NHL · resolved market
Lightning vs. Oilers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5753f2ff6161c75412ef0fcaf16b469eb34d655a62ec892d8e21a697d425c876
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lightningof Lightning, Oilers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $970,180
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $970,180 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 525 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Oilers | 45c | 382,119$171,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171,726.27 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bec…b215backed Lightning | 55c | 340,939$187,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153,609.78 | 164 | 42.7%70 W · 94 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf195…8057backed Lightning | 56c | 205,164$114,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90,272.03 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Oilers | 44c | 150,000$66,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65,999.83 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Lightning | 55c | 140,386$77,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62,571.95 | 224 | 43.8%98 W · 126 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Oilers | 44c | 80,000$35,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,200 | 243 | 49.8%121 W · 122 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Lightning | 56c | 20,000$11,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,800 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Oilers | 44c | 19,912$8,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,761.13 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Oilers | 37c | 18,139$6,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,666.05 | 274 | 48.9%134 W · 140 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Oilers | 44c | 12,500$5,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,549.97 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Lightning | 55c | 11,230$6,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,055.57 | 303 | 48.8%148 W · 155 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Oilers | 44c | 10,117$4,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,433.85 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Oilers | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 260 | 58.8%153 W · 107 L | +17.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Oilers | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,400 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Oilers | 0c | 9,501$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.01 | 134 | 37.3%50 W · 84 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Lightning | 56c | 8,000$4,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,540 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…6dc8backed Lightning | 56c | 7,343$4,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,230.86 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Oilers | 45c | 6,755$3,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,039.74 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Oilers | 44c | 6,700$2,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,947.98 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Lightning | 55c | 6,690$3,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,010.5 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Oilers | 46c | 6,000$2,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,760 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Oilers | 45c | 5,797$2,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,619.39 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb148…9355backed Lightning | 55c | 5,318$2,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,393.06 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -41%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Lightning | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,249.99 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Oilers | 45c | 4,523$2,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,023.8 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Lightning | 59c | 4,500$2,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,840 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfb…9c40backed Lightning | 56c | 4,500$2,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,994.98 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x607d…53a1backed Oilers | 45c | 4,444$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 134 | 46.3%62 W · 72 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Oilers | 21c | 4,176$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.78 | 268 | 49.6%133 W · 135 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Oilers | 45c | 4,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Oilers | 46c | 4,000$1,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,840 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b4…7730backed Oilers | 9c | 3,670$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327 | 27 | 0%0 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Oilers | 45c | 3,500$1,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,575 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Oilers | 45c | 3,498$1,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,574.02 | 278 | 50.4%140 W · 138 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Oilers | 44c | 3,333$1,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,466.52 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Oilers | 45c | 3,209$1,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,444 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Lightning | 56c | 3,089$1,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,359.29 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Lightning | 57c | 3,044$1,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,318.2 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Oilers | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Oilers | 45c | 2,700$1,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,207.73 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Oilers | 45c | 2,554$1,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.13 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Lightning | 56c | 2,514$1,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,106.29 | 168 | 43.5%73 W · 95 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Oilers | 45c | 2,500$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,124.99 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Lightning | 55c | 2,250$1,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.42 | 322 | 51.9%167 W · 155 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f7b…4c93backed Oilers | 45c | 2,223$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Oilers | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Oilers | 21c | 2,118$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.7 | 164 | 47%77 W · 87 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Lightning | 55c | 2,106$1,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.18 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Oilers | 18c | 2,102$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.24 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Oilers | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Oilers | 44c | 1,951$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.66 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Oilers | 44c | 1,820$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.8 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Lightning | 74c | 1,818$1,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.18 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Oilers | 24c | 1,780$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.11 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01a5…312ebacked Oilers | 48c | 1,734$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.53 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d61…6f1abacked Lightning | 75c | 1,704$1,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.31 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 65cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…a992backed Oilers | 12c | 1,667$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 123 | 28.5%35 W · 88 L | -9.2wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Oilers | 43c | 1,650$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.99 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b6…159dbacked Lightning | 55c | 1,600$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Lightning | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.99 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Oilers | 44c | 1,477$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Oilers | 45c | 1,434$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.84 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…b282backed Lightning | 40c | 1,402$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.58 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe8…6d01backed Lightning | 55c | 1,379$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.64 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Oilers | 20c | 1,296$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.95 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf62b…844abacked Lightning | 57c | 1,230$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.29 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddd…ccbdbacked Oilers | 2c | 1,218$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…d83abacked Oilers | 43c | 1,200$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.99 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…383cbacked Oilers | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x231a…a82fbacked Oilers | 28c | 1,074$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Oilers | 37c | 1,061$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.42 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Oilers | 45c | 1,043$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.35 | 265 | 51.3%136 W · 129 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x973b…a912backed Oilers | 45c | 1,042$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Lightning | 52c | 1,035$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.17 | 428 | 47.2%202 W · 226 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Oilers | 43c | 1,035$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.05 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Oilers | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Lightning | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.1 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Oilers | 45c | 975.43$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.51 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48d5…59e2backed Oilers | 19c | 963.66$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.55 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked Oilers | 13c | 918.21$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.55 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked Lightning | 55c | 910$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.5 | 223 | 52.9%118 W · 105 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Oilers | 44c | 901.16$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.18 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Oilers | 45c | 888.89$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1b…5afdbacked Lightning | 57c | 876.38$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.38 | 150 | 53.3%80 W · 70 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Oilers | 33c | 876.09$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.25 | 332 | 34.3%114 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0acc…9dc1backed Oilers | 46c | 869.57$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 250 | 52.8%132 W · 118 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8c…c7b4backed Oilers | 46c | 869.57$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58fb…1f65backed Oilers | 36c | 846.45$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.56 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bd…20e9backed Oilers | 45c | 815.05$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.77 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Lightning | 66c | 801.12$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.16 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb388…3e65backed Lightning | 56c | 800$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd52d…412dbacked Lightning | 57c | 799.54$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.07 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Lightning | 55c | 750$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.5 | 384 | 45.8%176 W · 208 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Lightning | 72c | 736.78$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.68 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab2…aa17backed Oilers | 45c | 720$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x407b…e0fabacked Lightning | 55c | 710$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf756…7d3abacked Oilers | 46c | 700$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdee6…0319backed Oilers | 46c | 698.5$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.31 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Oilers | 45c | 686.34$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.85 | 457 | 51.6%236 W · 221 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f8…d897backed Oilers | 45c | 670$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lightning vs. Oilersthis page
- Lightning vs. Oilers: O/U 4.5Over won
- Lightning vs. Oilers: O/U 5.5Over won
- Lightning vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5Over won
- Lightning vs. Oilers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Lightning (-1.5)Lightning won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.