NHL · resolved market
Lightning vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x56705e9a64699e2ccfc2665ad0342a1535636ae79a54405b73ded962bcb4fcb7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,631
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,631 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Under | 46c | 17,069$7,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,851.59 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Over | 54c | 15,000$8,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,899.99 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Over | 52c | 7,194$3,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,467.68 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Under | 44c | 6,000$2,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,639.99 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 56c | 5,280$2,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,323.2 | 366 | 48.6%178 W · 188 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 54c | 5,215$2,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,415.84 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161b…acc2backed Under | 47c | 4,180$1,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,968 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 45c | 3,484$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560.44 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 46c | 3,139$1,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,444 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Under | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Over | 54c | 2,500$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7193…ae51backed Under | 55c | 2,458$1,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,352.07 | 63 | 71.4%45 W · 18 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Over | 54c | 2,250$1,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Under | 58c | 1,959$1,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,138.62 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 53c | 1,500$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Under | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.99 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 54c | 1,425$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.7 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Under | 46c | 1,396$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.23 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc339…ba5bbacked Over | 55c | 1,269$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.09 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 52c | 1,051$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.93 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff9…a78bbacked Over | 55c | 1,026$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.75 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 30c | 1,013$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.78 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23ec…759fbacked Under | 2c | 1,000$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Under | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 50 | 4%2 W · 48 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Over | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Under | 46c | 999.98$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.99 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9c…7e44backed Under | 43c | 947.53$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.14 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Under | 2c | 899.92$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 27 | 3.7%1 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -94.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfab5…aa48backed Under | 46c | 897.83$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 56c | 624.99$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 55c | 596.45$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.45 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 52c | 549.53$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.12 | 598 | 52.3%313 W · 285 L | +34.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…763dbacked Under | 46c | 469.12$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.46 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Over | 53c | 445.84$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.54 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 44c | 423.13$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.38 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 44c | 397.61$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.28 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a08…4badbacked Under | 46c | 389.13$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8709…7d3dbacked Over | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Under | 52c | 356$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.35 | 277 | 39.4%109 W · 168 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Over | 56c | 334.08$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.99 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 54c | 299.98$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.85 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 44c | 296.11$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.29 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Over | 55c | 275.96$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.24 | 294 | 48.6%143 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781d…201bbacked Over | 56c | 269.76$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…a39abacked Over | 76c | 263.89$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.89 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x461b…30ddbacked Over | 55c | 236.36$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.36 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 55c | 235$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.75 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Under | 46c | 228.26$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 485 | 52.2%253 W · 232 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee1…c8aabacked Under | 47c | 212.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b0…f879backed Under | 48c | 206.69$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeccd…d100backed Over | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x197a…d3d1backed Under | 49c | 181$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.1 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 57c | 180$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.4 | 624 | 47.3%295 W · 329 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d98…4d2dbacked Over | 55c | 180$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +4.8wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 56c | 177.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 254 | 49.6%126 W · 128 L | -15.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 30c | 160.71$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc13…5eb6backed Under | 63c | 158.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Under | 54c | 138.9$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.43 | 303 | 48.8%148 W · 155 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42fc…4927backed Under | 45c | 136.51$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed Over | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 104 | 44.2%46 W · 58 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 50c | 127.69$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.88 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1160…b054backed Over | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Under | 43c | 115$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb590…15d3backed Under | 46c | 113.04$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 481 | 61.3%295 W · 186 L | +21.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8e…3d55backed Under | 44c | 113.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb49…1fbebacked Under | 44c | 112.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Over | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 225 | 43.1%97 W · 128 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc314…3501backed Under | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x547c…7983backed Under | 46c | 93.5$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 45c | 92.89$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 607 | 41%249 W · 358 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f6…3e65backed Under | 44c | 88.75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 45c | 86.92$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.11 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb223…3772backed Over | 58c | 85.44$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.94 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | +6.9wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 54c | 76.29$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.32 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e0…776ebacked Over | 58c | 75.43$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.91 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a0d…c27bbacked Under | 44c | 75.02$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.01 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Over | 53c | 74.43$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.98 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 53c | 70.64$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.62 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…2877backed Over | 55c | 64.2$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffea…5f0abacked Over | 39c | 61.4$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.74 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e4…517ebacked Under | 46c | 58$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.68 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x544c…7029backed Under | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 52c | 56.13$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 51c | 55.6$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.25 | 272 | 50%136 W · 136 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed Under | 46c | 51.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.69 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Over | 46c | 49.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.16 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 62c | 46.65$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.92 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb333…e295backed Under | 44c | 45.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 57c | 42.1$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8441…7925backed Under | 34c | 41.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 149 | 44.3%66 W · 83 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c75…aad5backed Under | 51c | 40.82$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09fd…60f7backed Under | 49c | 40.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Over | 55c | 39.33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 135 | 49.6%67 W · 68 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12a6…3488backed Under | 47c | 38.61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x987b…f2d3backed Under | 52c | 38.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 40c | 38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 336 | 47.9%161 W · 175 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x584d…d358backed Under | 70c | 35.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.19 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e3…b39ebacked Under | 62c | 35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.55 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lightning vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5this page
- Lightning vs. OilersLightning won
- Lightning vs. Oilers: O/U 4.5Over won
- Lightning vs. Oilers: O/U 5.5Over won
- Lightning vs. Oilers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Lightning (-1.5)Lightning won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.