Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Northern Iowa Panthers vs. St. John's Red Storm: O/U 146.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1619a1b018d756b2adfded3c5b922ae5b75b79f3ce70a1d18f2b3a7bdaf8c013
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,963
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,963 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 8 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xacae…6798backed Over | 52c | 4,659$2,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,422.65 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 48c | 1,850$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.5 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Under | 48c | 1,106$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.12 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x743a…ddcdbacked Under | 48c | 1,100$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Under | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Under | 48c | 985.27$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.34 | 247 | 48.2%119 W · 128 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 53c | 346.95$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.88 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Under | 49c | 28.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.76 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Northern Iowa Panthers vs. St. John's Red Storm: O/U 146.5this page
- Northern Iowa Panthers vs. St. John's Red StormSt. John's Red Storm won
- Northern Iowa Panthers vs. St. John's Red Storm: O/U 131.5Over won
- Northern Iowa Panthers vs. St. John's Red Storm: O/U 132.5Under won
- Northern Iowa Panthers vs. St. John's Red Storm: O/U 133.5Under won
- Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-10.5)St. John's Red Storm won
- Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-20.5)St. John's Red Storm won
- Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-9.5)St. John's Red Storm won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.