 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2155…f351backed Under48c247.82$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.952941.4%12 W · 17 L-5.0wins-0.17per pick59cpaid-34%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over49c226.78$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.661,15248.9%563 W · 589 L+3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x718e…c203backed Over53c211.01$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.18475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+44.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Under47c207.81$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.6730054%162 W · 138 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Under48c206.51$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1383350.2%418 W · 415 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.