TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

OGC Nice vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$932,418

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $932,418 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 245 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over46c564,014$257,926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306,087.741369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+38.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Under54c110,000$59,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59,4003423.5%8 W · 26 L-6.5wins-0.19per pick43cpaid-41.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x83d2…d196backed Under55c106,781$58,983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58,983.013557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+21%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under55c93,628$51,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51,074.5921144.5%94 W · 117 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Under54c90,000$48,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48,6009858.2%57 W · 41 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under54c64,225$34,681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,681.315642.9%24 W · 32 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-27.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0792…b778backed Under58c49,794$28,664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,663.882740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under60c33,120$19,957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,956.781,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked Over41c19,600$8,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,563.762642.3%11 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d11…c449backed Over39c19,510$7,685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,824.992737%10 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under55c15,325$8,429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,428.716952.2%36 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under55c14,270$7,849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,848.54459.1%26 W · 18 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+23%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Over40c12,498$4,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,498.973420.6%7 W · 27 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-27.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Over40c12,495$4,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,496.991338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-24.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under59c12,003$7,131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,131.3615455.2%85 W · 69 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d30…a42dbacked Under55c11,000$6,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,039.991118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.6wins-0.33per pick51cpaid-67%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under56c10,878$6,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,132.4837638.8%146 W · 230 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xee19…555ebacked Over45c9,809$4,414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,3953250%16 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under55c8,000$4,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,40030%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over43c7,774$3,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,464.011,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed Under55c7,000$3,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,8502751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+16.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x881b…9893backed Over24c6,303$1,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,803.86250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+110.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over47c6,000$2,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,179.9512839.8%51 W · 77 L-9.8wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Over46c5,327$2,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,876.69960.6%60 W · 39 L+7.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over46c5,237$2,409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,828.249558.9%56 W · 39 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over46c5,232$2,407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,825.428058.8%47 W · 33 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Under55c5,000$2,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7505060%30 W · 20 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+28.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Under55c4,000$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2006553.8%35 W · 30 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Under55c3,576$1,967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,966.83948.7%19 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Under59c3,390$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0002356.5%13 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb15…0f02backed Under60c3,333$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-39.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under55c3,000$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,65023260.8%141 W · 91 L+15.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4a39…a189backed Under55c3,000$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,650850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+32%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked Under60c2,855$1,713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,712.951127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.21per pick48cpaid-38.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Under60c2,850$1,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7101435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-21.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed Under55c2,550$1,403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,402.52944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-13.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under55c2,075$1,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,132.829949.8%149 W · 150 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over28c2,000$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,448.27227.8%20 W · 52 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0828…5cfebacked Over42c1,213$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.32475%3 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.44per pick31cpaid+116.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed Over42c1,190$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.481566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+36.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x31d8…a9cebacked Over35c1,150$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$744.373138.7%12 W · 19 L+3.6wins+0.12per pick27cpaid+46.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under55c1,100$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606.29256.5%52 W · 40 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under53c1,100$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58331049.4%153 W · 157 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Under55c1,081$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594.553756.8%21 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed Under53c1,076$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$570.08862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f5c…9e02backed Over42c1,062$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$616.13475%3 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.44per pick31cpaid+116.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc2b6…d7cebacked Over42c1,031$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a25…3c70backed Under60c1,018$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607.61875%6 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5dca…87d0backed Under71c1,009$716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$716.09650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23ec…759fbacked Under1c1,000$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1320%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed Under55c1,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5502254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+28.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Under1c1,000$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13224.5%1 W · 21 L0.0wins0.00per pick4cpaid+139.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under55c1,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5506756.7%38 W · 29 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+17.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf469…dcaabacked Over43c888.2$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.02666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+33.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over24c837.62$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$635.45729.8%17 W · 40 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Over36c775.49$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.374425%11 W · 33 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-34.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Under56c700$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3922138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-24.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under55c700$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3853961.5%24 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under56c660.98$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.5120150.2%101 W · 100 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e55…d06cbacked Under56c535.82$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under58c521$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.17648.7%37 W · 39 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under55c500$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27517756.5%100 W · 77 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under55c500$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27513655.9%76 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7b8…e32bbacked Under10c499.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501233.3%4 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.23per pick10cpaid+257.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xec56…1259backed Over42c458.86$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d4f…ccbbbacked Over37c405.41$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.41771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+35.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under55c400$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2205364.2%34 W · 19 L+7.0wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+31.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd411…7a18backed Over28c399.99$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick25cpaid-5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over46c389$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.289747.4%46 W · 51 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under60c387.71$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.4817251.2%88 W · 84 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb188…1b06backed Under55c362.05$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under55c350$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.57163.4%45 W · 26 L+8.7wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+28.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under55c350$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.511556.5%65 W · 50 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x69ac…03e9backed Over46c333.52$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.1650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xceb7…8b33backed Over42c330.86$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.9475%3 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.44per pick31cpaid+116.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under55c320$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1769158.2%53 W · 38 L+7.4wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8dec…60c2backed Over45c317.64$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.72065%13 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+15.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8e40…7d1fbacked Under54c309.48$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1673122.6%7 W · 24 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-42.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Over46c307.52$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.063554.3%19 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Under55c300$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16510952.3%57 W · 52 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3cf…493bbacked Under67c300$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011978.9%15 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick70cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under61c299.9$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.9462648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over34c294.12$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.128247.6%39 W · 43 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Under55c280$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1549355.9%52 W · 41 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under55c280$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15410556.2%59 W · 46 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Under55c269.49$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.223943.6%17 W · 22 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-16.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x862a…d26bbacked Over46c260.3$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.56450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Under55c250$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.54562.2%28 W · 17 L+5.9wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+33%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Over45c250$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.53745.9%17 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under55c250$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.59954.5%54 W · 45 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under55c250$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.58858%51 W · 37 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+16.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1506842.6%29 W · 39 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Under55c240$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1328460.7%51 W · 33 L+8.9wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+26.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under55c240$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13220860.6%126 W · 82 L+12.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa71c…e905backed Over47c228.59$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79fb…c230backed Under10c225.49$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.55825%2 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick17cpaid+25%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked Under55c219$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.459752.6%51 W · 46 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x917b…e433backed Over42c216.57$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.613100%3 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+188.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0e4a…fcd8backed Over46c213.83$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.472152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cd9…51d0backed Over24c208.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.333040%12 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.