TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x89ce…f240

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
59
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Ligue 1, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Ligue 1 at 55 out of 100; worst NBA at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT2347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Sloane Stephens vs Tatjana Mariabacked Tatjana Maria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Dubrovnik: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Anhelina Kalininabacked Anhelina Kalinina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.14
Grand Prix Hassan II, Qualification: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Lloyd Harrisbacked Lloyd Harris · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$9.93
Alicante: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Pablo Llamas Ruizbacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+100%+$10.91
Alicante: Max Houkes vs Vilius Gaubasbacked Vilius Gaubas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.51
Miami Open: Elena Rybakina vs Jessica Pegulabacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Dubrovnik: Tamara Zidansek vs Sara Sorribes Tormobacked Sara Sorribes Tormo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Split: Matej Dodig vs Sandro Koppbacked Sandro Kopp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Naples: Francesco Forti vs Vit Koprivabacked Francesco Forti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$46.85
Naples: Andrea Pellegrino vs Filip Jianubacked Filip Jianu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Miami Open: Andrey Rublev vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Alejandro Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
Miami Open: Terence Atmane vs Arthur Rinderknechbacked Terence Atmane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$13.97
Miami Open: Emilio Nava vs Tomas Machacbacked Tomas Machac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$15
Zadar: Lukas Neumayer vs Nerman Faticbacked Nerman Fatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Miami Open, Qualification: Ella Seidel vs Rebeka Masarovabacked Rebeka Masarova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$18.33
Murcia: Alejandro Moro Canas vs Vilius Gaubasbacked Vilius Gaubas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Miami Open, Qualification: Cristian Garin vs Liam Draxlbacked Liam Draxl · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$16.25
Miami Open, Qualification: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Leolia Jeanjeanbacked Leolia Jeanjean · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Zadar: Zsombor Piros vs Enrico Dalla Vallebacked Enrico Dalla Valle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$14.41
Santiago: Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs Henrique Rochabacked Genaro Alberto Olivieri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$15.61
Kigali 2: Marco Trungelliti vs Marco Cecchinatobacked Marco Cecchinato · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Phoenix: Corentin Moutet vs Marcos Gironbacked Corentin Moutet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
BNP Paribas Open: Reilly Opelka vs Ethan Quinnbacked Reilly Opelka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+100%+$10
All 23 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.25per pick47cpaid-56%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.29per pick45cpaid-66.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+133.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+150%+$15.19
OGC Nice vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$11.86
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lightning vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$8.6
Flyers vs. Sharksbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$10.95
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$10.1
Philadelphia Union vs. Chicago Fire FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$9.31
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Detroit Tigers vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$10.35
Chicago White Sox vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.13
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.11
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.14
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+316.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. AFC Ajax end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$32.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fujian Sturgeons vs. Beijing Ducksbacked Fujian Sturgeons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$16.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Parma Calcio 1913 vs. US Cremonese: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Juárez vs. Tigres de la UANL end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Melbourne City FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.