Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Northern Iowa Panthers vs. St. John's Red Storm: O/U 132.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa5b45e32467bfaf75a4fbb5e5576477679d67b7b2b7a3e677873085a85329590
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,966
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,966 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfc03…1548backed Under | 51c | 19,577$9,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,592.86 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd26e…6d8dbacked Over | 53c | 14,441$7,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,653.85 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 48c | 5,095$2,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,445.63 | 462 | 46.5%215 W · 247 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa59…75ecbacked Over | 49c | 3,316$1,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,627.05 | 143 | 46.9%67 W · 76 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Over | 48c | 3,207$1,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,539.35 | 176 | 43.8%77 W · 99 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 48c | 3,052$1,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,575.99 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Under | 52c | 1,983$1,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.61 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…5053backed Under | 52c | 1,693$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.53 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa79e…5e9ebacked Over | 49c | 1,580$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.04 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbee0…aa9fbacked Over | 48c | 1,492$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.13 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc93c…3c93backed Under | 50c | 1,300$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +5.0wins | +0.28per pick | 44cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 48c | 1,212$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.7 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4059…3371backed Over | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 50c | 1,118$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.1 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c83…cf0abacked Under | 50c | 1,100$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 1,021$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.24 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Under | 50c | 1,010$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505 | 185 | 56.8%105 W · 80 L | +14.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5623…6930backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6797…42fbbacked Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52bf…97a2backed Over | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 50c | 786.73$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.37 | 251 | 45.8%115 W · 136 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a89…8e52backed Under | 50c | 594.75$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.38 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67d6…245ebacked Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb145…df85backed Over | 49c | 404.59$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.25 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Under | 50c | 396.5$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.25 | 170 | 51.2%87 W · 83 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Under | 50c | 396.5$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.25 | 222 | 50%111 W · 111 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e09…0901backed Under | 50c | 358.04$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.02 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 47c | 334.86$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.47 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Over | 49c | 326.37$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.92 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Over | 50c | 297.38$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.69 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 51c | 296.38$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.23 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eaa…9baebacked Under | 50c | 287.54$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.77 | 104 | 58.7%61 W · 43 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…c650backed Over | 53c | 261.38$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.53 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d24…9c89backed Under | 50c | 218.08$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.04 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa57c…25dcbacked Under | 50c | 193.29$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.65 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0586…cb84backed Under | 50c | 190.32$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.16 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85a7…d9f3backed Over | 53c | 187.03$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Over | 49c | 185.74$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.01 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb49…1fbebacked Over | 54c | 165.22$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.22 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Under | 52c | 148.69$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.37 | 218 | 50.5%110 W · 108 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…c3ffbacked Under | 51c | 145.77$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.43 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc66b…1435backed Over | 54c | 141.24$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.27 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3530…984cbacked Under | 50c | 112.01$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.01 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88a0…f673backed Under | 50c | 102.1$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.05 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x362a…8683backed Over | 51c | 99.13$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.55 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Under | 40c | 77$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 528 | 43.6%230 W · 298 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 50c | 67.41$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.7 | 612 | 44.9%275 W · 337 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa24a…d9fabacked Under | 52c | 55.28$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.54 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 51c | 47.55$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.23 | 296 | 50.7%150 W · 146 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Over | 49c | 44.69$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.12 | 330 | 58.2%192 W · 138 L | +24.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Over | 48c | 41.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 166 | 50%83 W · 83 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe098…e1d1backed Under | 52c | 28.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.73 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 50c | 21.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.83 | 353 | 38.5%136 W · 217 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc55d…405abacked Under | 48c | 21.32$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c17…0458backed Under | 51c | 20.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.16 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89ce…f240backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 45cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02ec…5412backed Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73d6…09edbacked Over | 52c | 19.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 76c | 18.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee9…a6c1backed Over | 76c | 14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 71cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Northern Iowa Panthers vs. St. John's Red Storm: O/U 132.5this page
- Northern Iowa Panthers vs. St. John's Red StormSt. John's Red Storm won
- Northern Iowa Panthers vs. St. John's Red Storm: O/U 131.5Over won
- Northern Iowa Panthers vs. St. John's Red Storm: O/U 133.5Under won
- Northern Iowa Panthers vs. St. John's Red Storm: O/U 146.5Under won
- Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-10.5)St. John's Red Storm won
- Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-20.5)St. John's Red Storm won
- Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-9.5)St. John's Red Storm won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.